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Kataja vs Karhu Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 92-90
26-29 19-22 19-18 28-21
Position#3
Record13-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game85.3
Kataja 🏆
Finland
vs
Position#2
Record13-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game80.4
FinlandKorisliigaRound 20· Motonet Areena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kataja v Karhu Basket
05 Dec 2026
KAT v KAH
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
KAT101
KAH80
02 Apr 2026
KAT92
KAH71
27 Mar 2026
KAT85
KAH60
21 Jan 2026
KAT76
KAH62
15 Apr 2025
KAT87
KAH99
09 Apr 2025
KAT82
KAH96
08 Mar 2025
KAT82
KAH75
08 Jan 2025
KAT92
KAH90
02 Mar 2024
KAT84
KAH92
03 Jan 2024
KAT78
KAH73
01 Mar 2023
KAT75
KAH79
19 Nov 2022
KAT71
KAH81
19 Jan 2022
KAT78
KAH106
31 Oct 2020
KAT82
KAH77
26 Feb 2020
KAT89
KAH95
09 Nov 2019
KAT80
KAH106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karhu Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
80avg 78
A16/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
72-95
72
95
-23
58avg 78
A29/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
91-97
91
97
-6
85avg 78
H04/12
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
W
101-81
101
81
+20
98avg 78
A07/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
84-96
84
96
-12
70avg 78
H14/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
86-69
86
69
+17
86avg 78
A18/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
W
92-87
92
87
+5
92avg 78
H21/12
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
L
72-94
72
94
-22
58avg 78
A28/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
W
85-75
85
75
+10
89avg 78
H30/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
67avg 78
A04/01
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
18-25
24-21
20-14
24-27
20-19
9-25
19-24
24-23
27-21
25-28
15-25
27-24
25-13
23-20
26-24
27-27
16-23
23-22
18-24
19-12
24-25
25-20
18-12
27-22
15-21
21-24
29-20
18-17
21-21
15-32
18-24
18-17
20-20
17-20
30-18
21-17
20-14
14-21
18-26
169.1Avg total
84.1Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)90.385.3175.5+5.068%
Season at home (8)94.889.5184.2+5.275%
Season away (11)87.082.2169.2+4.864%
Last 10 (10)84.185.0169.1-0.950%
Last 5 (5)81.680.6162.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.689.2170.8-7.630%
vs Similar ◀ (9)88.083.2171.2+4.878%
vs Weaker (11)90.781.7172.5+9.082%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
91-89
91
89
+2
78avg 73
A16/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
73-78
73
78
-5
56avg 73
H29/11
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
W
91-85
91
85
+6
82avg 73
H04/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
69-99
69
99
-30
46avg 73
A10/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
88-61
88
61
+27
79avg 73
H14/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
L
76-96
76
96
-20
69avg 73
A17/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
75-71
75
71
+4
61avg 73
H21/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
W
91-80
91
80
+11
84avg 73
A28/12
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
W
100-89
100
89
+11
94avg 73
H30/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
76-74
76
74
+2
63avg 73
A04/01
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
25-26
18-24
24-19
8-30
16-14
29-18
20-16
18-25
25-18
31-18
17-24
26-27
10-21
20-28
13-23
21-18
18-13
24-18
25-12
31-25
19-29
13-17
13-25
11-24
19-15
23-22
22-10
25-22
27-16
24-15
15-27
25-29
35-16
16-22
24-22
25-22
22-16
15-26
14-10
165.2Avg total
83.0Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.980.4163.3+2.568%
Season at home (10)84.377.7162.0+6.670%
Season away (9)81.383.4164.8-2.167%
Last 10 (10)83.082.2165.2+0.870%
Last 5 (5)83.682.0165.6+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.682.2158.8-5.744%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.083.2166.2-0.275%
vs Weaker (13)86.579.7166.2+6.869%
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
KatajaKarhu Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A16/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A29/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H04/12
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A07/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H14/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A18/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H21/12
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A28/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H30/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A04/01
Korisliiga
84.0Avg total
43.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.383.5+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.843.987.8-0.146%-
Last 30 away (17)40.939.480.2+1.547%-
Last 10 (10)43.440.684.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.277.8+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.742.581.2-3.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.440.382.8+2.156%-
vs Weaker (11)45.141.186.2+4.064%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A16/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H29/11
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H04/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A10/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H14/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A17/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H21/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A28/12
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H30/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A04/01
Korisliiga
85.6Avg total
43.0Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.283.3+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.739.680.3+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)43.643.186.6+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.685.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)47.842.890.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.738.777.3+0.056%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.640.981.5-0.238%-
vs Weaker (13)45.243.288.5+2.054%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.0
55.7%
51.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.3
32.8%
34.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.414.0
76.1%
73.9%14.0
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.517.7
47.2%
51.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.0
34.2%
34.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws24.616.6
67.5%
73.9%16.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
LWLWWLWLLW
Karhu Basket
WWWWLWLWLW
#3
League position
#2
-2.0
Net rating
+1.1
110.9
Offensive rating
110.1
112.9
Defensive rating
109.0
53.2%
Effective FG%
49.0%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.0%
Turnover %
13.7%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.8%
3-point %
34.2%
60.4%
Assist %
56.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 110.1Defence112.9 · 109.0Shooting53.2% · 49.0%3-point %32.8% · 34.2%Ball care16.0% · 13.7%Off. rebounds28.0% · 32.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Kataja   ■ Karhu Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kataja wins
7
Karhu Basket wins
DateGameScore
09/11/24Karhu Basket v Kataja78-101
11/05/24Karhu Basket v Kataja97-73
19/03/24Karhu Basket v Kataja62-69
02/03/24Kataja v Karhu Basket84-92
03/01/24Kataja v Karhu Basket78-73
14/10/23Karhu Basket v Kataja88-80
04/03/23Karhu Basket v Kataja79-64
01/03/23Kataja v Karhu Basket75-79
18/01/23Karhu Basket v Kataja95-59
19/11/22Kataja v Karhu Basket71-81
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25ASalon Vilpas73-78
30/12/24HHonka85-75
28/12/24AKTP Kotka Basket72-94
21/12/24HKouvot Kouvola92-87
18/12/24AKobrat86-69
14/12/24HHelsinki Seagulls84-96
07/12/24ABC Nokia101-81
04/12/24HPyrinto Tampere91-97
29/11/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki72-95
16/11/24ABisons Loimaa85-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25ABisons Loimaa76-74
30/12/24HKTP Kotka Basket100-89
28/12/24AKouvot Kouvola91-80
21/12/24HSalon Vilpas75-71
17/12/24AHonka76-96
14/12/24HKobrat88-61
10/12/24AHelsinki Seagulls69-99
04/12/24HBC Nokia91-85
29/11/24HPyrinto Tampere73-78
16/11/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki91-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL68%
HomeWLLWW75%
AwayLWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %68%75%64%
Points / game90.394.887.0
Allowed / game85.389.582.2
Point differential+5.0+5.2+4.8
Avg total175.5184.2169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%12%9%
Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW68%
HomeLWWWW70%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %68%70%67%
Points / game82.984.381.3
Allowed / game80.477.783.4
Point differential+2.5+6.6-2.1
Avg total163.3162.0164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%40%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls2018290%96.783.0+13.7
2 Kataja1913668%90.385.3+5.0
3 Karhu Basket1913668%82.980.4+2.5
4 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki1911858%82.182.2-0.1
5 Pyrinto Tampere1911858%83.384.1-0.8
6 Salon Vilpas1910953%85.984.1+1.8
7 Bisons Loimaa1910953%79.978.4+1.5
8 Kouvot Kouvola1981142%80.485.4-4.9
9 BC Nokia2081240%84.084.8-0.8
10 Honka2081240%83.486.7-3.3
11 KTP Kotka Basket2041620%85.288.8-3.5
12 Kobrat1921711%77.688.8-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kataja2619192892
Karhu Basket2922182190
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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