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Kataja W vs HBA W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 58-81
12-17 18-25 19-18 9-21
Position#16
Record1-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game49.4
Allowed / game69.5
Kataja W
Finland
vs
HBA W 🏆
Finland
Position#9
Record9-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game67.7
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Motonet Areena (Joensuu)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Kataja W v HBA W
18 Feb 2024
KATA58
HBA 81
02 Jan 2022
KATA43
HBA 54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
HBA W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kataja WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
59-74
59
74
-15
48avg 37
A26/11
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
L
55-70
55
70
-15
46avg 37
H03/12
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
W
62-53
62
53
+9
61avg 37
A10/12
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
L
52-54
52
54
-2
41avg 37
H17/12
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
43-68
43
68
-25
33avg 37
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
L
50-57
50
57
-7
43avg 37
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
31-63
31
63
-32
18avg 37
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
59-76
59
76
-17
48avg 37
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#11
L
62-64
62
64
-2
54avg 37
H04/02
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
42-101
42
101
-59
23avg 37
A11/02
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
17-17
14-26
13-11
8-22
18-20
15-14
14-14
23-13
11-12
14-14
14-14
11-8
19-14
15-17
7-15
9-16
16-13
13-20
5-19
14-13
12-14
11-14
13-16
6-24
12-15
3-14
10-10
8-21
26-17
10-21
15-17
17-19
20-19
10-16
15-10
13-31
6-24
9-27
14-19
119.5Avg total
51.5Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)49.469.5118.9-20.16%
Season at home (9)52.268.6120.8-16.30%
Season away (8)46.270.5116.8-24.212%
Last 10 (10)51.568.0119.5-16.510%
Last 5 (5)48.872.2121.0-23.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)49.670.9120.5-21.34%
vs Similar (5)62.659.0121.6+3.660%
vs Weaker (2)67.556.5124.0+11.050%
This opponent (HBA W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HBA WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Pantterit W
#14
W
58-56
58
56
+2
55avg 58
A26/11
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
69-58
69
58
+11
63avg 58
H01/12
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
58-74
58
74
-16
39avg 58
A08/12
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
no box
H15/12
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
62-81
62
81
-19
44avg 58
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
62avg 58
H12/01
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 58
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
96-54
96
54
+42
94avg 58
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
W
79-74
79
74
+5
65avg 58
H04/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
57-69
57
69
-12
43avg 58
A14/02
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
10-15
22-11
13-12
16-12
17-13
14-18
22-15
22-20
13-21
5-17
18-16
22-18
22-13
13-22
16-20
13-14
13-19
17-29
19-19
12-24
22-17
28-20
15-20
18-29
22-23
21-8
27-14
22-13
24-12
29-5
21-24
20-20
25-22
17-16
17-16
19-17
14-20
7-16
17-16
141.7Avg total
72.1Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)69.567.7137.2+1.853%
Season at home (9)75.164.0139.1+11.178%
Season away (8)63.271.9135.1-8.625%
Last 10 (10)72.169.6141.7+2.560%
Last 5 (5)79.470.4149.8+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)67.070.4137.4-3.450%
vs Similar (9)68.864.8133.6+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)69.661.9131.4+7.756%
This opponent (Kataja W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -6.9-6.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -6.9-6.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
Kataja WHBA W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kataja WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A26/11
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H03/12
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A10/12
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H17/12
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
18-39
18
39
-21
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H04/02
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
19-55
19
55
-36
A11/02
I Divisioona Women
63.3Avg total
28.1Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.534.061.5-6.623%-
Last 30 at home (15)28.831.360.1-2.527%-
Last 30 away (15)26.136.762.9-10.620%-
Last 10 (10)28.135.263.3-7.120%-
Last 5 (5)26.839.466.2-12.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)25.836.362.0-10.513%-
vs Similar (5)33.626.860.4+6.860%-
vs Weaker (2)31.526.558.0+5.050%-
This opponent (HBA W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HBA WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pantterit W
#14
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A26/11
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H01/12
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A08/12
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H15/12
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H12/01
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H04/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A14/02
I Divisioona Women
71.9Avg total
35.9Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.234.468.6-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.733.268.9+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)32.635.668.2-3.027%-
Last 10 (10)35.936.071.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.479.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.136.569.6-3.442%-
vs Similar (9)36.834.971.7+1.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)33.031.164.1+1.944%-
This opponent (Kataja W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kataja Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja W: 51.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers21.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.110.9
37.5%
40.2%21.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.86.4
22.2%
24.5%19.2
🏀 Free throws16.910.1
59.8%
63.2%10.1
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
HBA Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

HBA W: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.617.8
39.9%
40.2%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.78.2
27.6%
24.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.611.3
68.1%
63.2%11.3
They take 74.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja W
LLLLLLLWLL
HBA W
LWWWLLWLWW
#16
League position
#9
-21.1
Net rating
+3.3
66.0
Offensive rating
87.1
87.1
Defensive rating
83.8
35.4%
Effective FG%
40.5%
37.4%
Opp. effective FG%
41.2%
30.9%
Turnover %
21.6%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
22.2%
3-point %
27.6%
64.7%
Assist %
68.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence66.0 · 87.1Defence87.1 · 83.8Shooting35.4% · 40.5%3-point %22.2% · 27.6%Ball care30.9% · 21.6%Off. rebounds27.9% · 35.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Kataja W   ■ HBA W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kataja W wins
4
HBA W wins
DateGameScore
22/10/23HBA W v Kataja W70-35
22/01/23HBA W v Kataja W58-45
03/04/22HBA W v Kataja W77-76
02/01/22Kataja W v HBA W43-54
Kataja Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24ABC Nokia W42-101
04/02/24HLePy W62-64
28/01/24HPuhuttaret W59-76
21/01/24AHyPo W31-63
14/01/24HTapiolan Honka II W50-57
07/01/24ATorpan Pojat Helsinki II W43-68
17/12/23HEspoo Team II W52-54
10/12/23APantterit W62-53
03/12/23HKorihait W55-70
26/11/23ATurun NMKY W59-74
HBA Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/24ALahti Basketball W57-69
04/02/24HBC Nokia W79-74
28/01/24HKorihait W96-54
21/01/24ATurun NMKY W88-74
12/01/24HPuhuttaret W77-81
07/01/24AHyPo W62-81
15/12/23HTapiolan Honka II W77-75 OT
08/12/23ATorpan Pojat Helsinki II W58-74
01/12/23HEspoo Team II W69-58
26/11/23APantterit W58-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %6%0%12%
Points / game49.452.246.2
Allowed / game69.568.670.5
Point differential-20.1-16.3-24.2
Avg total118.9120.8116.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
HBA W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL53%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayWLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %53%78%25%
Points / game69.575.163.2
Allowed / game67.764.071.9
Point differential+1.8+11.1-8.6
Avg total137.2139.1135.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Nokia W1715288%77.260.6+16.6
2 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W1713476%72.263.5+8.7
3 Lahti Basketball W1711665%66.859.5+7.4
4 Lappeenranta W1711665%60.155.8+4.2
5 Pyrinto II W1811761%66.961.8+5.1
6 Turun NMKY W1710759%61.263.1-1.9
7 HBA W179853%69.567.7+1.8
8 Puhuttaret W168850%67.966.4+1.4
9 Tapiolan Honka II W178947%69.965.9+3.9
10 Jyvaskyla BA W178947%63.264.9-1.6
11 Espoo Team II W1771041%66.168.8-2.8
12 HyPo W1771041%62.465.4-3.0
13 LePy W1871139%58.465.1-6.7
14 Korihait W1651131%64.872.5-7.7
15 Pantterit W1751229%63.368.9-5.6
16 Kataja W171166%49.469.5-20.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kataja W121819958
HBA W1725182181
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