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Kauno Atletas vs Jurbarkas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 78-102
20-21 16-22 19-29 23-30
Position#17
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#2
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game68.0
LithuaniaNKLRound 2· Kauno r. Garliavos sporto centras
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kauno Atletas v Jurbarkas
03 Oct 2026
KAUN78
JURB102
26 Nov 2023
KAUN62
JURB76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kauno Atletas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kauno AtletasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtletas
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
56-65
56
65
-9
no box
H08/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
61-73
61
73
-12
no box
A10/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
76-89
76
89
-13
no box
A15/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
87-84
87
84
+3
no box
H17/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
A22/02
NKL
Silute
#14
L
72-76
72
76
-4
no box
H24/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
86-88
86
88
-2
no box
A02/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
A08/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
69-79
69
79
-10
no box
H10/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
85-92 OT
85
92
-7
no box
A12/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
13-17
8-11
20-22
18-19
17-16
6-17
20-21
20-27
25-17
12-30
19-15
17-25
27-15
23-19
20-25
18-16
16-27
17-15
24-23
18-24
21-14
11-15
22-23
21-22
22-26
23-20
20-20
13-25
26-13
19-23
25-14
15-24
13-21
16-17
25-17
20-19
18-20
21-20
17-17
155.2Avg total
75.0Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.080.2155.2-5.220%
Last 5 (5)79.082.0161.0-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)70.584.0154.5-13.50%
vs Similar (23)76.377.2153.5-0.843%
vs Weaker (3)92.377.7170.0+14.767%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
98-94
98
94
+4
102avg 77
A07/03
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
87avg 77
A12/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
90-85
90
85
+5
86avg 77
H14/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
92-87
92
87
+5
91avg 77
A20/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
85-72
85
72
+13
76avg 77
H23/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
64-101
64
101
-37
49avg 77
A28/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
105-98 OT
105
98
+7
90avg 77
H01/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
82-94
82
94
-12
68avg 77
A03/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
64-106
64
106
-42
49avg 77
H07/04
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#9
W
96-68
96
68
+28
93avg 77
H01/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
24-23
27-18
25-36
25-15
22-18
19-25
22-19
25-16
20-20
23-29
22-20
32-24
25-21
23-22
12-20
22-22
24-10
15-20
24-20
14-29
12-27
12-27
26-18
23-17
18-20
15-22
21-18
19-22
16-26
26-17
21-29
19-26
24-25
13-28
8-27
26-10
19-18
29-18
22-22
174.6Avg total
86.4Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)96.068.0164.0+28.0100%
Season at home (1)96.068.0164.0+28.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.488.2174.6-1.870%
Last 5 (5)82.293.4175.6-11.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.096.0171.0-21.020%
vs Similar (13)82.876.8159.6+6.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)90.081.2171.2+8.883%
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
Kauno AtletasJurbarkas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kauno AtletasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H08/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A10/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A15/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H17/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A22/02
NKL
Silute
#14
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H24/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A02/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A08/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H10/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/03
NKL
77.5Avg total
37.3Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.077.3-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.139.777.8-1.631%-
Last 30 away (14)38.538.376.8+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.277.5-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.679.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.239.574.8-4.20%-
vs Similar (23)37.738.375.9-0.648%-
vs Weaker (3)47.044.391.3+2.733%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A07/03
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A12/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H14/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A20/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H23/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A28/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H01/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A03/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H07/04
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#9
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H01/10
NKL
83.7Avg total
43.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.838.281.1+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.436.579.9+6.969%-
Last 30 away (14)42.240.282.4+2.064%-
Last 10 (10)43.140.683.7+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)38.044.082.0-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.445.681.0-10.220%-
vs Similar (13)42.536.679.2+5.977%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.236.983.2+9.375%-
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kauno Atletastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kauno Atletas: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.9
52.6%
54.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.56.7
31.2%
31.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws22.714.5
63.9%
67.1%14.5
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.822.3
59.0%
54.5%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.9
34.3%
31.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.812.4
66.0%
67.1%12.4
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kauno Atletas
LLWLLLWLLL
Jurbarkas
WLLWLWWWWW
#17
League position
#2
-7.0
Net rating
-1.7
98.2
Offensive rating
96.9
105.2
Defensive rating
98.6
50.5%
Effective FG%
55.7%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
22.1%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.2%
3-point %
34.3%
59.4%
Assist %
59.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 96.9Defence105.2 · 98.6Shooting50.5% · 55.7%3-point %31.2% · 34.3%Ball care22.1% · 14.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Kauno Atletas   ■ Jurbarkas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kauno Atletas wins
2
Jurbarkas wins
DateGameScore
26/11/23Kauno Atletas v Jurbarkas62-76
05/10/23Jurbarkas v Kauno Atletas81-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/24AVilkaviskis85-92 OT
10/03/24HVilkaviskis69-79
08/03/24AVilkaviskis83-75
02/03/24ARytas 286-88
24/02/24HSilute72-76
22/02/24ADelikatesas Joniskis75-81
17/02/24HKretinga87-84
15/02/24ANeptunas 276-89
10/02/24AUkmerges Stekas61-73
08/02/24HUkmerges Stekas56-65
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/26HAlytaus Patriotai96-68
07/04/26HSuduva-Mantinga64-106
03/04/26ASuduva-Mantinga82-94
01/04/26HSuduva-Mantinga105-98 OT
28/03/26ASuduva-Mantinga64-101
23/03/26HMazeikiai85-72
20/03/26AMazeikiai92-87
14/03/26HBC Olimpas Palanga90-85
12/03/26AKretinga88-77
07/03/26AOmega-Tauras98-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kauno Atletas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Jurbarkas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game96.096.0-
Allowed / game68.068.0-
Point differential+28.0+28.0-
Avg total164.0164.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas110100%96.068.0+28.0
2 Omega-Tauras220100%101.580.5+21.0
3 BC Olimpas Palanga110100%86.070.0+16.0
4 Telsiai110100%91.077.0+14.0
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 2220100%107.593.5+14.0
6 Silute110100%92.085.0+7.0
7 Vytis VDU110100%90.089.0+1.0
8 Vilkaviskis21150%94.086.0+8.0
9 Neptunas 221150%81.576.0+5.5
10 Ukmerges Stekas1010%89.090.0-1.0
11 Plunges Olimpas1010%85.092.0-7.0
12 Rytas 21010%77.091.0-14.0
13 Mazeikiai1010%70.086.0-16.0
14 Kretinga2020%70.587.5-17.0
15 Alytaus Patriotai2020%75.5102.0-26.5
16 Kedainiai BC1010%89.0127.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kauno Atletas2016192378
Jurbarkas21222930102
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