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Kauno Atletas vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 87-84
17-25 27-15 23-19 20-25
Position#11
Record13-21
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#8
Record13-20
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game83.3
LithuaniaNKL· Kauno r. Garliavos sporto centras
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kauno Atletas v Kretinga
17 Oct 2026
KAUN72
KRET84
17 Feb 2024
KAUN87
KRET84
23 Dec 2023
KAUN78
KRET85
22 Oct 2022
KAUN69
KRET84
07 Oct 2021
KAUN96
KRET58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kauno Atletas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kauno AtletasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtletas
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#12
L
68-69
68
69
-1
60avg 68
A06/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
83-62
83
62
+21
74avg 68
H09/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
77-82
77
82
-5
64avg 68
H18/01
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
81-65
81
65
+16
81avg 68
A20/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
89-87
89
87
+2
80avg 68
H25/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
91-84
91
84
+7
82avg 68
A01/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
84-97
84
97
-13
72avg 68
H03/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
56-65
56
65
-9
44avg 68
H08/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
61-73
61
73
-12
57avg 68
A10/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
76-89
76
89
-13
76avg 68
A15/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
11-22
25-21
17-9
16-19
21-13
19-11
27-19
25-19
18-18
16-24
18-21
9-5
22-24
19-17
31-19
23-23
19-26
30-13
17-25
26-20
20-23
23-22
22-19
17-19
24-23
21-23
22-32
15-15
13-17
8-11
20-22
18-19
17-16
6-17
20-21
20-27
25-17
12-30
19-15
153.9Avg total
76.6Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)76.179.0155.1-2.938%
Season at home (17)77.581.2158.6-3.735%
Season away (17)74.876.8151.5-2.041%
Last 10 (10)76.677.3153.9-0.740%
Last 5 (5)73.681.6155.2-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.585.7156.2-15.20%
vs Similar ◀ (22)75.577.7153.1-2.241%
vs Weaker (2)95.572.5168.0+23.0100%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
85-78
85
78
+7
80avg 70
A23/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
89-82
89
82
+7
92avg 70
H04/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
72-101
72
101
-29
61avg 70
A06/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
65-81
65
81
-16
50avg 70
H20/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 70
H25/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
79-66
79
66
+13
76avg 70
A27/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
78-110
78
110
-32
56avg 70
A01/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
107-92
107
92
+15
100avg 70
H03/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 70
H08/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
84-96
84
96
-12
79avg 70
A10/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
23-22
26-16
14-18
28-19
22-18
19-17
20-28
24-23
17-22
15-27
16-29
5-9
24-22
17-19
19-31
24-16
23-28
19-19
18-20
22-20
26-20
12-16
19-10
21-30
18-21
18-30
21-29
20-23
25-23
35-21
27-25
26-19
26-25
15-21
17-14
17-23
16-34
27-22
24-17
169.5Avg total
82.7Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)78.583.3161.8-4.839%
Season at home (17)79.583.1162.6-3.541%
Season away (16)77.483.5160.9-6.138%
Last 10 (10)82.786.8169.5-4.160%
Last 5 (5)86.488.6175.0-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.186.9161.0-12.812%
vs Similar ◀ (22)79.981.9161.8-2.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
Kauno AtletasKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kauno AtletasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#12
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A06/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H09/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H18/01
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A20/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H25/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A01/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H03/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H08/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A10/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A15/02
NKL
75.6Avg total
37.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.739.477.1-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.340.879.1-2.419%-
Last 30 away (14)37.037.874.8-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.275.6-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.278.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.742.076.7-7.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)37.538.475.9-0.941%-
vs Weaker (2)49.042.591.5+6.550%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A23/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H04/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A06/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H25/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A27/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A01/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H03/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H08/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A10/02
NKL
86.8Avg total
42.9Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.281.8-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.639.881.4+1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)39.442.982.4-3.536%-
Last 10 (10)42.943.986.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.447.691.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.942.081.9-2.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)40.941.081.8-0.145%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kauno Atletastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kauno Atletas: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.3
48.5%
51.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.0
32.0%
33.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws23.516.5
70.2%
70.3%16.5
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.321.0
47.4%
51.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.17.4
36.8%
33.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.917.5
76.4%
70.3%17.5
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kauno Atletas
LLLLWWWLWL
Kretinga
LWWLWWLLWW
#11
League position
#8
-0.3
Net rating
-5.3
100.5
Offensive rating
105.2
100.7
Defensive rating
110.5
48.3%
Effective FG%
49.8%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
21.0%
Turnover %
17.0%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.0%
3-point %
36.8%
56.7%
Assist %
59.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 105.2Defence100.7 · 110.5Shooting48.3% · 49.8%3-point %32.0% · 36.8%Ball care21.0% · 17.0%Off. rebounds31.5% · 27.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Kauno Atletas   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kauno Atletas wins
4
Kretinga wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24ANeptunas 276-89
10/02/24AUkmerges Stekas61-73
08/02/24HUkmerges Stekas56-65
03/02/24HDelikatesas Joniskis84-97
01/02/24ASilute91-84
25/01/24HRytas 289-87
20/01/24AKretinga81-65
18/01/24HNeptunas 277-82
09/01/24HDelikatesas Joniskis83-62
06/01/24ANeptunas 268-69
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24ANeptunas 284-96
08/02/24HNeptunas 284-79
03/02/24HUkmerges Stekas107-92
01/02/24ADelikatesas Joniskis78-110
27/01/24ARytas 279-66
25/01/24HSilute84-83
20/01/24HKauno Atletas65-81
06/01/24ASuduva-Mantinga72-101
04/01/24HJurbarkas89-82
23/12/23AKauno Atletas85-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kauno Atletas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeWLWLL35%
AwayLWWLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %38%35%41%
Points / game76.177.574.8
Allowed / game79.081.276.8
Point differential-2.9-3.7-2.0
Avg total155.1158.6151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)75% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL39%
HomeWLWWW41%
AwayWLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %39%41%38%
Points / game78.579.577.4
Allowed / game83.383.183.5
Point differential-4.8-3.5-6.1
Avg total161.8162.6160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Olimpas Palanga3429585%81.671.5+10.2
2 Suduva-Mantinga3326779%85.774.0+11.6
3 Telsiai3527877%83.072.9+10.0
4 Ukmerges Stekas34191556%76.276.1+0.1
5 Vytis VDU34171750%85.985.3+0.6
6 Jurbarkas34171750%80.980.9+0.0
7 Delikatesas Joniskis34171750%81.084.1-3.1
8 Vilkaviskis35171849%79.182.2-3.1
9 Zalgiris Kaunas 235161946%75.174.1+1.1
10 Kretinga33132039%78.583.3-4.8
11 Kauno Atletas34132138%76.179.0-2.9
12 Rytas 234102429%81.388.9-7.7
13 Neptunas 23492526%77.283.4-6.3
14 Silute3382524%78.084.0-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kauno Atletas1727232087
Kretinga2515192584
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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