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Kretinga vs Jurbarkas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-88
15-25 18-22 25-19 19-22
Position#9
Record19-19
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Position#5
Record22-16
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game78.7
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kretinga v Jurbarkas
29 Oct 2026
KRET79
JURB86
12 Mar 2026
KRET77
JURB88
16 Oct 2025
KRET65
JURB81
05 Jan 2025
KRET57
JURB72
28 Apr 2024
KRET84
JURB89
20 Apr 2024
KRET76
JURB84
04 Jan 2024
KRET89
JURB82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
66avg 76
A29/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
77-88
77
88
-11
71avg 76
H31/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
82-80 OT
82
80
+2
69avg 76
A05/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
64-104
64
104
-40
50avg 76
H07/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
73-75
73
75
-2
66avg 76
A14/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
68-61
68
61
+7
64avg 76
A19/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
85-80
85
80
+5
91avg 76
H22/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
58-86
58
86
-28
51avg 76
A26/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
93-76
93
76
+17
85avg 76
H28/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
101-97
101
97
+4
99avg 76
H07/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
17-24
17-20
30-20
25-24
20-19
15-26
17-19
18-16
15-18
11-19
23-14
14-23
12-25
19-27
19-29
17-11
25-24
25-20
6-20
11-12
21-21
19-7
17-21
19-20
22-19
20-19
24-22
10-22
15-18
13-28
20-18
28-7
18-24
24-28
23-17
32-24
28-24
18-27
23-22
161.1Avg total
78.0Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)83.685.2168.8-1.650%
Season at home (19)84.883.1167.9+1.758%
Season away (19)82.487.4169.7-5.042%
Last 10 (10)78.083.1161.1-5.150%
Last 5 (5)81.080.0161.0+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.893.3168.2-18.50%
vs Similar ◀ (20)83.981.0164.9+2.970%
vs Weaker (4)97.289.2186.5+8.075%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
120-82
120
82
+38
128avg 76
H29/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
83-84
83
84
-1
76avg 76
A31/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
84-95
84
95
-11
82avg 76
H05/02
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
71-74
71
74
-3
62avg 76
A07/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
111-87
111
87
+24
120avg 76
H14/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
89-85
89
85
+4
78avg 76
A19/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
102-90
102
90
+12
103avg 76
H21/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
87-79
87
79
+8
83avg 76
A03/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
69-63
69
63
+6
63avg 76
H05/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
98-94
98
94
+4
102avg 76
A07/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
31-13
40-22
22-32
21-26
27-19
17-25
18-14
22-23
17-26
22-29
23-17
13-17
26-16
23-19
9-22
38-17
30-25
25-14
18-31
17-22
23-21
17-17
32-25
25-23
23-17
23-27
31-23
29-19
21-13
19-18
18-29
15-18
11-11
21-20
22-14
22-17
24-23
27-18
25-36
174.7Avg total
91.4Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)81.478.7160.2+2.758%
Season at home (19)82.376.6158.9+5.763%
Season away (19)80.680.8161.4-0.253%
Last 10 (10)91.483.3174.7+8.170%
Last 5 (5)89.082.2171.2+6.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.081.0141.0-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)78.375.5153.7+2.847%
vs Weaker (14)89.981.9171.8+7.979%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
KretingaJurbarkas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A29/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H31/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A05/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H07/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A14/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A19/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H22/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A26/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H28/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H07/03
NKL
77.7Avg total
38.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.582.3-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.340.482.7+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)39.642.481.9-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)38.239.577.7-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.279.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.545.580.0-11.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.640.080.7+0.650%-
vs Weaker (4)51.542.594.0+9.075%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
58-28
58
28
+30
H29/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A31/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H05/02
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A07/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
68-42
68
42
+26
H14/02
NKL
Silute
#12
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A19/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H21/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A03/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H05/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A07/03
NKL
84.3Avg total
46.2Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.336.478.7+5.973%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.635.477.1+6.269%-
Last 30 away (14)43.137.580.6+5.679%-
Last 10 (10)46.238.184.3+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.878.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.036.068.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.734.773.4+4.180%-
vs Weaker (14)46.938.385.1+8.671%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.924.1
54.9%
54.5%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.0
27.0%
32.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws18.211.8
64.8%
69.3%11.8
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.522.8
59.2%
54.5%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.3
36.8%
32.3%33.9
🏀 Free throws16.811.9
70.8%
69.3%11.9
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
WWLWWLLWLL
Jurbarkas
WWWWWWLLLW
#9
League position
#5
-5.7
Net rating
+9.0
87.6
Offensive rating
101.1
93.3
Defensive rating
92.1
50.1%
Effective FG%
57.4%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
17.2%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
27.0%
3-point %
36.8%
58.8%
Assist %
71.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence87.6 · 101.1Defence93.3 · 92.1Shooting50.1% · 57.4%3-point %27.0% · 36.8%Ball care17.2% · 15.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Kretinga   ■ Jurbarkas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kretinga wins
8
Jurbarkas wins
DateGameScore
18/12/25Jurbarkas v Kretinga80-76
16/10/25Kretinga v Jurbarkas65-81
05/01/25Kretinga v Jurbarkas57-72
05/10/24Jurbarkas v Kretinga87-86
28/04/24Kretinga v Jurbarkas84-89
25/04/24Jurbarkas v Kretinga93-76
20/04/24Kretinga v Jurbarkas76-84
17/04/24Jurbarkas v Kretinga78-87
04/01/24Kretinga v Jurbarkas89-82
09/11/23Jurbarkas v Kretinga94-80
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HAlytaus Alytus101-97
28/02/26HSilute93-76
26/02/26ANeptunas 258-86
22/02/26HOmega-Tauras85-80
19/02/26ABC Olimpas Palanga68-61
14/02/26APlunges Olimpas73-75
07/02/26HZalgiris Kaunas 264-104
05/02/26ABC Olimpas Palanga82-80 OT
31/01/26HNeptunas 277-88
29/01/26AVytis VDU79-84
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26AOmega-Tauras98-94
05/03/26HNeptunas 269-63
03/03/26AUkmerges Stekas87-79
21/02/26HPlunges Olimpas102-90
19/02/26ASilute89-85
14/02/26HAlytaus Alytus111-87
07/02/26ATelsiai71-74
05/02/26HOmega-Tauras84-95
31/01/26AMazeikiai83-84
29/01/26HKedainiu SC120-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW50%
HomeLLWWW58%
AwayLWLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %50%58%42%
Points / game83.684.882.4
Allowed / game85.283.187.4
Point differential-1.6+1.7-5.0
Avg total168.8167.9169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%37%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)75% (4)56% (9)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Jurbarkas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW58%
HomeWLWWW63%
AwayLLWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %58%63%53%
Points / game81.482.380.6
Allowed / game78.776.680.8
Point differential+2.7+5.7-0.2
Avg total160.2158.9161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%32%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)60% (5)25% (8)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga3832684%90.575.1+15.4
2 Vytis VDU38271171%88.784.8+3.9
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 238271171%87.183.4+3.7
4 Jurbarkas38221658%81.478.7+2.7
5 Neptunas 239221756%79.677.4+2.2
6 Vilkaviskis38211755%81.878.0+3.8
7 Kedainiu SC38211755%86.285.6+0.6
8 Rytas 237201754%82.981.4+1.5
9 Telsiai37201754%84.484.6-0.2
10 Mazeikiai38191950%82.982.4+0.5
11 Kretinga38191950%83.685.2-1.6
12 Silute39172244%86.889.9-3.0
13 Omega-Tauras39152438%84.488.4-4.1
14 BC Olimpas Palanga38142437%79.883.7-3.9
15 Plunges Olimpas38122632%82.886.9-4.2
16 Ukmerges Stekas3993023%79.989.5-9.5
17 Alytaus Alytus4083220%80.287.3-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga1518251977
Jurbarkas2522192288
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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