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Neptunas 2 vs Kauno Atletas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 89-76
27-20 17-25 30-12 15-19
Position#12
Record8-25
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game83.7
Neptunas 2 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Kauno Atletas
Lithuania
Position#11
Record13-20
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game78.7
LithuaniaNKL· Klaip
Other2023-24
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Kauno Atletas
05 Dec 2026
NEPT v KAUN
upcoming
15 Feb 2024
NEPT89
KAUN76
06 Jan 2024
NEPT69
KAUN68
08 Oct 2022
NEPT81
KAUN86
19 Mar 2022
NEPT75
KAUN89
09 Oct 2021
NEPT82
KAUN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kauno Atletas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
58-75
58
75
-17
46avg 70
H23/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
72-86
72
86
-14
66avg 70
A04/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
69-68
69
68
+1
66avg 70
H06/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
82-77
82
77
+5
71avg 70
A18/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
78-69
78
69
+9
70avg 70
H20/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
74-89
74
89
-15
62avg 70
H25/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
86-75
86
75
+11
80avg 70
A27/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
75-79
75
79
-4
79avg 70
A01/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
79-84
79
84
-5
72avg 70
A08/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
96-84
96
84
+12
92avg 70
H10/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
7-21
12-15
20-11
17-24
28-20
13-26
14-16
17-15
22-11
21-25
9-17
19-25
18-18
24-16
21-18
27-25
16-9
20-19
15-16
25-21
6-22
23-24
20-22
24-25
28-17
9-15
25-18
24-13
22-22
15-22
14-22
19-26
25-26
21-15
14-17
23-17
34-16
22-27
17-24
155.5Avg total
76.9Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)76.883.7160.5-6.824%
Season at home (16)76.181.6157.8-5.531%
Season away (17)77.585.6163.1-8.118%
Last 10 (10)76.978.6155.5-1.750%
Last 5 (5)82.082.2164.2-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.283.5155.8-11.38%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.882.5162.2-2.741%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kauno AtletasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtletas
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
73avg 68
H04/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
68-69
68
69
-1
60avg 68
A06/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
83-62
83
62
+21
74avg 68
H09/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
77-82
77
82
-5
64avg 68
H18/01
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
81-65
81
65
+16
81avg 68
A20/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
89-87
89
87
+2
80avg 68
H25/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
91-84
91
84
+7
82avg 68
A01/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
84-97
84
97
-13
72avg 68
H03/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
56-65
56
65
-9
44avg 68
H08/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
61-73
61
73
-12
57avg 68
A10/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
17-19
21-20
18-23
15-17
11-22
25-21
17-9
16-19
21-13
19-11
27-19
25-19
18-18
16-24
18-21
9-5
22-24
19-17
31-19
23-23
19-26
30-13
17-25
26-20
20-23
23-22
22-19
17-19
24-23
21-23
22-32
15-15
13-17
8-11
20-22
18-19
17-16
6-17
20-21
153.8Avg total
76.8Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)76.178.7154.8-2.539%
Season at home (17)77.581.2158.6-3.735%
Season away (16)74.776.0150.7-1.344%
Last 10 (10)76.877.0153.8-0.240%
Last 5 (5)76.281.2157.4-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.585.7156.2-15.20%
vs Similar ◀ (22)75.176.6151.7-1.545%
vs Weaker (2)95.572.5168.0+23.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
Neptunas 2Kauno Atletas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H23/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A04/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H06/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A18/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H20/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H25/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A27/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A01/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A08/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H10/02
NKL
82.1Avg total
42.0Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.780.3-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.938.977.9+0.050%-
Last 30 away (16)38.244.282.4-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)42.040.182.1+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)46.041.087.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.843.379.1-7.531%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.740.581.2+0.241%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kauno AtletasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H04/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A06/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H09/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H18/01
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A20/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H25/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A01/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H03/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H08/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A10/02
NKL
74.9Avg total
36.8Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.239.276.5-2.030%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.340.879.1-2.419%-
Last 30 away (14)36.037.573.5-1.543%-
Last 10 (10)36.838.174.9-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.278.6-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.742.076.7-7.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)36.938.275.0-1.336%-
vs Weaker (2)49.042.591.5+6.550%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.317.6
48.5%
51.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.8
33.0%
33.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.214.7
69.3%
70.3%14.7
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kauno Atletastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kauno Atletas: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.719.5
47.9%
51.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.1
32.3%
33.3%21.3
🏀 Free throws23.616.2
68.6%
70.3%16.2
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
WLLWLWWWLL
Kauno Atletas
LLLWWWLWLL
#12
League position
#11
-1.7
Net rating
+0.9
102.2
Offensive rating
101.7
103.9
Defensive rating
100.7
48.9%
Effective FG%
48.1%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
19.8%
Turnover %
19.7%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.0%
3-point %
32.3%
65.9%
Assist %
56.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 101.7Defence103.9 · 100.7Shooting48.9% · 48.1%3-point %33.0% · 32.3%Ball care19.8% · 19.7%Off. rebounds31.6% · 31.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Kauno Atletas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas 2 wins
7
Kauno Atletas wins
DateGameScore
18/01/24Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 277-82
06/01/24Neptunas 2 v Kauno Atletas69-68
11/11/23Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 277-83
24/11/22Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 288-54
08/10/22Neptunas 2 v Kauno Atletas81-86 OT
22/03/22Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 278-70
19/03/22Neptunas 2 v Kauno Atletas75-89
17/03/22Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 270-61
04/12/21Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 297-92 OT
09/10/21Neptunas 2 v Kauno Atletas82-88
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HKretinga96-84
08/02/24AKretinga79-84
01/02/24AUkmerges Stekas75-79
27/01/24ASilute86-75
25/01/24HDelikatesas Joniskis74-89
20/01/24HRytas 278-69
18/01/24AKauno Atletas82-77
06/01/24HKauno Atletas69-68
04/01/24ATelsiai72-86
23/12/23HBC Olimpas Palanga58-75
Kauno Atletaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24AUkmerges Stekas61-73
08/02/24HUkmerges Stekas56-65
03/02/24HDelikatesas Joniskis84-97
01/02/24ASilute91-84
25/01/24HRytas 289-87
20/01/24AKretinga81-65
18/01/24HNeptunas 277-82
09/01/24HDelikatesas Joniskis83-62
06/01/24ANeptunas 268-69
04/01/24HSuduva-Mantinga78-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW24%
HomeLWWLW31%
AwayLWWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %24%31%18%
Points / game76.876.177.5
Allowed / game83.781.685.6
Point differential-6.8-5.5-8.1
Avg total160.5157.8163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%6%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)50% (4)17% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kauno Atletas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL39%
HomeWLWLL35%
AwayLLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %39%35%44%
Points / game76.177.574.7
Allowed / game78.781.276.0
Point differential-2.5-3.7-1.3
Avg total154.8158.6150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)75% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Olimpas Palanga3328585%81.871.4+10.3
2 Suduva-Mantinga3226681%85.773.2+12.5
3 Telsiai3326779%83.373.0+10.3
4 Ukmerges Stekas33181555%76.076.2-0.1
5 Jurbarkas33171652%80.880.8+0.1
6 Delikatesas Joniskis33171652%80.583.7-3.2
7 Vytis VDU33161748%85.585.3+0.1
8 Vilkaviskis33161748%79.782.5-2.9
9 Zalgiris Kaunas 233151845%74.973.8+1.1
10 Kauno Atletas33132039%76.178.7-2.5
11 Kretinga33132039%78.583.3-4.8
12 Rytas 233102330%81.489.2-7.7
13 Neptunas 23382524%76.883.7-6.8
14 Silute3272522%77.483.5-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas 22717301589
Kauno Atletas2025121976
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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