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Kauno Atletas vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 72-84
16-23 23-24 10-17 23-20
Position#17
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game94.8
Kauno Atletas
Lithuania
vs
Kretinga 🏆
Lithuania
Position#15
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game92.0
LithuaniaNKLRound 6· Kauno r. Garliavos sporto centras
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kauno Atletas v Kretinga
17 Oct 2026
KAUN72
KRET84
17 Feb 2024
KAUN87
KRET84
23 Dec 2023
KAUN78
KRET85
22 Oct 2022
KAUN69
KRET84
07 Oct 2021
KAUN96
KRET58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kauno Atletas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kauno AtletasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtletas
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
A22/02
NKL
Silute
#14
L
72-76
72
76
-4
no box
H24/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
86-88
86
88
-2
no box
A02/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
A08/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
69-79
69
79
-10
no box
H10/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
85-92 OT
85
92
-7
no box
A12/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
78-102
78
102
-24
60avg 67
H03/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
L
76-84
76
84
-8
70avg 67
H08/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#9
L
75-86
75
86
-11
66avg 67
A10/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
L
83-107
83
107
-24
71avg 67
A15/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
16-27
17-15
24-23
18-24
21-14
11-15
22-23
21-22
22-26
23-20
20-20
13-25
26-13
19-23
25-14
15-24
13-21
16-17
25-17
20-19
18-20
21-20
17-17
20-21
16-22
19-29
23-30
18-17
19-29
27-24
12-14
26-20
13-21
12-26
24-19
20-21
21-25
28-30
14-31
165.2Avg total
78.2Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.094.8172.8-16.80%
Season at home (2)77.093.0170.0-16.00%
Season away (2)79.096.5175.5-17.50%
Last 10 (10)78.287.0165.2-8.810%
Last 5 (5)79.494.2173.6-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)75.592.2167.7-16.70%
vs Similar (21)77.077.0154.0+0.048%
vs Weaker (3)92.377.7170.0+14.767%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
W
95-91
95
91
+4
87avg 77
A27/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
78-96
78
96
-18
64avg 77
H31/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
96avg 77
A04/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
69-75
69
75
-6
60avg 77
H08/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
67avg 77
A10/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
76-91
76
91
-15
70avg 77
H01/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
L
65-84
65
84
-19
52avg 77
A03/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#8
L
85-98
85
98
-13
72avg 77
A08/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
L
95-99
95
99
-4
89avg 77
H10/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
83-88
83
88
-5
80avg 77
H15/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
25-25
23-22
25-19
17-19
22-20
15-23
24-34
19-28
17-19
25-18
30-26
16-21
20-12
20-21
13-21
23-24
19-19
24-22
19-25
21-19
21-31
17-27
17-14
27-22
13-21
12-17
13-24
20-22
19-21
28-27
18-28
25-19
20-22
20-27
30-31
18-31
24-21
23-15
18-21
175.3Avg total
83.8Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.892.0172.8-11.20%
Season at home (3)84.792.7177.3-8.00%
Season away (2)75.091.0166.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)83.891.5175.3-7.720%
Last 5 (5)80.892.0172.8-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.091.8170.8-12.814%
vs Similar (13)83.682.4166.0+1.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)107.093.0200.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -3.6-3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -3.6-3.6
Kauno AtletasKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kauno AtletasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A22/02
NKL
Silute
#14
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H24/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A02/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A08/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H10/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H03/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H08/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A10/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/10
NKL
80.1Avg total
37.4Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.739.778.3-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.140.678.7-2.533%-
Last 30 away (15)39.338.778.0+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)37.442.780.1-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.243.081.2-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.342.881.2-4.50%-
vs Similar (21)37.638.175.7-0.552%-
vs Weaker (3)47.044.391.3+2.733%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A27/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H31/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A04/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H08/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A10/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H01/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A03/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#8
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A08/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H10/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H15/10
NKL
84.9Avg total
40.8Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.282.6-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.441.183.5+1.360%-
Last 30 away (15)38.343.381.6-4.920%-
Last 10 (10)40.844.184.9-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)41.645.887.4-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.445.282.6-7.814%-
vs Similar (13)40.539.279.7+1.454%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)53.341.394.7+12.0100%-
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kauno Atletastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kauno Atletas: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.221.8
50.5%
54.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.65.6
30.1%
31.3%16.8
🏀 Free throws26.216.4
62.6%
67.1%16.4
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.1
53.5%
54.5%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.5
32.9%
31.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.614.1
62.4%
67.1%14.1
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kauno Atletas
LLLLLLWLLL
Kretinga
LLLLLLLWLW
#17
League position
#15
-10.2
Net rating
-8.3
92.4
Offensive rating
93.1
102.6
Defensive rating
101.4
48.9%
Effective FG%
51.9%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
19.3%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.1%
3-point %
32.9%
63.9%
Assist %
52.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence92.4 · 93.1Defence102.6 · 101.4Shooting48.9% · 51.9%3-point %30.1% · 32.9%Ball care19.3% · 14.2%Free throws0.42 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Kauno Atletas   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kauno Atletas wins
4
Kretinga wins
DateGameScore
17/02/24Kauno Atletas v Kretinga87-84
20/01/24Kretinga v Kauno Atletas65-81
23/12/23Kauno Atletas v Kretinga78-85
04/11/23Kretinga v Kauno Atletas84-73
17/12/22Kretinga v Kauno Atletas77-78
22/10/22Kauno Atletas v Kretinga69-84
21/12/21Kretinga v Kauno Atletas74-68
07/10/21Kauno Atletas v Kretinga96-58
Kauno Atletaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas 283-107
10/10/26AAlytaus Patriotai75-86
08/10/26HVilkaviskis76-84
03/10/26HJurbarkas78-102
12/03/24AVilkaviskis85-92 OT
10/03/24HVilkaviskis69-79
08/03/24AVilkaviskis83-75
02/03/24ARytas 286-88
24/02/24HSilute72-76
22/02/24ADelikatesas Joniskis75-81
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/26HSuduva-Mantinga83-88
10/10/26HUkmerges Stekas95-99
08/10/26APlunges Olimpas85-98
03/10/26AVilkaviskis65-84
01/10/26HNeptunas 276-91
10/04/26AVytis VDU85-90
08/04/26HVytis VDU69-75
04/04/26AVytis VDU107-103 OT
31/03/26HVytis VDU78-96
27/03/26AVytis VDU95-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kauno Atletas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game78.077.079.0
Allowed / game94.893.096.5
Point differential-16.8-16.0-17.5
Avg total172.8170.0175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game80.884.775.0
Allowed / game92.092.791.0
Point differential-11.2-8.0-16.0
Avg total172.8177.3166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas550100%92.271.6+20.6
2 Telsiai550100%84.470.4+14.0
3 Omega-Tauras65183%93.083.3+9.7
4 BC Olimpas Palanga54180%92.678.0+14.6
5 Suduva-Mantinga43175%90.886.0+4.8
6 Vytis VDU43175%96.893.8+3.0
7 Silute53260%79.876.8+3.0
8 Vilkaviskis42250%88.286.2+2.0
9 Zalgiris Kaunas 263350%99.298.0+1.2
10 Plunges Olimpas63350%85.285.8-0.7
11 Ukmerges Stekas52340%88.287.8+0.4
12 Neptunas 252340%78.479.0-0.6
13 Alytaus Patriotai52340%85.494.2-8.8
14 Kedainiai BC52340%78.087.8-9.8
15 Mazeikiai51420%72.884.8-12.0
16 Kretinga5050%80.892.0-11.2
17 Rytas 26060%76.290.2-14.0
18 Kauno Atletas4040%78.094.8-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kauno Atletas1623102372
Kretinga2324172084
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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