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Vytis VDU vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 103-107 (OT)
28-19 19-17 18-25 26-30 12-16
Position#2
Record28-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game85.5
Vytis VDU
Lithuania
vs
Kretinga 🏆
Lithuania
Position#9
Record23-21
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game86.0
LithuaniaNKLNKL - Quarter-finals· Sakiu sporto centras
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vytis VDU v Kretinga
12 Nov 2026
VYTI v KRET
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
VYTI90
KRET85
04 Apr 2026
VYTI103
KRET107
27 Mar 2026
VYTI91
KRET95
29 Jan 2026
VYTI84
KRET79
06 Mar 2025
VYTI94
KRET93
17 Oct 2024
VYTI87
KRET91
07 Oct 2023
VYTI84
KRET90
14 Jan 2023
VYTI100
KRET67
12 Feb 2022
VYTI84
KRET90
09 Dec 2021
VYTI107
KRET60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vytis VDU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vytis VDULithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVDU
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
W
89-88
89
88
+1
73avg 84
A05/02
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
109-93
109
93
+16
114avg 84
H19/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
91-98
91
98
-7
82avg 84
A26/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
96avg 84
H28/02
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
89-87
89
87
+2
80avg 84
A05/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
81-92
81
92
-11
61avg 84
H07/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
80avg 84
H12/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
99-113
99
113
-14
94avg 84
A14/03
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
91-95
91
95
-4
84avg 84
H27/03
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
96-78
96
78
+18
90avg 84
A31/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-12
19-28
27-27
13-21
27-17
26-23
32-22
24-31
20-18
22-32
22-26
27-22
23-13
29-24
25-26
17-24
25-18
18-17
24-23
22-29
24-26
21-28
16-19
20-19
19-24
28-24
17-14
25-20
24-23
26-26
23-32
26-32
25-22
25-25
22-23
19-25
19-17
20-22
23-15
34-24
184.1Avg total
92.8Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)89.285.5174.7+3.768%
Season at home (21)88.684.6173.2+4.067%
Season away (20)89.886.5176.3+3.370%
Last 10 (10)92.891.3184.1+1.560%
Last 5 (5)91.292.0183.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)92.096.3188.3-4.333%
vs Similar (16)90.586.8177.3+3.769%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)92.687.7180.4+4.973%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
85-80
85
80
+5
91avg 77
H22/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
58-86
58
86
-28
51avg 77
A26/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
93-76
93
76
+17
85avg 77
H28/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
101-97
101
97
+4
99avg 77
H07/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
77-88
77
88
-11
69avg 77
H12/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
99avg 77
A14/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
87avg 77
A19/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
94-80
94
80
+14
94avg 77
H22/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
95-91
95
91
+4
87avg 77
A27/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
78-96
78
96
-18
64avg 77
H31/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
22-19
20-19
24-22
10-22
15-18
13-28
20-18
28-7
18-24
24-28
23-17
32-24
28-24
18-27
23-22
15-25
18-22
25-19
19-22
17-19
28-21
21-21
24-29
27-25
13-27
22-16
31-19
21-11
26-20
27-27
20-22
22-25
25-25
23-22
25-19
17-19
22-20
15-23
24-34
176.5Avg total
88.1Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)84.686.0170.6-1.452%
Season at home (22)84.683.8168.4+0.855%
Season away (22)84.588.2172.8-3.750%
Last 10 (10)88.188.4176.5-0.370%
Last 5 (5)93.491.4184.8+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.893.4171.1-15.612%
vs Similar (18)83.882.6166.4+1.267%
vs Weaker (4)102.090.5192.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
Vytis VDUKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Vytis VDULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A05/02
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H19/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A26/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H28/02
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A05/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H07/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H12/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A14/03
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H27/03
NKL
Kretinga
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A31/03
NKL
90.9Avg total
47.0Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.443.890.2+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.942.989.8+4.069%-
Last 30 away (14)45.944.990.7+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)47.043.990.9+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.247.493.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.050.094.0-6.033%-
vs Similar (16)46.343.389.6+3.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.242.890.0+4.473%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H22/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A26/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H28/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H07/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H12/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A14/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A19/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H22/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A27/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H31/03
NKL
84.0Avg total
42.3Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.882.8-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.140.984.0+2.164%-
Last 30 away (16)39.142.681.7-3.438%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.784.0+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.486.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.645.281.9-8.625%-
vs Similar (18)40.540.480.9+0.150%-
vs Weaker (4)51.841.092.8+10.8100%-
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vytis VDUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vytis VDU: 92.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.226.5
64.3%
54.5%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.7
32.7%
32.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.913.4
64.1%
69.3%13.4
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.923.5
56.1%
54.5%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.5
32.3%
32.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.515.6
66.4%
69.3%15.6
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vytis VDU
WLLWLWWLWW
Kretinga
LWWWWLWWLW
#2
League position
#9
+1.5
Net rating
-0.3
103.8
Offensive rating
95.6
102.4
Defensive rating
95.9
58.3%
Effective FG%
53.2%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
11.6%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.7%
3-point %
32.3%
58.8%
Assist %
65.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 95.6Defence102.4 · 95.9Shooting58.3% · 53.2%3-point %32.7% · 32.3%Ball care11.6% · 14.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Vytis VDU   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Vytis VDU wins
4
Kretinga wins
DateGameScore
31/03/26Kretinga v Vytis VDU78-96
27/03/26Vytis VDU v Kretinga91-95
29/01/26Vytis VDU v Kretinga84-79
02/10/25Kretinga v Vytis VDU78-89
08/03/25Kretinga v Vytis VDU88-102
06/03/25Vytis VDU v Kretinga94-93
12/12/24Kretinga v Vytis VDU90-86
17/10/24Vytis VDU v Kretinga87-91
25/11/23Kretinga v Vytis VDU73-84
07/10/23Vytis VDU v Kretinga84-90
Vytis VDUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/26AKretinga96-78
27/03/26HKretinga91-95
14/03/26AMazeikiai99-113
12/03/26HVilkaviskis89-82
07/03/26HZalgiris Kaunas 281-92
05/03/26AKedainiu SC89-87
28/02/26HRytas 294-87
26/02/26ASuduva-Mantinga91-98
19/02/26HTelsiai109-93
05/02/26ANeptunas 289-88
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/26HVytis VDU78-96
27/03/26AVytis VDU95-91
22/03/26HRytas 294-80
19/03/26ARytas 293-87
14/03/26AUkmerges Stekas107-103 OT
12/03/26HJurbarkas77-88
07/03/26HAlytaus Alytus101-97
28/02/26HSilute93-76
26/02/26ANeptunas 258-86
22/02/26HOmega-Tauras85-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vytis VDU
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW68%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWLWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %68%67%70%
Points / game89.288.689.8
Allowed / game85.584.686.5
Point differential+3.7+4.0+3.4
Avg total174.7173.2176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%29%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (12)67% (6)100% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL52%
HomeWWLWL55%
AwayWLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %52%55%50%
Points / game84.684.684.5
Allowed / game86.083.888.2
Point differential-1.4+0.8-3.7
Avg total170.6168.4172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%36%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)75% (4)64% (11)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga4235783%90.975.5+15.4
2 Vytis VDU41281368%89.285.5+3.7
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 242281467%86.783.6+3.1
4 Jurbarkas45271860%82.280.1+2.1
5 Neptunas 246271959%79.876.9+2.9
6 Vilkaviskis41241759%82.678.6+4.1
7 Kedainiu SC41221954%86.285.7+0.6
8 Kretinga44232152%84.686.0-1.4
9 Rytas 241212051%83.081.7+1.2
10 Telsiai42212150%82.084.1-2.2
11 Mazeikiai41202149%83.583.1+0.3
12 Silute44192543%87.089.8-2.8
13 Omega-Tauras40152538%84.588.7-4.2
14 Plunges Olimpas40142635%83.086.6-3.6
15 BC Olimpas Palanga40142635%79.883.7-4.0
16 Ukmerges Stekas4093122%80.589.9-9.4
17 Alytaus Alytus4083220%80.287.3-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Vytis VDU2819182612103
Kretinga1917253016107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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