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Kretinga vs Kauno Atletas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 84-73
29-12 18-18 20-18 17-25
Position#8
Record2-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Position#11
Record3-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game82.4
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kretinga v Kauno Atletas
09 Jan 2027
KRET v KAUN
upcoming
20 Jan 2024
KRET65
KAUN81
04 Nov 2023
KRET84
KAUN73
17 Dec 2022
KRET77
KAUN78
21 Dec 2021
KRET74
KAUN68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kauno Atletas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#7
L
63-90
63
90
-27
no box
H11/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
78-80
78
80
-2
72avg 67
A05/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
90-84
90
84
+6
92avg 67
A07/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
56avg 67
H12/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
87-73
87
73
+14
81avg 67
A14/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
74-79
74
79
-5
65avg 67
A19/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
74-85
74
85
-11
65avg 67
A21/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
77-98
77
98
-21
64avg 67
H26/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
64-82
64
82
-18
50avg 67
A28/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
69-96
69
96
-27
62avg 67
A31/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
10-19
19-20
12-25
13-27
31-15
14-23
20-15
22-25
21-17
22-24
25-18
16-25
15-21
27-24
14-17
18-21
31-15
17-19
21-18
13-26
24-20
22-15
15-18
16-16
27-13
14-27
17-29
14-22
18-26
16-25
29-25
20-21
13-26
13-18
18-17
24-19
7-26
15-34
23-17
160.2Avg total
74.8Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.184.9161.0-8.822%
Season at home (2)74.592.5167.0-18.00%
Season away (7)76.682.7159.3-6.129%
Last 10 (10)74.885.4160.2-10.620%
Last 5 (5)71.688.0159.6-16.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.082.8155.8-9.833%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.283.0161.2-4.825%
vs Weaker (2)81.084.5165.5-3.550%
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kauno AtletasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtletas
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#3
L
68-78
68
78
-10
no box
H08/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
80-81
80
81
-1
71avg 68
A05/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
75-89
75
89
-14
66avg 68
A07/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
90-82
90
82
+8
88avg 68
H12/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
69-65
69
65
+4
64avg 68
A14/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
84-90
84
90
-6
78avg 68
H19/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
62-79
62
79
-17
60avg 68
A21/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
79-93
79
93
-14
64avg 68
H26/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
77-75
77
75
+2
66avg 68
A28/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
72-88
72
88
-16
58avg 68
H02/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
20-21
10-18
16-22
15-27
21-14
22-21
22-19
20-20
20-26
19-22
16-21
25-17
24-19
30-18
11-28
14-20
17-20
17-16
21-9
22-25
26-23
16-17
20-25
12-22
19-16
17-15
14-26
18-24
20-21
20-21
21-27
17-17
17-12
22-25
21-21
17-25
12-22
26-21
17-20
157.6Avg total
75.6Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.482.4158.9-6.033%
Season at home (4)81.288.2169.5-7.025%
Season away (5)72.677.8150.4-5.240%
Last 10 (10)75.682.0157.6-6.430%
Last 5 (5)74.885.0159.8-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)69.580.4149.9-10.920%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.379.0157.3-0.743%
vs Weaker (1)90.082.0172.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -3.9-3.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -3.9-3.9
KretingaKauno Atletas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H11/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A05/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A07/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H12/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A14/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A19/10
NKL
Silute
#14
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A21/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H26/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A28/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A31/10
NKL
80.1Avg total
37.5Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.042.480.4-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.143.880.9-6.718%-
Last 30 away (19)38.541.680.1-3.137%-
Last 10 (10)37.542.680.1-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.243.078.2-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.143.678.7-8.58%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.641.481.1-1.844%-
vs Weaker (2)42.543.085.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kauno AtletasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H08/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A05/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A07/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H12/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A14/10
NKL
Silute
#14
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H19/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A21/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H26/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A28/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H02/11
NKL
78.6Avg total
37.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.939.176.9-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.140.980.0-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)36.737.273.9-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)37.840.878.6-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.477.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.739.975.7-4.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.438.477.7+1.050%-
vs Weaker (1)49.036.085.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.9 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.318.4
45.7%
51.9%36.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.0
33.2%
33.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.1
71.3%
70.3%14.1
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kauno Atletastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kauno Atletas: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.2
51.8%
51.9%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.16.6
32.6%
33.3%19.7
🏀 Free throws20.213.9
68.7%
70.3%13.9
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/9 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
LLLLLWLWLL
Kauno Atletas
LWLLLWWLLL
#8
League position
#11
-12.9
Net rating
-8.5
102.4
Offensive rating
104.1
115.2
Defensive rating
112.6
47.2%
Effective FG%
50.8%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
20.1%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.2%
3-point %
32.6%
66.0%
Assist %
57.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 104.1Defence115.2 · 112.6Shooting47.2% · 50.8%3-point %33.2% · 32.6%Ball care17.6% · 20.1%Off. rebounds31.9% · 33.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Kretinga   ■ Kauno Atletas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kretinga wins
2
Kauno Atletas wins
DateGameScore
17/12/22Kretinga v Kauno Atletas77-78
22/10/22Kauno Atletas v Kretinga69-84
21/12/21Kretinga v Kauno Atletas74-68
07/10/21Kauno Atletas v Kretinga96-58
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/23ATelsiai69-96
28/10/23AUkmerges Stekas64-82
26/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas 277-98
21/10/23ASilute74-85
19/10/23AVilkaviskis74-79
14/10/23ARytas 287-73
12/10/23HBC Olimpas Palanga72-87
07/10/23AVytis VDU90-84
05/10/23ADelikatesas Joniskis78-80
11/03/23HUkmerges Stekas63-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/23HBC Olimpas Palanga72-88
28/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas 277-75
26/10/23HVytis VDU79-93
21/10/23AUkmerges Stekas62-79
19/10/23HSilute84-90
14/10/23AVilkaviskis69-65
12/10/23HRytas 290-82
07/10/23ADelikatesas Joniskis75-89
05/10/23AJurbarkas80-81
08/04/23HTelsiai68-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games927
Win %22%0%29%
Points / game76.174.576.6
Allowed / game84.992.582.7
Point differential-8.8-18.0-6.1
Avg total161.0167.0159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kauno Atletas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%25%40%
Points / game76.481.272.6
Allowed / game82.488.277.8
Point differential-6.0-7.0-5.2
Avg total158.9169.5150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai880100%90.076.1+13.9
2 BC Olimpas Palanga109190%86.473.3+13.1
3 Suduva-Mantinga65183%84.572.8+11.7
4 Jurbarkas96367%81.877.7+4.1
5 Delikatesas Joniskis85362%79.981.9-2.0
6 Vilkaviskis95456%81.879.4+2.3
7 Zalgiris Kaunas 294544%77.875.4+2.3
8 Silute94544%78.982.0-3.1
9 Ukmerges Stekas94544%73.277.3-4.1
10 Vytis VDU83538%86.686.2+0.4
11 Kauno Atletas93633%76.482.4-6.0
12 Kretinga92722%76.184.9-8.8
13 Rytas 292722%77.786.6-8.9
14 Neptunas 2101910%79.289.2-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga2918201784
Kauno Atletas1218182573
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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