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Kauno Atletas vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 78-85
22-22 22-23 16-26 18-14
Position#11
Record9-13
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game79.1
Kauno Atletas
Lithuania
vs
Kretinga 🏆
Lithuania
Position#8
Record7-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game81.7
LithuaniaNKL· Kauno r. Garliavos sporto centras (Garliava)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kauno Atletas v Kretinga
17 Oct 2026
KAUN72
KRET84
17 Feb 2024
KAUN87
KRET84
23 Dec 2023
KAUN78
KRET85
22 Oct 2022
KAUN69
KRET84
07 Oct 2021
KAUN96
KRET58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kauno Atletas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kauno AtletasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtletas
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#2
L
73-77
73
77
-4
61avg 67
A14/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
68-85
68
85
-17
55avg 67
H16/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
62-76
62
76
-14
56avg 67
H26/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
85-80
85
80
+5
78avg 67
H30/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
102-58
102
58
+44
103avg 67
A02/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
82-70
82
70
+12
82avg 67
H06/12
NKL
Silute
#14
W
70-66
70
66
+4
57avg 67
A09/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
73-69
73
69
+4
63avg 67
H12/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
81-73
81
73
+8
76avg 67
A14/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
63-88
63
88
-25
50avg 67
A21/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
15-26
27-19
16-16
10-16
24-19
19-25
15-25
14-19
21-17
10-16
17-24
22-27
19-19
26-12
18-22
17-23
39-13
20-14
26-8
14-14
26-17
18-17
24-22
13-11
19-17
22-14
16-24
15-18
17-22
22-15
19-14
25-17
21-17
19-19
16-20
19-20
19-18
20-25
5-25
150.1Avg total
75.9Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.779.1154.9-3.441%
Season at home (10)77.281.6158.8-4.440%
Season away (12)74.577.1151.6-2.642%
Last 10 (10)75.974.2150.1+1.760%
Last 5 (5)73.873.2147.0+0.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)68.282.6150.8-14.311%
vs Similar ◀ (19)76.177.9154.0-1.947%
vs Weaker (2)96.070.0166.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#12
W
90-68
90
68
+22
85avg 68
H18/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 68
H23/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
73-84
73
84
-11
58avg 68
H25/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
81-77
81
77
+4
70avg 68
H30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
66-67
66
67
-1
56avg 68
A02/12
NKL
Silute
#14
L
84-87
84
87
-3
72avg 68
H07/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
75-83
75
83
-8
71avg 68
H09/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
75-71 OT
75
71
+4
no box
A14/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
75-81
75
81
-6
65avg 68
H16/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
67-95
67
95
-28
64avg 68
H21/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
20-11
25-21
29-16
21-18
21-24
18-19
12-20
11-15
26-26
21-21
15-22
19-21
21-20
15-17
26-19
15-16
19-18
15-21
17-12
18-22
21-22
21-26
24-17
24-16
11-22
21-18
19-27
18-26
18-7
18-14
10-17
23-22
27-14
9-27
16-18
20-19
23-21
15-30
9-25
155.2Avg total
75.8Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.781.7158.4-5.130%
Season at home (12)76.982.9159.8-6.025%
Season away (11)76.480.5156.8-4.136%
Last 10 (10)75.879.4155.2-3.630%
Last 5 (5)75.283.4158.6-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.184.5154.6-14.410%
vs Similar ◀ (19)79.481.2160.6-1.842%
vs Weaker (1)77.092.0169.0-15.00%
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
Kauno AtletasKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kauno AtletasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#2
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A14/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H16/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H26/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H30/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A02/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H06/12
NKL
Silute
#14
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A09/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H12/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A14/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/12
NKL
75.0Avg total
38.4Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.639.378.0-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.140.480.5-0.236%-
Last 30 away (16)37.338.475.8-1.138%-
Last 10 (10)38.436.675.0+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.634.271.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.840.676.3-4.822%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)38.539.177.6-0.637%-
vs Weaker (2)52.536.088.5+16.5100%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H18/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H23/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H25/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A02/12
NKL
Silute
#14
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H07/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H09/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A14/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H16/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H21/12
NKL
77.2Avg total
39.2Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.941.380.2-2.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.441.680.9-2.225%-
Last 30 away (14)38.341.179.4-2.843%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.077.2+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.278.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.842.578.3-6.720%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.540.180.6+0.442%-
vs Weaker (1)39.053.092.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kauno Atletastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kauno Atletas: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.0
50.8%
51.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.5
31.9%
33.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws19.213.9
72.4%
70.3%13.9
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.2
48.2%
51.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.1
31.0%
33.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.013.5
67.5%
70.3%13.5
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kauno Atletas
LWWWWWWLLL
Kretinga
LLWLLLWLLW
#11
League position
#8
+3.0
Net rating
-2.9
101.9
Offensive rating
97.7
98.9
Defensive rating
100.6
49.8%
Effective FG%
47.6%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
19.6%
Turnover %
17.6%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.9%
3-point %
31.0%
53.5%
Assist %
63.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 97.7Defence98.9 · 100.6Shooting49.8% · 47.6%3-point %31.9% · 31.0%Ball care19.6% · 17.6%Off. rebounds29.9% · 27.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Kauno Atletas   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kauno Atletas wins
3
Kretinga wins
DateGameScore
04/11/23Kretinga v Kauno Atletas84-73
17/12/22Kretinga v Kauno Atletas77-78
22/10/22Kauno Atletas v Kretinga69-84
21/12/21Kretinga v Kauno Atletas74-68
07/10/21Kauno Atletas v Kretinga96-58
Kauno Atletaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23ABC Olimpas Palanga63-88
14/12/23AVytis VDU81-73
12/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas 273-69
09/12/23ASilute70-66
06/12/23HUkmerges Stekas82-70
02/12/23ARytas 2102-58
30/11/23HVilkaviskis85-80
26/11/23HJurbarkas62-76
16/11/23HTelsiai68-85
14/11/23ATelsiai73-77
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23HTelsiai67-95
16/12/23HUkmerges Stekas75-81
14/12/23AZalgiris Kaunas 275-71 OT
09/12/23HVilkaviskis75-83
07/12/23HSilute84-87
02/12/23ABC Olimpas Palanga66-67
30/11/23HRytas 281-77
25/11/23HVytis VDU73-84
23/11/23HDelikatesas Joniskis72-81
18/11/23HNeptunas 290-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kauno Atletas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL41%
HomeLLWWW40%
AwayLWWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %41%40%42%
Points / game75.777.274.5
Allowed / game79.181.677.1
Point differential-3.4-4.4-2.6
Avg total154.9158.8151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%10%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL30%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLLWLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %30%25%36%
Points / game76.776.976.4
Allowed / game81.782.980.5
Point differential-5.1-6.0-4.1
Avg total158.4159.8156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%17%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2219386%86.071.6+14.5
2 Telsiai2319483%84.572.3+12.2
3 BC Olimpas Palanga2318578%81.472.0+9.4
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 222121055%76.173.5+2.6
5 Vytis VDU22121055%85.283.7+1.5
6 Jurbarkas22121055%79.478.4+1.0
7 Vilkaviskis23121152%82.784.0-1.4
8 Ukmerges Stekas23111248%74.977.1-2.2
9 Delikatesas Joniskis2191243%76.483.8-7.3
10 Kauno Atletas2291341%75.779.1-3.4
11 Rytas 22381535%81.689.1-7.5
12 Kretinga2371630%76.781.7-5.1
13 Silute2261627%77.783.0-5.4
14 Neptunas 22332013%76.885.9-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kauno Atletas2222161878
Kretinga2223261485
← all games of the day
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