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Kauno Atletas vs Vilkaviskis Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-80
22-27 19-19 26-12 18-22
Position#11
Record3-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#9
Record9-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game79.6
LithuaniaNKL· Kauno r. Garliavos sporto centras (Garliava)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kauno Atletas v Vilkaviskis
08 Oct 2026
KAUN76
VILK84
10 Mar 2024
KAUN69
VILK79
30 Nov 2023
KAUN85
VILK80
07 Jan 2023
KAUN89
VILK82
29 Jan 2022
KAUN88
VILK78
16 Dec 2021
KAUN92
VILK106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kauno Atletas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vilkaviskis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kauno AtletasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtletas
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
62-79
62
79
-17
60avg 64
A21/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
79-93
79
93
-14
64avg 64
H26/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
77-75
77
75
+2
66avg 64
A28/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
72-88
72
88
-16
58avg 64
H02/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
68avg 64
A04/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
69-90
69
90
-21
48avg 64
A09/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
77-83
77
83
-6
64avg 64
H11/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
73-77
73
77
-4
61avg 64
A14/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
68-85
68
85
-17
55avg 64
H16/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
62-76
62
76
-14
56avg 64
H26/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
19-16
17-15
14-26
18-24
20-21
20-21
21-27
17-17
17-12
22-25
21-21
17-25
12-22
26-21
17-20
12-29
18-18
18-20
25-17
15-23
23-24
12-19
19-24
19-23
23-21
18-19
17-20
15-16
15-26
27-19
16-16
10-16
24-19
19-25
15-25
14-19
21-17
10-16
17-24
154.2Avg total
71.2Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.082.5156.5-8.520%
Season at home (7)76.085.3161.3-9.314%
Season away (8)72.280.0152.2-7.825%
Last 10 (10)71.283.0154.2-11.810%
Last 5 (5)69.882.2152.0-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)69.282.4151.6-13.215%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.679.8156.4-3.131%
vs Weaker (1)90.082.0172.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
69avg 72
H19/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
66-89
66
89
-23
48avg 72
H21/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
76-88
76
88
-12
63avg 72
A26/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
92-72
92
72
+20
85avg 72
H28/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
99-104 OT
99
104
-5
no box
H31/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
89-86
89
86
+3
84avg 72
H04/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
74-75
74
75
-1
56avg 72
A09/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 72
A16/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
87-72
87
72
+15
80avg 72
H18/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
95-93
95
93
+2
83avg 72
A25/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
20-24
15-22
18-15
18-19
19-22
19-22
10-26
24-22
10-23
20-18
22-25
27-14
22-22
18-17
25-19
20-22
23-29
24-15
17-18
26-17
24-27
23-20
16-22
19-17
9-13
14-22
32-23
24-10
20-22
12-27
32-15
21-19
23-22
16-14
27-17
24-30
28-24
20-23
23-16
167.2Avg total
84.5Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.579.6163.1+3.964%
Season at home (9)83.077.6160.6+5.467%
Season away (5)84.483.4167.8+1.060%
Last 10 (10)84.582.7167.2+1.860%
Last 5 (5)86.680.0166.6+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.088.5159.5-17.50%
vs Similar ◀ (22)84.380.3164.6+4.050%
vs Weaker (6)87.572.5160.0+15.083%
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +2.6+2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +2.6+2.6
Kauno AtletasVilkaviskis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kauno AtletasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A21/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H26/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A28/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H02/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A04/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A09/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H11/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A14/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H16/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H26/11
NKL
75.1Avg total
34.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.539.877.3-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.140.980.0-1.831%-
Last 30 away (14)35.638.674.2-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)34.141.075.1-6.910%-
Last 5 (5)35.840.876.6-5.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.540.876.3-5.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.439.277.6-0.938%-
vs Weaker (1)49.036.085.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H19/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A26/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H28/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H31/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H04/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A09/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A16/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H18/11
NKL
Silute
#14
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A25/11
NKL
83.8Avg total
42.7Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.682.2+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.937.982.9+7.076%-
Last 30 away (13)41.939.581.4+2.554%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.183.8+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.283.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.543.078.5-7.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)43.539.282.6+4.368%-
vs Weaker (6)47.035.082.0+12.083%-
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kauno Atletastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kauno Atletas: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.1
49.5%
51.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.3
27.9%
33.3%18.9
🏀 Free throws17.711.4
64.4%
70.3%11.4
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.925.3
53.9%
51.9%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.25.7
26.9%
33.3%17.1
🏀 Free throws19.013.6
71.6%
70.3%13.6
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kauno Atletas
LLLLLLLWLL
Vilkaviskis
WWWLWLWLLW
#11
League position
#9
-16.4
Net rating
+3.5
98.8
Offensive rating
105.3
115.2
Defensive rating
101.8
46.8%
Effective FG%
49.7%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
17.3%
Turnover %
17.3%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
27.9%
3-point %
26.9%
58.7%
Assist %
47.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 105.3Defence115.2 · 101.8Shooting46.8% · 49.7%3-point %27.9% · 26.9%Ball care17.3% · 17.3%Off. rebounds30.8% · 33.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Kauno Atletas   ■ Vilkaviskis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kauno Atletas wins
3
Vilkaviskis wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23HJurbarkas62-76
16/11/23HTelsiai68-85
14/11/23ATelsiai73-77
11/11/23HNeptunas 277-83
09/11/23ASuduva-Mantinga69-90
04/11/23AKretinga73-84
02/11/23HBC Olimpas Palanga72-88
28/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas 277-75
26/10/23HVytis VDU79-93
21/10/23AUkmerges Stekas62-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23ASilute95-93
18/11/23HDelikatesas Joniskis87-72
16/11/23ADelikatesas Joniskis88-74
09/11/23AZalgiris Kaunas 274-75
04/11/23HJurbarkas89-86
31/10/23HVytis VDU99-104 OT
28/10/23HRytas 292-72
26/10/23ATelsiai76-88
21/10/23HBC Olimpas Palanga66-89
19/10/23HKretinga79-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kauno Atletas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %20%14%25%
Points / game74.076.072.2
Allowed / game82.585.380.0
Point differential-8.5-9.3-7.8
Avg total156.5161.3152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vilkaviskis
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game83.583.084.4
Allowed / game79.677.683.4
Point differential+3.9+5.4+1.0
Avg total163.1160.6167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %7%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga1311285%84.373.5+10.8
2 Telsiai1512380%83.673.3+10.3
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1612475%81.471.5+9.9
4 Vilkaviskis149564%83.579.6+3.9
5 Jurbarkas1610662%81.678.0+3.6
6 Vytis VDU138562%87.784.0+3.7
7 Zalgiris Kaunas 2159660%78.474.1+4.3
8 Delikatesas Joniskis147750%77.983.8-5.9
9 Ukmerges Stekas146843%73.979.1-5.1
10 Rytas 21551033%82.387.2-4.9
11 Silute1651131%79.884.0-4.2
12 Kretinga1651131%77.582.4-4.9
13 Kauno Atletas1531220%74.082.5-8.5
14 Neptunas 21621412%76.687.7-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kauno Atletas2219261885
Vilkaviskis2719122280
← all games of the day
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