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Vilkaviskis vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 79-74
26-13 20-24 15-22 18-15
Position#9
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#8
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game81.0
LithuaniaNKL· Vilkavi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vilkaviskis v Kretinga
03 Oct 2026
VILK84
KRET65
08 Nov 2025
VILK83
KRET94
25 Jan 2025
VILK89
KRET87
19 Oct 2023
VILK79
KRET74
16 Feb 2023
VILK93
KRET61
08 Dec 2022
VILK56
KRET86
18 Nov 2021
VILK86
KRET73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vilkaviskis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#7
L
84-88
84
88
-4
no box
A04/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
96-75
96
75
+21
no box
A09/03
NKL
Palangos Kursiai
#12
L
84-102
84
102
-18
no box
H11/03
NKL
Silute
#6
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A16/03
NKL
Silute
#6
L
77-79
77
79
-2
no box
H19/03
NKL
Silute
#6
L
78-84
78
84
-6
no box
A22/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
88-60
88
60
+28
84avg 72
H05/10
NKL
Silute
#14
W
82-72
82
72
+10
73avg 72
H07/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
89-87
89
87
+2
77avg 72
A12/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
65-69
65
69
-4
52avg 72
H14/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
15-13
30-20
14-34
19-10
28-23
29-20
20-22
27-28
22-29
10-24
25-21
24-26
20-16
14-25
18-14
18-21
24-20
18-20
17-18
18-21
19-25
27-22
14-16
32-12
20-15
15-18
21-15
22-17
23-25
20-22
17-8
21-21
19-24
26-25
23-17
20-14
20-17
16-17
9-21
161.6Avg total
81.9Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.072.0153.0+9.075%
Season at home (3)78.367.0145.3+11.367%
Season away (1)89.087.0176.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.979.7161.6+2.240%
Last 5 (5)80.474.4154.8+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.789.3161.0-17.70%
vs Similar ◀ (21)81.481.6163.0-0.238%
vs Weaker (6)81.574.8156.3+6.767%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
91-73
91
73
+18
no box
H18/02
NKL
Palangos Kursiai
#12
W
79-66
79
66
+13
no box
A23/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
79-97
79
97
-18
no box
H25/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#9
L
74-89
74
89
-15
no box
H04/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#14
L
77-92
77
92
-15
no box
A09/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#7
L
63-90
63
90
-27
no box
H11/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
78-80
78
80
-2
72avg 75
A05/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
90-84
90
84
+6
92avg 75
A07/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
56avg 75
H12/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
87-73
87
73
+14
81avg 75
A14/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
23-26
24-18
25-10
22-13
22-17
14-16
21-20
26-24
18-28
22-16
13-29
25-16
13-27
16-24
20-22
23-24
16-29
20-21
18-18
22-26
10-19
19-20
12-25
13-27
31-15
14-23
20-15
22-25
21-17
22-24
25-18
16-25
15-21
27-24
14-17
18-21
31-15
17-19
21-18
162.1Avg total
79.0Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.881.0162.8+0.850%
Season at home (1)72.087.0159.0-15.00%
Season away (3)85.079.0164.0+6.067%
Last 10 (10)79.083.1162.1-4.140%
Last 5 (5)78.082.8160.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.582.9156.4-9.531%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.283.5163.7-3.329%
vs Weaker (3)81.078.7159.7+2.367%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
VilkaviskisKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A04/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A09/03
NKL
Palangos Kursiai
#12
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H11/03
NKL
Silute
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A16/03
NKL
Silute
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H19/03
NKL
Silute
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A22/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H05/10
NKL
Silute
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H07/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A12/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H14/10
NKL
83.4Avg total
43.6Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.682.5+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.338.080.3+4.356%-
Last 30 away (14)41.643.585.1-1.943%-
Last 10 (10)43.639.883.4+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.838.281.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.746.385.0-7.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)41.840.482.1+1.452%-
vs Weaker (6)44.338.382.7+6.067%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H18/02
NKL
Palangos Kursiai
#12
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A23/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H25/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#9
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H04/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#14
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A09/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H11/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A05/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A07/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H12/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A14/10
NKL
84.0Avg total
40.6Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.442.681.0-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.544.081.5-6.515%-
Last 30 away (17)39.141.680.6-2.541%-
Last 10 (10)40.643.484.0-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.282.0-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.242.978.2-7.78%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.642.783.3-2.143%-
vs Weaker (3)42.041.083.0+1.067%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.224.5
56.6%
51.9%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.26.5
25.7%
33.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws22.213.5
60.7%
70.3%13.5
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.516.5
41.8%
51.9%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.210.8
42.6%
33.3%32.2
🏀 Free throws23.215.5
66.7%
70.3%15.5
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vilkaviskis
LWWWLLLLWL
Kretinga
WLWLLLLLWW
#9
League position
#8
+11.5
Net rating
+0.3
104.8
Offensive rating
110.1
93.3
Defensive rating
109.7
50.0%
Effective FG%
50.4%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
20.5%
Turnover %
16.1%
43.9%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
25.7%
3-point %
42.6%
50.0%
Assist %
75.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 110.1Defence93.3 · 109.7Shooting50.0% · 50.4%3-point %25.7% · 42.6%Ball care20.5% · 16.1%Off. rebounds43.9% · 34.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Vilkaviskis   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vilkaviskis wins
3
Kretinga wins
DateGameScore
18/02/23Kretinga v Vilkaviskis91-73
16/02/23Vilkaviskis v Kretinga93-61
08/12/22Vilkaviskis v Kretinga56-86
27/10/22Kretinga v Vilkaviskis78-90
19/11/21Kretinga v Vilkaviskis102-96
18/11/21Vilkaviskis v Kretinga86-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HKauno Atletas65-69
12/10/23ANeptunas 289-87
07/10/23HSilute82-72
05/10/23HUkmerges Stekas88-60
22/03/23ASilute78-84
19/03/23HSilute77-79
16/03/23ASilute76-81
11/03/23HPalangos Kursiai84-102
09/03/23ARytas 296-75
04/03/23AUkmerges Stekas84-88
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23ARytas 287-73
12/10/23HBC Olimpas Palanga72-87
07/10/23AVytis VDU90-84
05/10/23ADelikatesas Joniskis78-80
11/03/23HUkmerges Stekas63-90
09/03/23ANeptunas 277-92
04/03/23HDelikatesas Joniskis74-89
25/02/23HRytas 279-97
23/02/23APalangos Kursiai79-66
18/02/23HVilkaviskis91-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vilkaviskis
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game81.078.389.0
Allowed / game72.067.087.0
Point differential+9.0+11.3+2.0
Avg total153.0145.3176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%0%67%
Points / game81.872.085.0
Allowed / game81.087.079.0
Point differential+0.8-15.0+6.0
Avg total162.8159.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga440100%88.071.8+16.2
2 Delikatesas Joniskis330100%82.774.3+8.3
3 Telsiai330100%82.377.7+4.7
4 Vilkaviskis43175%81.072.0+9.0
5 BC Olimpas Palanga43175%86.278.2+8.0
6 Jurbarkas43175%79.076.8+2.2
7 Kretinga42250%81.881.0+0.8
8 Kauno Atletas42250%78.579.2-0.8
9 Ukmerges Stekas42250%74.081.8-7.8
10 Silute41325%73.081.8-8.8
11 Zalgiris Kaunas 251420%71.875.6-3.8
12 Vytis VDU3030%80.384.0-3.7
13 Neptunas 24040%78.888.0-9.2
14 Rytas 24040%74.086.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vilkaviskis2620151879
Kretinga1324221574
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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