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Vilkaviskis vs Jurbarkas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 89-86
26-17 24-27 23-20 16-22
Position#9
Record5-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game79.4
Vilkaviskis 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Jurbarkas
Lithuania
Position#4
Record6-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game77.7
LithuaniaNKL· Vilkavi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vilkaviskis v Jurbarkas
21 Nov 2026
VILK v JURB
upcoming
13 Nov 2025
VILK78
JURB87
21 Mar 2025
VILK92
JURB62
16 Mar 2025
VILK77
JURB75
12 Dec 2024
VILK96
JURB70
24 Feb 2024
VILK79
JURB80
04 Nov 2023
VILK89
JURB86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vilkaviskis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jurbarkas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Silute
#6
L
78-84
78
84
-6
no box
A22/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
88-60
88
60
+28
84avg 69
H05/10
NKL
Silute
#14
W
82-72
82
72
+10
73avg 69
H07/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
89-87
89
87
+2
77avg 69
A12/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
65-69
65
69
-4
52avg 69
H14/10
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
69avg 69
H19/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
66-89
66
89
-23
48avg 69
H21/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
76-88
76
88
-12
63avg 69
A26/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
92-72
92
72
+20
85avg 69
H28/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
99-104 OT
99
104
-5
no box
H31/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
19-25
27-22
14-16
32-12
20-15
15-18
21-15
22-17
23-25
20-22
17-8
21-21
19-24
26-25
23-17
20-14
20-17
16-17
9-21
26-13
20-24
15-22
18-15
18-19
19-22
19-22
10-26
24-22
10-23
20-18
22-25
27-14
22-22
18-17
25-19
20-22
23-29
24-15
17-18
161.3Avg total
81.4Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.879.4161.2+2.356%
Season at home (7)81.677.1158.7+4.457%
Season away (2)82.587.5170.0-5.050%
Last 10 (10)81.479.9161.3+1.550%
Last 5 (5)82.485.4167.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.084.0153.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)82.980.9163.8+2.043%
vs Weaker (6)87.572.5160.0+15.083%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
77avg 77
H05/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
90-82
90
82
+8
88avg 77
A07/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
70-73
70
73
-3
58avg 77
H12/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
75-72
75
72
+3
64avg 77
A14/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
79-73
79
73
+6
75avg 77
H19/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
94-80
94
80
+14
91avg 77
A21/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
90-78
90
78
+12
92avg 77
A25/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
80-82
80
82
-2
76avg 77
H28/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
77-79
77
79
-2
68avg 77
H02/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
14-21
21-22
19-22
19-23
32-20
23-17
16-22
8-20
16-18
14-21
32-14
20-20
22-23
17-17
16-12
19-19
20-25
15-24
25-5
21-21
24-15
27-25
22-19
23-22
22-20
24-26
21-10
17-26
20-15
20-25
23-16
18-16
17-23
24-21
18-19
159.4Avg total
81.8Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.877.7159.4+4.167%
Season at home (5)77.477.4154.8+0.040%
Season away (4)87.278.0165.2+9.2100%
Last 10 (9)81.877.7159.4+4.167%
Last 5 (5)84.078.4162.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.080.0165.0+5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.875.6155.4+4.280%
vs Weaker (2)83.580.5164.0+3.050%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +5.9+5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +5.9+5.9
VilkaviskisJurbarkas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A22/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H05/10
NKL
Silute
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H07/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A12/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H14/10
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H19/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A26/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H28/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H31/10
NKL
82.4Avg total
42.3Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.738.981.5+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.337.480.7+5.961%-
Last 30 away (12)41.741.182.8+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.340.182.4+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.083.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.740.074.7-5.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)42.639.882.4+2.857%-
vs Weaker (6)47.035.082.0+12.083%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H05/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A07/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H12/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A14/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H19/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A25/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H28/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H02/11
NKL
80.1Avg total
39.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)39.940.280.1-0.344%-
Last 30 at home (5)35.239.674.8-4.420%-
Last 30 away (4)45.841.086.8+4.875%-
Last 10 (9)39.940.280.1-0.344%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.480.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.041.582.5-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.239.477.6-1.240%-
vs Weaker (2)43.041.084.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.925.0
55.7%
51.9%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.65.9
24.9%
33.3%17.6
🏀 Free throws19.412.2
63.2%
70.3%12.2
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.2
53.9%
51.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.1
32.5%
33.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.415.3
75.0%
70.3%15.3
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/9 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vilkaviskis
LWLLWLWWWL
Jurbarkas
LLWWWWLWW
#9
League position
#4
+4.9
Net rating
+5.4
103.4
Offensive rating
106.7
98.6
Defensive rating
101.3
49.4%
Effective FG%
51.7%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
18.5%
Turnover %
18.4%
37.1%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
24.9%
3-point %
32.5%
49.4%
Assist %
70.2%
50%
Form (last 10/9)
67%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 106.7Defence98.6 · 101.3Shooting49.4% · 51.7%3-point %24.9% · 32.5%Ball care18.5% · 18.4%Off. rebounds37.1% · 29.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/9)50% · 67%
■ Vilkaviskis   ■ Jurbarkas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vilkaviskis wins
0
Jurbarkas wins
No previous meetings.
Vilkaviskislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/23HVytis VDU99-104 OT
28/10/23HRytas 292-72
26/10/23ATelsiai76-88
21/10/23HBC Olimpas Palanga66-89
19/10/23HKretinga79-74
14/10/23HKauno Atletas65-69
12/10/23ANeptunas 289-87
07/10/23HSilute82-72
05/10/23HUkmerges Stekas88-60
22/03/23ASilute78-84
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/23HSilute77-79
28/10/23HTelsiai80-82
25/10/23ASuduva-Mantinga90-78
21/10/23ADelikatesas Joniskis94-80
19/10/23HVytis VDU79-73
14/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas 275-72
12/10/23HUkmerges Stekas70-73
07/10/23ANeptunas 290-82
05/10/23HKauno Atletas81-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vilkaviskis
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL56%
HomeLWLWL57%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %56%57%50%
Points / game81.881.682.5
Allowed / game79.477.187.5
Point differential+2.3+4.4-5.0
Avg total161.2158.7170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %11%14%0%
Jurbarkas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%40%100%
Points / game81.877.487.2
Allowed / game77.777.478.0
Point differential+4.1+0.0+9.2
Avg total159.4154.8165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai880100%90.076.1+13.9
2 BC Olimpas Palanga109190%86.473.3+13.1
3 Suduva-Mantinga65183%84.572.8+11.7
4 Jurbarkas96367%81.877.7+4.1
5 Delikatesas Joniskis85362%79.981.9-2.0
6 Vilkaviskis95456%81.879.4+2.3
7 Zalgiris Kaunas 294544%77.875.4+2.3
8 Silute94544%78.982.0-3.1
9 Ukmerges Stekas94544%73.277.3-4.1
10 Vytis VDU83538%86.686.2+0.4
11 Kauno Atletas93633%76.482.4-6.0
12 Kretinga92722%76.184.9-8.8
13 Rytas 292722%77.786.6-8.9
14 Neptunas 2101910%79.289.2-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vilkaviskis2624231689
Jurbarkas1727202286
← all games of the day
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