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Kauno Atletas vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 77-83
19-23 23-21 18-19 17-20
Position#11
Record3-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game83.3
Kauno Atletas
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas 2 🏆
Lithuania
Position#12
Record1-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game89.5
LithuaniaNKL· Kauno r. Garliavos sporto centras (Garliava)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 2
07 Nov 2026
KAUN v NEPT
upcoming
18 Jan 2024
KAUN77
NEPT82
11 Nov 2023
KAUN77
NEPT83
24 Nov 2022
KAUN88
NEPT54
22 Mar 2022
KAUN78
NEPT70
17 Mar 2022
KAUN70
NEPT61
04 Dec 2021
KAUN97
NEPT92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kauno Atletas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kauno AtletasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtletas
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
75-89
75
89
-14
66avg 66
A07/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
90-82
90
82
+8
88avg 66
H12/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
69-65
69
65
+4
64avg 66
A14/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
84-90
84
90
-6
78avg 66
H19/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
62-79
62
79
-17
60avg 66
A21/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
79-93
79
93
-14
64avg 66
H26/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
77-75
77
75
+2
66avg 66
A28/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
72-88
72
88
-16
58avg 66
H02/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
68avg 66
A04/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
69-90
69
90
-21
48avg 66
A09/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
20-26
19-22
16-21
25-17
24-19
30-18
11-28
14-20
17-20
17-16
21-9
22-25
26-23
16-17
20-25
12-22
19-16
17-15
14-26
18-24
20-21
20-21
21-27
17-17
17-12
22-25
21-21
17-25
12-22
26-21
17-20
12-29
18-18
18-20
25-17
15-23
23-24
12-19
19-24
158.5Avg total
75.0Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.583.3158.7-7.827%
Season at home (4)81.288.2169.5-7.025%
Season away (7)72.180.4152.6-8.329%
Last 10 (10)75.083.5158.5-8.530%
Last 5 (5)74.086.0160.0-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)69.279.9149.1-10.720%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.679.8157.4-2.136%
vs Weaker (1)90.082.0172.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
71-94
71
94
-23
64avg 72
A10/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
87-89
87
89
-2
84avg 72
H12/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
75-79
75
79
-4
66avg 72
A14/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
72-67
72
67
+5
67avg 72
H19/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
72-85
72
85
-13
54avg 72
A21/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
82-91
82
91
-9
76avg 72
H26/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
98-107
98
107
-9
100avg 72
A28/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
85-101
85
101
-16
89avg 72
H02/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
68-89
68
89
-21
62avg 72
A04/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
59-92
59
92
-33
49avg 72
H09/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
17-20
22-23
17-26
21-21
24-19
25-26
17-23
18-17
17-23
16-21
24-18
22-10
10-19
15-24
25-14
17-23
16-27
21-25
18-10
22-29
19-18
14-19
27-25
15-36
27-23
26-19
30-29
15-24
29-21
21-30
20-26
13-26
18-22
16-18
21-23
15-23
16-21
12-27
16-21
166.3Avg total
76.9Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.489.5166.8-12.19%
Season at home (6)77.888.3166.2-10.517%
Season away (5)76.890.8167.6-14.00%
Last 10 (10)76.989.4166.3-12.510%
Last 5 (5)78.496.0174.4-17.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)74.185.2159.3-11.023%
vs Similar ◀ (4)82.290.0172.2-7.80%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
Kauno AtletasNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kauno AtletasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A07/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H12/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A14/10
NKL
Silute
#14
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H19/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A21/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H26/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A28/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H02/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A04/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A09/11
NKL
79.1Avg total
36.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.339.476.7-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.741.380.0-2.636%-
Last 30 away (16)36.137.873.9-1.844%-
Last 10 (10)36.842.379.1-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)33.843.076.8-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.539.975.5-4.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.439.177.5-0.843%-
vs Weaker (1)49.036.085.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A10/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H12/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A14/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H19/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A21/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H26/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A28/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H02/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A04/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H09/11
NKL
81.3Avg total
36.6Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.843.380.1-6.423%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.741.178.8-3.431%-
Last 30 away (14)35.945.781.6-9.914%-
Last 10 (10)36.644.781.3-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)37.848.686.4-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)36.243.379.5-7.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)41.243.084.2-1.825%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kauno Atletastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kauno Atletas: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.221.0
51.0%
51.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.4
30.6%
33.3%19.2
🏀 Free throws19.313.0
67.4%
70.3%13.0
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.823.1
52.7%
51.9%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.95.1
28.5%
33.3%15.3
🏀 Free throws20.714.6
70.5%
70.3%14.6
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kauno Atletas
LLLWLLLWWL
Neptunas 2
LLLLLLWLLL
#11
League position
#12
-12.8
Net rating
-16.3
102.5
Offensive rating
101.1
115.3
Defensive rating
117.4
49.3%
Effective FG%
49.8%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
18.9%
Turnover %
21.7%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.6%
3-point %
28.5%
58.0%
Assist %
60.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 101.1Defence115.3 · 117.4Shooting49.3% · 49.8%3-point %30.6% · 28.5%Ball care18.9% · 21.7%Off. rebounds33.1% · 34.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Kauno Atletas   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Kauno Atletas wins
0
Neptunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
24/11/22Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 288-54
08/10/22Neptunas 2 v Kauno Atletas81-86 OT
22/03/22Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 278-70
19/03/22Neptunas 2 v Kauno Atletas75-89
17/03/22Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 270-61
04/12/21Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 297-92 OT
09/10/21Neptunas 2 v Kauno Atletas82-88
Kauno Atletaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23ASuduva-Mantinga69-90
04/11/23AKretinga73-84
02/11/23HBC Olimpas Palanga72-88
28/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas 277-75
26/10/23HVytis VDU79-93
21/10/23AUkmerges Stekas62-79
19/10/23HSilute84-90
14/10/23AVilkaviskis69-65
12/10/23HRytas 290-82
07/10/23ADelikatesas Joniskis75-89
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23HTelsiai59-92
04/11/23ABC Olimpas Palanga68-89
02/11/23HRytas 285-101
28/10/23AVytis VDU98-107
26/10/23HDelikatesas Joniskis82-91
21/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas 272-85
19/10/23HUkmerges Stekas72-67
14/10/23ASilute75-79
12/10/23HVilkaviskis87-89
10/10/23ASuduva-Mantinga71-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kauno Atletas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL27%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %27%25%29%
Points / game75.581.272.1
Allowed / game83.388.280.4
Point differential-7.8-7.0-8.3
Avg total158.7169.5152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %9%17%0%
Points / game77.477.876.8
Allowed / game89.588.390.8
Point differential-12.1-10.5-14.0
Avg total166.8166.2167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Olimpas Palanga1211192%84.571.1+13.4
2 Telsiai109190%87.574.4+13.1
3 Suduva-Mantinga86275%86.675.4+11.2
4 Delikatesas Joniskis106460%78.381.0-2.7
5 Jurbarkas127558%81.178.4+2.7
6 Zalgiris Kaunas 2116555%77.474.2+3.2
7 Vilkaviskis116555%81.779.6+2.1
8 Ukmerges Stekas115645%75.379.0-3.7
9 Vytis VDU94544%87.786.6+1.1
10 Silute114736%78.681.7-3.1
11 Rytas 2103730%79.687.5-7.9
12 Kretinga113827%77.284.6-7.5
13 Kauno Atletas113827%75.583.3-7.8
14 Neptunas 2111109%77.489.5-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kauno Atletas1923181777
Neptunas 22321192083
← all games of the day
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