Keflavik vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Nov 2023

Tip-off: 19:15

Final 97-78

20-17 27-16 24-24 26-21

Position#3

Record3-3

FormLWLWL

Points / game88.5

Allowed / game91.7

Keflavik 🏆

Alftanes

Position#6

Record4-2

FormWWWLW

Points / game82.8

Allowed / game77.0

Premier leagueRound 7· Blue-hollin

Other2023-24

Meetings · Keflavik v Alftanes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Alftanes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keflavik

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKeflavik

Date

Competition

Tindastoll

107-114 OT

107

114

-7

no box

H05/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

81-107

107

-26

no box

A08/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

100-78

100

+22

no box

H12/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

79-97

-18

no box

A15/04

Premier league

Hamar

#12

111-103

111

103

102avg 79

A05/10

Premier league

Tindastoll

88-105

105

-17

77avg 79

A14/10

Premier league

Valur

87-86

78avg 79

H19/10

Premier league

Stjarnan

81-87

-6

74avg 79

A26/10

Premier league

Haukar

#10

89-86

79avg 79

H03/11

Premier league

Hottur

75-83

-8

66avg 79

A09/11

Premier league

22-17

22-33

23-27

30-20

21-28

24-15

14-37

22-27

26-18

27-21

24-15

23-24

19-25

20-24

15-21

25-27

28-30

24-29

37-27

22-17

23-19

17-28

29-28

19-30

19-22

20-29

21-15

27-20

26-26

28-12

17-22

10-27

26-22

28-22

22-16

13-26

23-23

10-17

21-12

21-31

184.4Avg total

89.8Scored

94.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	88.5	91.7	180.2	-3.2	50%
Season at home (2)	88.0	86.0	174.0	+2.0	100%
Season away (4)	88.8	94.5	183.2	-5.8	25%
Last 10 (10)	89.8	94.6	184.4	-4.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	89.4	173.4	-5.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	90.0	94.1	184.1	-4.1	38%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	88.8	90.6	179.3	-1.8	42%
vs Weaker (10)	95.8	88.9	184.7	+6.9	70%

This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alftanes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlftanes

Date

Competition

Njardvik

84-100

100

-16

no box

H31/10

Icelandic Cup

Tindastoll

65-70

-5

30avg 74

H08/10

Premier league

Grindavik

86-79

82avg 74

H12/10

Premier league

Breidablik

#11

91-71

+20

85avg 74

A19/10

Premier league

Njardvik

90-79

+11

93avg 74

H26/10

Premier league

Thorl

79-84

-5

74avg 74

A02/11

Premier league

Hamar

#12

86-79

79avg 74

H06/11

Premier league

11-26

20-33

15-24

38-17

20-26

18-20

16-11

11-13

27-17

23-21

16-23

20-18

32-20

12-15

26-18

21-18

22-22

26-15

19-21

23-21

17-24

23-23

19-19

20-18

25-12

23-25

20-13

18-29

163.3Avg total

83.0Scored

80.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	82.8	77.0	159.8	+5.8	67%
Season at home (4)	81.8	76.8	158.5	+5.0	75%
Season away (2)	85.0	77.5	162.5	+7.5	50%
Last 10 (7)	83.0	80.3	163.3	+2.7	57%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	78.4	164.8	+8.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	86.0	79.0	165.0	+7.0	100%
vs Similar ◀ (3)	78.0	77.7	155.7	+0.3	33%
vs Weaker (2)	88.5	75.0	163.5	+13.5	100%

This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KeflavikAlftanes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	22.7	45.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	21.3	44.6	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.1	23.9	47.1	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	23.0	46.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.4	45.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.8	24.2	45.0	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	23.5	22.5	46.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	24.9	21.7	46.6	+3.2	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (7)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (2)	24.5	22.0	46.5	+2.5	50%	-
Last 10 (7)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	43%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	19.0	43.6	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	27.0	17.0	44.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	19.7	24.0	43.7	-4.3	0%	-
vs Weaker (2)	28.5	16.0	44.5	+12.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	22.1	45.2	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.8	21.4	46.2	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.7	22.6	44.3	-0.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	23.0	45.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	23.1	23.1	46.2	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	22.8	20.7	43.5	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.5	22.9	46.4	+0.6	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (7)	20.7	21.7	42.4	-1.0	29%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	22.0	22.8	44.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (2)	17.5	19.0	36.5	-1.5	0%	-
Last 10 (7)	20.7	21.7	42.4	-1.0	29%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	22.3	19.3	41.7	+3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.5	20.0	37.5	-2.5	0%	-

KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tindastoll

44-50

-6

H05/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

45-43

A08/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

53-39

+14

H12/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

39-49

-10

A15/04

Premier league

Hamar

#12

52-59

-7

A05/10

Premier league

Tindastoll

40-47

-7

A14/10

Premier league

Valur

39-51

-12

H19/10

Premier league

Stjarnan

54-38

+16

A26/10

Premier league

Haukar

#10

54-44

+10

H03/11

Premier league

Hottur

33-40

-7

A09/11

Premier league

91.3Avg total

45.3Scored

46.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.4	44.8	91.1	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	48.1	42.7	90.9	+5.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.8	46.6	91.4	-1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	46.0	91.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	44.0	88.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	43.9	47.4	91.2	-3.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	46.3	43.2	89.5	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (10)	48.4	44.6	93.0	+3.8	60%	-

This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Njardvik

31-59

-28

H31/10

Icelandic Cup

Tindastoll

38-46

-8

H08/10

Premier league

Grindavik

50-38

+12

H12/10

Premier league

Breidablik

#11

44-35

A19/10

Premier league

Njardvik

48-37

+11

H26/10

Premier league

Thorl

40-47

-7

A02/11

Premier league

Hamar

#12

48-37

+11

H06/11

Premier league

85.4Avg total

42.7Scored

42.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (7)	42.7	42.7	85.4	+0.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	43.0	43.4	86.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (2)	42.0	41.0	83.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (7)	42.7	42.7	85.4	+0.0	57%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	38.8	84.8	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	50.0	38.0	88.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	42.0	43.3	85.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.0	36.0	82.0	+10.0	100%	-

This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	22.4	45.2	+0.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.8	21.2	45.0	+2.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	23.5	45.4	-1.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.0	44.3	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.6	40.6	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	23.2	23.5	46.8	-0.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (10)	24.5	22.6	47.1	+1.9	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (7)	18.7	18.4	37.1	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	17.2	18.4	35.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (2)	22.5	18.5	41.0	+4.0	50%	-
Last 10 (7)	18.7	18.4	37.1	+0.3	43%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	16.0	23.0	39.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	15.5	38.5	+7.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	23.2	45.1	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	22.9	44.8	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	23.5	45.4	-1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	24.9	46.1	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	26.8	44.8	-8.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	24.9	24.0	48.9	+0.9	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.2	23.9	43.1	-4.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.9	21.7	44.6	+1.2	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (7)	21.6	19.1	40.7	+2.4	71%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (2)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	100%	-
Last 10 (7)	21.6	19.1	40.7	+2.4	71%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	18.0	17.3	35.3	+0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	23.5	43.0	-4.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.7	45.6	90.4	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.7	44.1	89.8	+1.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.9	47.0	90.9	-3.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	46.9	90.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	45.4	85.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	44.9	44.6	89.5	+0.2	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	42.4	47.4	89.8	-5.0	42%	-
vs Weaker (10)	47.4	44.3	91.7	+3.1	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (7)	40.3	37.6	77.9	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	39.2	38.0	77.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (2)	43.0	36.5	79.5	+6.5	100%	-
Last 10 (7)	40.3	37.6	77.9	+2.7	57%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	39.6	80.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	36.0	41.0	77.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	36.0	34.3	70.3	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	42.5	39.0	81.5	+3.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 87.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀39%

🏀🏀🏀43%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game

46%

38%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.5	17.0	52.3%	51.2%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	38.3	12.5	32.6%	34.2%	37.5
🏀 Free throws	20.0	15.7	78.3%	74.4%	15.7

They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 82.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀60%

🏀🏀🏀23%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers49.3 pts a game · 60% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 23% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game

46%

38%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.0	24.7	53.6%	51.2%	49.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.2	6.3	31.4%	34.2%	19.0
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.8	70.9%	74.4%	13.8

They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.5	52.2%	51.2%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.3	12.0	36.0%	34.2%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	15.8	12.0	75.8%	74.4%	12.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	17.7	51.2%	51.2%	35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.2	9.5	26.3%	34.2%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	17.7	11.8	67.0%	74.4%	11.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.5	52.2%	51.2%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.3	12.0	36.0%	34.2%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	15.8	12.0	75.8%	74.4%	12.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	17.7	51.2%	51.2%	35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.2	9.5	26.3%	34.2%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	17.7	11.8	67.0%	74.4%	11.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Keflavik

LWLWLWLWLL

Alftanes

WLWWWLL

League position

-4.6

Net rating

+8.1

105.3

Offensive rating

102.9

109.9

Defensive rating

94.8

50.5%

Effective FG%

51.6%

53.0%

Opp. effective FG%

45.2%

14.5%

Turnover %

14.3%

20.6%

Off. rebound %

18.2%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.29

32.6%

3-point %

31.4%

59.3%

Assist %

55.9%

40%

Form (last 10/7)

57%

Profile

■ Keflavik ■ Alftanes

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Keflavik wins

Alftanes wins

No previous meetings.

Keflaviklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/23	A	Hottur	75-83
03/11/23	H	Haukar	89-86
26/10/23	A	Stjarnan	81-87
19/10/23	H	Valur	87-86
14/10/23	A	Tindastoll	88-105
05/10/23	A	Hamar	111-103
15/04/23	A	Tindastoll	79-97
12/04/23	H	Tindastoll	100-78
08/04/23	A	Tindastoll	81-107
05/04/23	H	Tindastoll	107-114 OT

Alftaneslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/11/23	H	Hamar	86-79
02/11/23	A	Thorl	79-84
26/10/23	H	Njardvik	90-79
19/10/23	A	Breidablik	91-71
12/10/23	H	Grindavik	86-79
08/10/23	H	Tindastoll	65-70
31/10/21	H	Njardvik	84-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik

Premier league 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	50%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	2	4
Win %	50%	100%	25%
Points / game	88.5	88.0	88.8
Allowed / game	91.7	86.0	94.5
Point differential	-3.2	+2.0	-5.8
Avg total	180.2	174.0	183.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Alftanes

Premier league 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Losses (last 7)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	67%
Home	LWWW	75%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	67%	75%	50%
Points / game	82.8	81.8	85.0
Allowed / game	77.0	76.8	77.5
Point differential	+5.8	+5.0	+7.5
Avg total	159.8	158.5	162.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	25%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Valur	6	4	2	67%	95.0	86.2	+8.8
2	Alftanes	6	4	2	67%	82.8	77.0	+5.8
3	Njardvik	6	4	2	67%	92.8	87.2	+5.7
4	Tindastoll	6	4	2	67%	87.7	82.3	+5.3
5	Stjarnan	6	4	2	67%	85.8	81.8	+4.0
6	Hottur	6	4	2	67%	88.3	88.0	+0.3
7	Thorl	6	4	2	67%	84.5	85.3	-0.8
8	Grindavik	6	3	3	50%	94.2	93.0	+1.2
9	Keflavik	6	3	3	50%	88.5	91.7	-3.2
10	Haukar	6	2	4	33%	100.3	94.7	+5.7
11	Hamar	6	0	6	0%	86.5	99.0	-12.5
12	Breidablik	6	0	6	0%	80.3	100.7	-20.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Keflavik	20	27	24	26	97
Alftanes	17	16	24	21	78

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Keflavik vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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