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Hottur vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 83-75
23-23 17-10 12-21 31-21
Position#8
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game90.6
Hottur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#3
Record3-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game93.4
IcelandPremier leagueRound 6· MVA-hollin Egilsstodum
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hottur v Keflavik
28 Jan 2027
HOTT v KEFL
upcoming
10 Oct 2024
HOTT120
KEFL115
21 Jan 2024
HOTT93
KEFL123
09 Nov 2023
HOTT83
KEFL75
16 Mar 2023
HOTT84
KEFL89
10 May 2021
HOTT62
KEFL74
16 Nov 2017
HOTT66
KEFL92
29 Jan 2016
HOTT66
KEFL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hottur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keflavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
Valur
#2
L
81-90
81
90
-9
no box
H05/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
L
86-87
86
87
-1
no box
A11/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
H16/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#10
W
98-85
98
85
+13
no box
A23/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#11
L
79-80
79
80
-1
no box
H30/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
104-87
104
87
+17
106avg 85
A05/10
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
H12/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
71-107
71
107
-36
57avg 85
A20/10
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
83-84
83
84
-1
76avg 85
H26/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
109-102
109
102
+7
101avg 85
A02/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
16-19
20-32
24-15
14-25
16-19
28-18
28-25
26-31
21-20
17-21
20-17
15-22
21-24
30-19
32-20
22-19
11-16
25-23
21-22
29-24
21-16
25-26
29-21
24-17
14-16
15-21
27-19
15-32
23-26
19-23
14-26
22-24
15-20
25-29
21-11
28-26
28-18
24-25
29-33
175.9Avg total
87.5Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.490.6180.0-1.260%
Season at home (2)81.578.5160.0+3.050%
Season away (3)94.798.7193.3-4.067%
Last 10 (10)87.588.4175.9-0.940%
Last 5 (5)89.490.6180.0-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)82.290.5172.8-8.233%
vs Similar (7)83.186.6169.7-3.414%
vs Weaker (10)87.080.5167.5+6.570%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#1
L
79-82
79
82
-3
no box
H30/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
107-114 OT
107
114
-7
no box
H05/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
81-107
81
107
-26
no box
A08/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
100-78
100
78
+22
no box
H12/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
79-97
79
97
-18
no box
A15/04
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
111-103
111
103
+8
102avg 82
A05/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
88-105
88
105
-17
77avg 82
A14/10
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
87-86
87
86
+1
78avg 82
H19/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
74avg 82
A26/10
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
89-86
89
86
+3
79avg 82
H03/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
21-16
16-15
22-29
22-17
22-33
23-27
30-20
21-28
24-15
14-37
22-27
26-18
27-21
24-15
23-24
19-25
20-24
15-21
25-27
28-30
24-29
37-27
22-17
23-19
17-28
29-28
19-30
19-22
20-29
21-15
27-20
26-26
28-12
17-22
10-27
26-22
28-22
22-16
13-26
184.7Avg total
90.2Scored
94.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.293.4184.6-2.260%
Season at home (2)88.086.0174.0+2.0100%
Season away (3)93.398.3191.7-5.033%
Last 10 (10)90.294.5184.7-4.340%
Last 5 (5)91.293.4184.6-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)90.094.1184.1-4.138%
vs Similar (12)88.890.6179.3-1.842%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)98.189.6187.7+8.678%
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -3.4-3.4
HotturKeflavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H05/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A11/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H16/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#10
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A23/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#11
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H30/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A05/10
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H12/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A20/10
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H26/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A02/11
Premier league
84.0Avg total
40.2Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.643.283.8-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.641.680.3-3.029%-
Last 30 away (16)42.344.686.9-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)40.243.884.0-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.887.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.245.284.4-5.917%-
vs Similar (7)40.144.985.0-4.714%-
vs Weaker (10)41.839.781.5+2.160%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H30/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H05/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A08/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H12/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A15/04
Premier league
Hamar
#12
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A05/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A14/10
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H19/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A26/10
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H03/11
Premier league
91.9Avg total
46.1Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.844.391.1+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.041.589.5+6.573%-
Last 30 away (15)45.647.092.6-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)46.145.891.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)47.847.895.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.947.491.2-3.538%-
vs Similar (12)46.343.289.5+3.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)50.145.195.2+5.067%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.5 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.521.8
51.2%
51.2%43.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.0
37.0%
34.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws15.813.8
87.3%
74.4%13.8
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.6
51.8%
51.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.412.8
33.3%
34.2%38.4
🏀 Free throws20.416.4
80.4%
74.4%16.4
They take 72.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/5 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hottur
WLLWWLWLLL
Keflavik
WLWLWLWLLL
#8
League position
#3
-6.0
Net rating
-3.1
113.2
Offensive rating
107.6
119.1
Defensive rating
110.7
52.9%
Effective FG%
50.8%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
17.0%
Turnover %
12.9%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
20.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.0%
3-point %
33.3%
52.7%
Assist %
58.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 107.6Defence119.1 · 110.7Shooting52.9% · 50.8%3-point %37.0% · 33.3%Ball care17.0% · 12.9%Off. rebounds33.3% · 20.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Hottur   ■ Keflavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hottur wins
7
Keflavik wins
DateGameScore
16/03/23Hottur v Keflavik84-89
08/12/22Keflavik v Hottur71-62
10/05/21Hottur v Keflavik62-74
01/03/21Keflavik v Hottur93-73
12/02/18Keflavik v Hottur93-95
16/11/17Hottur v Keflavik66-92
29/01/16Hottur v Keflavik66-69
30/10/15Keflavik v Hottur99-69
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/23AHamar109-102
26/10/23HThorl83-84
20/10/23ANjardvik71-107
12/10/23HBreidablik80-73
05/10/23AGrindavik104-87
30/03/23HIR Reykjavik79-80
23/03/23ABreidablik98-85
16/03/23HKeflavik84-89
11/03/23AGrindavik86-87
05/03/23HValur81-90
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/23HHaukar89-86
26/10/23AStjarnan81-87
19/10/23HValur87-86
14/10/23ATindastoll88-105
05/10/23AHamar111-103
15/04/23ATindastoll79-97
12/04/23HTindastoll100-78
08/04/23ATindastoll81-107
05/04/23HTindastoll107-114 OT
30/03/23HNjardvik79-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hottur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game89.481.594.7
Allowed / game90.678.598.7
Point differential-1.2+3.0-4.0
Avg total180.0160.0193.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keflavik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game91.288.093.3
Allowed / game93.486.098.3
Point differential-2.2+2.0-5.0
Avg total184.6174.0191.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tindastoll54180%89.682.0+7.6
2 Thorl54180%83.483.8-0.4
3 Alftanes64267%82.877.0+5.8
4 Valur53260%88.678.6+10.0
5 Njardvik53260%91.686.0+5.6
6 Stjarnan53260%86.282.6+3.6
7 Hottur53260%89.490.6-1.2
8 Keflavik53260%91.293.4-2.2
9 Haukar52340%95.688.2+7.4
10 Grindavik52340%94.493.6+0.8
11 Hamar6060%86.599.0-12.5
12 Breidablik5050%77.8101.0-23.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hottur2317123183
Keflavik2310212175
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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