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Keflavik W vs Valur W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 79-88
22-20 19-12 21-26 17-30
Position#6
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Keflavik W
Iceland
vs
Valur W 🏆
Iceland
Position#5
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
IcelandPremier League WRound 1· Blue-hollin
Women2025-26
Meetings · Keflavik W v Valur W
25 Jan 2027
KEFL v VALU
upcoming
01 Oct 2025
KEFL79
VALU88
26 Feb 2025
KEFL73
VALU77
05 Jan 2025
KEFL79
VALU65
19 Nov 2023
KEFL70
VALU50
25 Apr 2023
KEFL78
VALU66
19 Apr 2023
KEFL66
VALU69
15 Mar 2023
KEFL70
VALU55
04 Dec 2022
KEFL75
VALU84
23 Mar 2022
KEFL74
VALU72
08 Dec 2021
KEFL74
VALU79
08 May 2021
KEFL68
VALU81
23 Jan 2021
KEFL87
VALU83
11 Mar 2020
KEFL94
VALU85
04 Dec 2019
KEFL92
VALU90
24 Apr 2019
KEFL96
VALU100
06 Feb 2019
KEFL75
VALU94
24 Oct 2018
KEFL77
VALU69
10 Apr 2018
KEFL95
VALU79
03 Apr 2018
KEFL77
VALU88
17 Jan 2018
KEFL82
VALU71
07 Oct 2017
KEFL85
VALU93
18 Mar 2017
KEFL99
VALU75
26 Oct 2016
KEFL84
VALU81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keflavik WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Valur W
#6
L
73-77
73
77
-4
61avg 76
H26/02
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
96-105
96
105
-9
84avg 76
H02/03
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
96-105
96
105
-9
88avg 76
A05/03
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
W
90-88
90
88
+2
82avg 76
A26/03
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
92-63
92
63
+29
95avg 76
H31/03
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
90-78
90
78
+12
86avg 76
A04/04
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
88-58
88
58
+30
86avg 76
H08/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
80-95
80
95
-15
33avg 76
A19/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
73-76
73
76
-3
51avg 76
H23/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
89-101
89
101
-12
84avg 76
A27/04
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
7-26
31-10
18-20
25-29
30-32
26-24
15-20
27-27
25-23
26-27
18-28
22-28
17-16
20-24
31-20
29-19
17-14
18-13
28-17
26-22
26-8
20-28
18-20
28-17
16-21
20-11
24-9
15-20
17-20
30-26
18-29
21-27
23-18
10-14
19-17
22-27
22-19
26-32
19-23
171.3Avg total
86.7Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.784.6171.3+2.140%
Last 5 (5)84.081.6165.6+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)91.7100.7192.3-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)88.893.8182.6-5.033%
vs Weaker (18)83.771.9155.6+11.883%
This opponent (Valur W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valur WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
73-84
73
84
-11
58avg 64
A02/03
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
77-98
77
98
-21
72avg 64
H05/03
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
80-90
80
90
-10
64avg 64
H12/03
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
W
92-86
92
86
+6
80avg 64
A01/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
W
102-75
102
75
+27
99avg 64
H05/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
60-72
60
72
-12
47avg 64
A09/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
W
75-70
75
70
+5
72avg 64
H13/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
66-101
66
101
-35
57avg 64
A19/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
80-82
80
82
-2
77avg 64
H22/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
64-79
64
79
-15
51avg 64
A26/04
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-30
22-16
12-18
24-20
23-21
10-20
14-26
30-31
25-30
24-23
12-19
19-18
24-28
20-21
25-17
23-20
25-12
26-21
24-19
27-23
13-21
12-18
20-14
15-19
22-16
12-22
22-23
19-9
13-27
20-24
19-24
14-26
22-14
21-26
21-19
16-23
20-21
20-16
8-15
16-27
160.6Avg total
76.9Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.983.7160.6-6.830%
Last 5 (5)69.080.8149.8-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)74.681.7156.3-7.125%
vs Similar ◀ (8)70.969.9140.8+1.062%
vs Weaker (2)85.571.0156.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Keflavik W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
Keflavik WValur W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keflavik WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur W
#6
L
24-47
24
47
-23
H26/02
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H02/03
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A05/03
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A26/03
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H31/03
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
52-30
52
30
+22
A04/04
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H08/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A19/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H23/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A27/04
Premier League W
86.6Avg total
43.2Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.442.687.0+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.143.188.2+1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)43.742.185.9+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)43.243.486.6-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.883.0+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.050.794.7-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)46.846.393.1+0.456%-
vs Weaker (18)43.339.482.7+3.861%-
This opponent (Valur W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valur WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A02/03
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H05/03
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H12/03
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A01/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H05/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A09/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H13/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A19/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A26/04
Premier League W
81.6Avg total
38.9Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.578.7-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.780.9-0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)36.240.376.5-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)38.942.781.6-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.041.076.0-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.242.379.5-5.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.936.975.8+2.062%-
vs Weaker (2)44.537.081.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Keflavik W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflavik Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik W: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.523.3
50.1%
49.5%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.9
33.0%
31.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.512.4
70.9%
76.4%12.4
They take 73.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valur Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur W: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.618.9
47.7%
49.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.7
31.3%
31.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.412.2
66.3%
76.4%12.2
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik W
LLLWWWWLLL
Valur W
LLLWLWWLLL
#6
League position
#5
+2.3
Net rating
-9.1
104.4
Offensive rating
99.0
102.0
Defensive rating
108.2
49.9%
Effective FG%
47.4%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
14.8%
Turnover %
19.5%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.0%
3-point %
31.3%
62.7%
Assist %
59.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 99.0Defence102.0 · 108.2Shooting49.9% · 47.4%3-point %33.0% · 31.3%Ball care14.8% · 19.5%Off. rebounds25.3% · 33.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Keflavik W   ■ Valur W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Keflavik W wins
5
Valur W wins
DateGameScore
26/02/25Keflavik W v Valur W73-77
05/01/25Keflavik W v Valur W79-65
16/10/24Valur W v Keflavik W73-79
24/01/24Valur W v Keflavik W79-77
19/11/23Keflavik W v Valur W70-50
28/04/23Valur W v Keflavik W72-68
25/04/23Keflavik W v Valur W78-66
22/04/23Valur W v Keflavik W77-70 OT
19/04/23Keflavik W v Valur W66-69
15/03/23Keflavik W v Valur W70-55
Keflavik Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25ANjardvik W89-101
23/04/25HNjardvik W73-76
19/04/25ANjardvik W80-95
08/04/25HTindastoll W88-58
04/04/25ATindastoll W90-78
31/03/25HTindastoll W92-63
26/03/25AThor AK Akureyri W90-88
05/03/25ANjardvik W96-105
02/03/25HHaukar W96-105
26/02/25HValur W73-77
Valur Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25AHaukar W64-79
22/04/25HHaukar W80-82
19/04/25AHaukar W66-101
13/04/25HThor AK Akureyri W75-70
09/04/25AThor AK Akureyri W60-72
05/04/25HThor AK Akureyri W102-75
01/04/25AThor AK Akureyri W92-86
12/03/25HNjardvik W80-90
05/03/25HHaukar W77-98
02/03/25AThor AK Akureyri W73-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik W
Premier League W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Valur W
Premier League W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Njardvik W110100%81.064.0+17.0
2 KR Reykjavik W110100%75.060.0+15.0
3 Haukar W110100%99.085.0+14.0
4 Tindastoll W1010%85.099.0-14.0
5 Armann W1010%60.075.0-15.0
6 Stjarnan W1010%64.081.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keflavik W2219211779
Valur W2012263088
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