PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Keflavik W vs Valur W Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 25 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#8
Record1-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game80.8
Keflavik W
Iceland
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Valur W
Iceland
Position#5
Record4-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game71.8
IcelandPremier League WRound 15· Blue-hollin
Women2026-27
Meetings · Keflavik W v Valur W
25 Jan 2027
KEFL v VALU
upcoming
01 Oct 2025
KEFL79
VALU88
26 Feb 2025
KEFL73
VALU77
05 Jan 2025
KEFL79
VALU65
19 Nov 2023
KEFL70
VALU50
25 Apr 2023
KEFL78
VALU66
19 Apr 2023
KEFL66
VALU69
15 Mar 2023
KEFL70
VALU55
04 Dec 2022
KEFL75
VALU84
23 Mar 2022
KEFL74
VALU72
08 Dec 2021
KEFL74
VALU79
08 May 2021
KEFL68
VALU81
23 Jan 2021
KEFL87
VALU83
11 Mar 2020
KEFL94
VALU85
04 Dec 2019
KEFL92
VALU90
24 Apr 2019
KEFL96
VALU100
06 Feb 2019
KEFL75
VALU94
24 Oct 2018
KEFL77
VALU69
10 Apr 2018
KEFL95
VALU79
03 Apr 2018
KEFL77
VALU88
17 Jan 2018
KEFL82
VALU71
07 Oct 2017
KEFL85
VALU93
18 Mar 2017
KEFL99
VALU75
26 Oct 2016
KEFL84
VALU81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valur W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keflavik WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Haukar W
#2
L
71-85
71
85
-14
64avg 74
A20/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
W
98-81
98
81
+17
97avg 74
H24/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
72-86
72
86
-14
68avg 74
A28/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
72-98
72
98
-26
51avg 74
H02/05
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
L
58-73
58
73
-15
42avg 74
A29/09
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
63avg 74
A07/10
Premier League W
Fjolnir W
#10
W
98-61
98
61
+37
94avg 74
H12/10
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
60avg 74
A21/10
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#2
L
72-92
72
92
-20
57avg 74
H27/10
Premier League W
Valur W
#5
L
70-87
70
87
-17
no box
A02/11
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
17-15
20-25
18-21
29-21
31-20
24-15
14-25
16-13
19-28
16-25
21-20
11-23
11-23
31-25
19-27
19-21
21-19
10-20
8-13
25-25
20-22
21-17
13-19
24-16
24-14
25-13
25-18
21-31
18-19
17-18
19-21
21-25
13-23
16-23
22-21
16-21
20-19
12-21
22-26
160.0Avg total
76.5Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.380.8156.2-5.517%
Season at home (2)85.076.5161.5+8.550%
Season away (4)70.583.0153.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)76.583.5160.0-7.020%
Last 5 (5)78.882.4161.2-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.988.3164.2-12.410%
vs Similar (15)83.981.0164.9+2.960%
vs Weaker (5)87.675.6163.2+12.060%
This opponent (Valur W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valur WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Njardvik W
#1
L
61-87
61
87
-26
52avg 66
A25/03
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
55-59
55
59
-4
46avg 66
H31/03
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
70avg 66
A04/04
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
72-90
72
90
-18
61avg 66
H09/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#4
W
77-64
77
64
+13
60avg 66
H30/09
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
53avg 66
H06/10
Premier League W
Armann W
#9
W
89-78
89
78
+11
80avg 66
A13/10
Premier League W
Haukar W
#3
L
85-90
85
90
-5
72avg 66
H20/10
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
72-45
72
45
+27
74avg 66
A28/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#8
W
87-70
87
70
+17
no box
H02/11
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
16-12
15-26
10-26
7-15
13-8
15-13
20-23
17-22
15-21
25-12
16-24
11-33
22-21
23-19
16-17
18-20
15-15
14-17
30-12
22-27
19-14
18-24
9-19
22-15
28-13
17-28
22-22
22-29
27-21
22-17
14-23
15-9
19-13
20-6
18-17
21-16
19-20
21-12
26-22
148.5Avg total
73.9Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.771.8151.5+7.867%
Season at home (4)79.277.0156.2+2.250%
Season away (2)80.561.5142.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.974.6148.5-0.740%
Last 5 (5)80.273.4153.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)79.380.0159.3-0.735%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)82.873.0155.8+9.877%
This opponent (Keflavik W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -2.4-2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -2.4-2.4
Keflavik WValur W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keflavik WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar W
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A20/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H24/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A28/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
22-46
22
46
-24
H02/05
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A29/09
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A07/10
Premier League W
Fjolnir W
#10
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H12/10
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A21/10
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#2
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H27/10
Premier League W
Valur W
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A02/11
Premier League W
81.4Avg total
39.2Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.981.9-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.539.579.9+1.062%-
Last 30 away (17)39.643.883.4-4.118%-
Last 10 (10)39.242.281.4-3.020%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.083.4-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.444.782.1-7.310%-
vs Similar (15)40.940.981.9+0.047%-
vs Weaker (5)42.439.281.6+3.260%-
This opponent (Valur W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valur WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik W
#1
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A25/03
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
20-23
20
23
-3
H31/03
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A04/04
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H09/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H30/09
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H06/10
Premier League W
Armann W
#9
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A13/10
Premier League W
Haukar W
#3
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H20/10
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A28/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H02/11
Premier League W
73.5Avg total
36.8Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.337.579.7+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.840.880.6-1.141%-
Last 30 away (13)45.533.178.6+12.592%-
Last 10 (10)36.836.773.5+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.835.478.2+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)40.339.279.5+1.153%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.835.280.0+9.777%-
This opponent (Keflavik W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflavik Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik W: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.5
51.2%
47.8%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.48.3
28.2%
30.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws15.411.0
71.4%
74.1%11.0
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valur Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur W: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.117.4
46.9%
47.8%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.28.9
29.5%
30.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.011.9
74.4%
74.1%11.9
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik W
LLLWLLLLWL
Valur W
WWLWLWLLLL
#8
League position
#5
-1.1
Net rating
-1.9
84.6
Offensive rating
83.5
85.7
Defensive rating
85.4
47.5%
Effective FG%
45.7%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
17.4%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.24
28.2%
3-point %
29.5%
65.3%
Assist %
59.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence84.6 · 83.5Defence85.7 · 85.4Shooting47.5% · 45.7%3-point %28.2% · 29.5%Ball care17.4% · 15.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Keflavik W   ■ Valur W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Keflavik W wins
5
Valur W wins
DateGameScore
02/11/26Valur W v Keflavik W87-70
02/12/25Valur W v Keflavik W92-95
01/10/25Keflavik W v Valur W79-88
26/02/25Keflavik W v Valur W73-77
05/01/25Keflavik W v Valur W79-65
16/10/24Valur W v Keflavik W73-79
24/01/24Valur W v Keflavik W79-77
19/11/23Keflavik W v Valur W70-50
28/04/23Valur W v Keflavik W72-68
25/04/23Keflavik W v Valur W78-66
Keflavik Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26AValur W70-87
27/10/26HStjarnan W72-92
21/10/26AGrindavik W75-89
12/10/26HFjolnir W98-61
07/10/26ANjardvik W79-83
29/09/26ATindastoll W58-73
02/05/26HHaukar W72-98
28/04/26AHaukar W72-86
24/04/26HHaukar W98-81
20/04/26AHaukar W71-85
Valur Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HKeflavik W87-70
28/10/26ATindastoll W72-45
20/10/26HHaukar W85-90
13/10/26AArmann W89-78
06/10/26HKR Reykjavik W68-84
30/09/26HNjardvik W77-64
09/04/26HGrindavik W72-90
04/04/26AGrindavik W73-79
31/03/26HGrindavik W55-59
25/03/26ANjardvik W61-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik W
Premier League W 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%50%0%
Points / game75.385.070.5
Allowed / game80.876.583.0
Point differential-5.5+8.5-12.5
Avg total156.2161.5153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valur W
Premier League W 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game79.779.280.5
Allowed / game71.877.061.5
Point differential+7.8+2.2+19.0
Avg total151.5156.2142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik W660100%92.372.7+19.7
2 Stjarnan W65183%89.774.5+15.2
3 Haukar W64267%86.375.3+11.0
4 Njardvik W64267%91.781.0+10.7
5 Valur W64267%79.771.8+7.8
6 KR Reykjavik W64267%87.888.8-1.0
7 Tindastoll W62433%73.276.2-3.0
8 Keflavik W61517%75.380.8-5.5
9 Armann W6060%75.592.8-17.3
10 Fjolnir W6060%64.5102.0-37.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.