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Keflavik W vs Valur W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 73-77
17-21 7-26 31-10 18-20
Position#4
Record12-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Valur W 🏆
Iceland
Position#6
Record8-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game74.6
IcelandPremier League WRound 1· Blue-hollin
Women2024-25
Meetings · Keflavik W v Valur W
25 Jan 2027
KEFL v VALU
upcoming
01 Oct 2025
KEFL79
VALU88
26 Feb 2025
KEFL73
VALU77
05 Jan 2025
KEFL79
VALU65
19 Nov 2023
KEFL70
VALU50
25 Apr 2023
KEFL78
VALU66
19 Apr 2023
KEFL66
VALU69
15 Mar 2023
KEFL70
VALU55
04 Dec 2022
KEFL75
VALU84
23 Mar 2022
KEFL74
VALU72
08 Dec 2021
KEFL74
VALU79
08 May 2021
KEFL68
VALU81
23 Jan 2021
KEFL87
VALU83
11 Mar 2020
KEFL94
VALU85
04 Dec 2019
KEFL92
VALU90
24 Apr 2019
KEFL96
VALU100
06 Feb 2019
KEFL75
VALU94
24 Oct 2018
KEFL77
VALU69
10 Apr 2018
KEFL95
VALU79
03 Apr 2018
KEFL77
VALU88
17 Jan 2018
KEFL82
VALU71
07 Oct 2017
KEFL85
VALU93
18 Mar 2017
KEFL99
VALU75
26 Oct 2016
KEFL84
VALU81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keflavik WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Athena W
#11
W
74-59
74
59
+15
70avg 77
H03/12
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
W
105-86
105
86
+19
99avg 77
H11/12
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
88-98
88
98
-10
78avg 77
A15/12
Premier League W
Valur W
#6
W
79-65
79
65
+14
77avg 77
H05/01
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
87-109
87
109
-22
82avg 77
A08/01
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#8
W
88-82
88
82
+6
78avg 77
H14/01
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
72avg 77
H21/01
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
97-69
97
69
+28
93avg 77
A28/01
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
96-97
96
97
-1
87avg 77
H16/02
Premier League W
Athena W
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
70avg 77
A19/02
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
20-22
18-10
17-10
29-24
29-16
17-24
30-22
17-25
26-17
22-28
23-28
32-17
9-14
7-18
31-16
28-27
23-22
17-33
19-27
27-32
21-16
13-15
27-19
22-25
26-15
22-17
14-20
19-22
24-18
29-15
25-14
22-26
13-18
29-30
32-23
17-26
20-17
26-23
17-12
169.8Avg total
87.8Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.781.5168.2+5.267%
Season at home (9)90.280.8171.0+9.489%
Season away (9)83.182.2165.3+0.944%
Last 10 (10)87.882.0169.8+5.870%
Last 5 (5)89.080.6169.6+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)89.598.5188.0-9.00%
vs Similar (4)92.894.8187.5-2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)84.273.6157.8+10.583%
This opponent (Valur W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valur WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Hamar W
#10
W
82-59
82
59
+23
72avg 62
H04/12
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
74-79
74
79
-5
58avg 62
A10/12
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#8
W
69-67
69
67
+2
61avg 62
H18/12
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#4
L
65-79
65
79
-14
55avg 62
A05/01
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
73-64
73
64
+9
58avg 62
H07/01
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
73-89
73
89
-16
66avg 62
A14/01
Premier League W
Athena W
#11
W
63-61
63
61
+2
57avg 62
H21/01
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
W
85-84
85
84
+1
79avg 62
A28/01
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
66avg 62
H16/02
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
89-83
89
83
+6
81avg 62
A19/02
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
18-14
19-16
21-10
14-15
13-18
24-20
23-26
22-18
17-20
12-15
18-14
17-32
14-9
18-7
16-31
21-12
16-13
20-28
16-11
13-30
16-23
24-24
20-12
26-15
17-20
13-15
7-11
26-21
19-20
22-23
18-20
20-20
21-25
16-13
19-20
22-22
25-19
19-27
23-15
149.2Avg total
74.9Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.274.6147.8-1.444%
Season at home (9)72.672.2144.8+0.356%
Season away (9)73.877.0150.8-3.233%
Last 10 (10)74.974.3149.2+0.660%
Last 5 (5)77.279.0156.2-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)70.681.8152.4-11.121%
vs Similar (10)74.072.0146.0+2.070%
vs Weaker (6)82.862.5145.3+20.383%
This opponent (Keflavik W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
Keflavik WValur W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keflavik WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Athena W
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H03/12
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H11/12
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A15/12
Premier League W
Valur W
#6
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H05/01
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A08/01
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#8
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H14/01
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H21/01
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A28/01
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H16/02
Premier League W
Athena W
#11
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A19/02
Premier League W
85.9Avg total
44.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.185.0+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.240.283.4+3.053%-
Last 30 away (13)44.842.287.1+2.654%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.685.9+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.243.085.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.545.584.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (4)52.548.0100.5+4.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.939.582.5+3.450%-
This opponent (Valur W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valur WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamar W
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H04/12
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A10/12
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H18/12
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#4
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A05/01
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H07/01
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A14/01
Premier League W
Athena W
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H21/01
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A28/01
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H16/02
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A19/02
Premier League W
76.6Avg total
38.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.639.076.6-1.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.038.777.7+0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)36.339.375.5-3.047%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.576.6-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.084.0-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.443.679.0-8.321%-
vs Similar (10)39.236.575.7+2.760%-
vs Weaker (6)40.332.372.7+8.0100%-
This opponent (Keflavik W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflavik Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik W: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.423.4
52.7%
48.6%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.7
33.5%
31.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.914.7
77.8%
74.0%14.7
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valur Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur W: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.5
49.0%
48.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.36.7
25.5%
31.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws20.615.2
73.8%
74.0%15.2
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik W
WLWWWLWLWW
Valur W
WLWWLWLWLW
#4
League position
#6
+7.5
Net rating
+1.3
105.8
Offensive rating
96.7
98.3
Defensive rating
95.4
51.8%
Effective FG%
44.7%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
44.5%
16.7%
Turnover %
17.0%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.5%
3-point %
25.5%
61.1%
Assist %
60.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 96.7Defence98.3 · 95.4Shooting51.8% · 44.7%3-point %33.5% · 25.5%Ball care16.7% · 17.0%Off. rebounds23.4% · 27.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Keflavik W   ■ Valur W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Keflavik W wins
5
Valur W wins
DateGameScore
05/01/25Keflavik W v Valur W79-65
16/10/24Valur W v Keflavik W73-79
24/01/24Valur W v Keflavik W79-77
19/11/23Keflavik W v Valur W70-50
28/04/23Valur W v Keflavik W72-68
25/04/23Keflavik W v Valur W78-66
22/04/23Valur W v Keflavik W77-70 OT
19/04/23Keflavik W v Valur W66-69
15/03/23Keflavik W v Valur W70-55
29/01/23Valur W v Keflavik W81-74
Keflavik Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/25AAthena W80-78
16/02/25HHaukar W96-97
28/01/25ATindastoll W97-69
21/01/25HHamar W84-77
14/01/25HGrindavik W88-82
08/01/25AThor AK Akureyri W87-109
05/01/25HValur W79-65
15/12/24ANjardvik W88-98
11/12/24HStjarnan W105-86
03/12/24HAthena W74-59
Valur Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/25AHamar W89-83
16/02/25HNjardvik W76-78
28/01/25AStjarnan W85-84
21/01/25HAthena W63-61
14/01/25AHaukar W73-89
07/01/25HTindastoll W73-64
05/01/25AKeflavik W65-79
18/12/24HGrindavik W69-67
10/12/24AThor AK Akureyri W74-79
04/12/24HHamar W82-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik W
Premier League W 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayLLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%89%44%
Points / game86.790.283.1
Allowed / game81.580.882.2
Point differential+5.2+9.4+0.9
Avg total168.2171.0165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valur W
Premier League W 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW44%
HomeWWWWL56%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%56%33%
Points / game73.272.673.8
Allowed / game74.672.277.0
Point differential-1.4+0.3-3.2
Avg total147.8144.8150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Haukar W1815383%88.177.1+11.0
2 Njardvik W1813572%81.776.9+4.8
3 Thor AK Akureyri W1812667%88.683.4+5.2
4 Keflavik W1812667%86.781.5+5.2
5 Tindastoll W1881044%80.581.2-0.7
6 Valur W1881044%73.274.6-1.4
7 Stjarnan W1981142%77.483.3-5.9
8 Grindavik W1961332%71.473.1-1.7
9 Hamar W1961332%81.490.8-9.4
10 Athena W1941521%73.879.6-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keflavik W177311873
Valur W2126102077
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