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Keilor Thunder vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 72-75
26-12 14-27 8-23 24-13
Position#10
Record11-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game90.5
vs
Position#6
Record11-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game84.2
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Keilor Thunder v Dandenong
29 Jun 2024
KEIL72
DAND75
03 Jun 2023
KEIL84
DAND81
21 May 2022
KEIL77
DAND80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dandenong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#12
W
107-101
107
101
+6
H28/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
83-113
83
113
-30
H04/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
101-97
101
97
+4
A11/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H18/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
77-98
77
98
-21
A19/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H25/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A01/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
64-80
64
80
-16
H07/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A15/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
111-85
111
85
+26
A22/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-23
19-25
32-32
21-21
21-33
15-22
20-28
27-30
22-23
21-28
26-18
32-28
15-21
19-19
25-18
18-11
18-23
18-27
26-29
15-19
12-23
19-22
25-7
20-13
15-24
22-12
25-14
20-19
18-27
18-21
18-19
10-13
17-19
23-22
19-13
18-16
21-23
36-17
28-26
26-19
170.2Avg total
85.5Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)89.290.5179.8-1.365%
Season at home (8)85.588.5174.0-3.062%
Season away (9)92.692.3184.9+0.267%
Last 10 (10)85.584.7170.2+0.870%
Last 5 (5)82.073.8155.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)90.798.8189.5-8.133%
vs Similar (11)87.284.5171.6+2.773%
vs Weaker (4)84.091.5175.5-7.550%
This opponent (Dandenong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#11
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H27/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A30/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
100-90
100
90
+10
H04/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
97-101
97
101
-4
H11/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
88-77
88
77
+11
A18/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H19/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H25/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
W
97-89
97
89
+8
H07/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A15/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
80-109
80
109
-29
H22/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-11
21-19
20-23
21-21
14-30
29-15
22-21
17-24
27-27
24-16
22-16
27-31
23-22
28-21
18-26
28-32
18-29
23-12
21-18
26-18
22-14
19-23
20-12
18-23
21-17
29-19
23-27
23-25
25-25
19-13
25-21
28-30
22-21
21-26
21-21
22-16
23-33
18-28
23-22
16-26
175.7Avg total
88.3Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.584.2170.7+2.465%
Season at home (9)86.886.9173.7-0.167%
Season away (8)86.281.1167.4+5.162%
Last 10 (10)88.387.4175.7+0.970%
Last 5 (5)87.688.4176.0-0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)84.292.7176.8-8.523%
vs Similar (8)84.187.4171.5-3.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)91.879.8171.6+12.089%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
Keilor ThunderDandenong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#12
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H28/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H04/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A11/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H18/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A19/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H25/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A01/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H07/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A15/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A22/06
NBL1 South
85.8Avg total
40.4Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.247.792.9-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.546.389.8-2.836%-
Last 30 away (16)46.848.995.7-2.244%-
Last 10 (10)40.445.485.8-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.082.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)47.451.198.5-3.740%-
vs Similar (11)43.743.987.6-0.245%-
vs Weaker (4)41.245.286.5-4.025%-
This opponent (Dandenong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#11
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H27/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A30/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H04/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H11/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A18/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H19/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H25/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H07/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A15/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
41-61
41
61
-20
H22/06
NBL1 South
86.3Avg total
44.2Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.944.688.5-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.744.690.3+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)42.144.786.7-2.627%-
Last 10 (10)44.242.186.3+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.887.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)44.547.191.5-2.631%-
vs Similar (8)39.145.684.8-6.512%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)47.340.287.6+7.189%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Keilor Thunder wins
1
Dandenong wins
DateGameScore
11/05/24Dandenong v Keilor Thunder97-101
03/06/23Keilor Thunder v Dandenong84-81
21/05/22Keilor Thunder v Dandenong77-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/06/24ABendigo Braves111-85
15/06/24ARingwood77-70
07/06/24HMt Gambier64-80
01/06/24AMelbourne Tigers82-69
25/05/24HKilsyth76-65
19/05/24ANunawading77-98
18/05/24HHobart Chargers77-69
11/05/24ADandenong101-97
04/05/24HBallarat83-113
28/04/24HWaverley107-101
Dandenonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/06/24HSandringham Sabres80-109
15/06/24ABallarat86-84
07/06/24HFrankston97-89
25/05/24HRingwood96-88
19/05/24HBendigo Braves79-72
18/05/24ADiamond Valley88-77
11/05/24HKeilor Thunder97-101
04/05/24HKilsyth100-90
30/04/24AWaverley82-90
27/04/24HGeelong78-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW65%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %65%62%67%
Points / game89.285.592.6
Allowed / game90.588.592.3
Point differential-1.3-3.0+0.2
Avg total179.8174.0184.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%12%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dandenong
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL65%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWLLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%67%62%
Points / game86.586.886.2
Allowed / game84.286.981.1
Point differential+2.4-0.1+5.1
Avg total170.7173.7167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%11%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier1814478%89.480.3+9.1
2 Sandringham Sabres1813572%94.180.5+13.6
3 Ballarat1813572%92.385.6+6.8
4 Dandenong1711665%86.584.2+2.4
5 Keilor Thunder1711665%89.290.5-1.3
6 Frankston1710759%92.385.1+7.2
7 Waverley1710759%93.288.3+4.9
8 Knox1810856%94.284.2+10.0
9 Eltham1810856%89.183.1+6.0
10 Hobart Chargers1810856%80.980.8+0.2
11 Nunawading189950%86.584.9+1.6
12 Geelong189950%79.784.2-4.4
13 NW Tasmania1881044%82.890.3-7.5
14 Bendigo Braves1971237%80.086.7-6.7
15 Melbourne Tigers1971237%75.482.5-7.1
16 Ringwood1961332%84.989.5-4.6
17 Diamond Valley1751229%85.394.3-9.0
18 Kilsyth1741324%77.986.5-8.6
19 Casey Cavaliers1931616%78.789.9-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder261482472
Dandenong1227231375
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