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Keilor Thunder vs Mt Gambier Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 May 2022
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 88-96
29-20 14-19 19-28 26-29
Position#14
Record1-3
FormWLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#2
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game105.2
Allowed / game89.0
AustraliaNBL1 SouthRound 4
Other2022
Meetings · Keilor Thunder v Mt Gambier
30 Mar 2025
KEIL76
MT G100
07 Jun 2024
KEIL64
MT G80
15 May 2022
KEIL88
MT G96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mt Gambier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H23/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
83-89
83
89
-6
A29/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A30/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A07/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
19-23
19-11
22-8
21-20
25-17
22-28
15-24
13-18
8-14
23-21
18-24
25-30
16-17
16-21
19-16
153.5Avg total
75.5Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.578.0153.5-2.525%
Season at home (1)81.062.0143.0+19.0100%
Season away (3)73.783.3157.0-9.70%
Last 10 (4)75.578.0153.5-2.525%
Last 5 (4)75.578.0153.5-2.525%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)82.075.5157.5+6.550%
vs Similar (2)69.080.5149.5-11.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#1
W
104-94
104
94
+10
A29/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#6
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A03/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
L
97-106
97
106
-9
A04/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#7
W
96-90
96
90
+6
A09/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
109-91
109
91
+18
H10/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
W
101-95
101
95
+6
H23/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
W
100-91
100
91
+9
H30/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
W
117-80
117
80
+37
A07/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
99-89
99
89
+10
A08/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
W
109-90
109
90
+19
A14/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
20-17
26-22
35-27
27-22
22-16
22-26
16-13
31-36
24-29
21-18
21-23
26-18
22-24
25-26
23-22
19-19
29-21
30-32
31-19
22-19
27-16
27-30
25-30
22-23
23-25
26-26
29-17
34-14
32-20
28-26
23-20
29-20
16-20
19-30
35-19
28-18
34-22
25-22
22-28
192.2Avg total
101.9Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)105.289.0194.2+16.2100%
Season at home (2)100.593.0193.5+7.5100%
Season away (3)108.386.3194.7+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)101.990.3192.2+11.690%
Last 5 (5)105.289.0194.2+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)92.694.1186.8-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)101.384.0185.2+17.395%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +4.2+4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +4.2+4.2
Keilor ThunderMt Gambier
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H23/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A29/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
L
21-32
21
32
-11
A30/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A07/05
NBL1 South
76.8Avg total
37.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)37.039.876.8-2.825%-
Last 30 at home (1)40.043.083.0-3.00%-
Last 30 away (3)36.038.774.7-2.733%-
Last 10 (4)37.039.876.8-2.825%-
Last 5 (4)37.039.876.8-2.825%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)43.040.083.0+3.050%-
vs Similar (2)31.039.570.5-8.50%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A29/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A03/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A04/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A09/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H10/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H23/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H30/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
W
66-34
66
34
+32
A07/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A08/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
W
62-40
62
40
+22
A14/05
NBL1 South
93.7Avg total
51.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.642.892.4+6.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.041.188.1+5.971%-
Last 30 away (16)51.944.296.1+7.669%-
Last 10 (10)51.042.793.7+8.370%-
Last 5 (5)53.439.492.8+14.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)44.148.492.5-4.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)51.640.792.3+10.986%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keilor Thunder wins
0
Mt Gambier wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/22AGeelong76-84
30/04/22ANW Tasmania62-77
29/04/22AHobart Chargers83-89
23/04/22HBendigo Braves81-62
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/22ARingwood109-90
08/05/22ADandenong99-89
07/05/22ACasey Cavaliers117-80
30/04/22HFrankston100-91
23/04/22HDiamond Valley101-95
10/07/21HSandringham Sabres109-91
09/07/21AGeelong96-90
04/07/21ANunawading97-106
03/07/21AKilsyth87-77
29/05/21ANW Tasmania104-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game75.581.073.7
Allowed / game78.062.083.3
Point differential-2.5+19.0-9.7
Avg total153.5143.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game105.2100.5108.3
Allowed / game89.093.086.3
Point differential+16.2+7.5+22.0
Avg total194.2193.5194.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier550100%105.289.0+16.2
2 Geelong65183%88.575.0+13.5
3 Frankston54180%94.480.8+13.6
4 Nunawading54180%77.867.8+10.0
5 Ballarat64267%88.882.0+6.8
6 Kilsyth64267%76.873.7+3.2
7 Hobart Chargers53260%83.478.6+4.8
8 Waverley53260%86.283.6+2.6
9 NW Tasmania53260%72.476.6-4.2
10 Ringwood53260%76.285.6-9.4
11 Knox63350%81.576.8+4.7
12 Diamond Valley52340%85.689.0-3.4
13 Melbourne Tigers52340%75.883.4-7.6
14 Sandringham Sabres62433%75.284.7-9.5
15 Keilor Thunder41325%75.578.0-2.5
16 Dandenong51420%79.883.4-3.6
17 Casey Cavaliers61517%77.089.3-12.3
18 Bendigo Braves5050%71.281.8-10.6
19 Eltham5050%70.084.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder2914192688
Mt Gambier2019282996
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