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Keilor Thunder vs Knox Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 82-93
20-21 22-21 20-24 20-27
Position#15
Record7-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game88.2
vs
Knox 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record16-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game84.0
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Keilor Thunder v Knox
13 Jul 2025
KEIL82
KNOX93
02 Apr 2023
KEIL73
KNOX88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Knox winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#13
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H17/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
78-94
78
94
-16
H24/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H31/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
74-101
74
101
-27
A06/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H14/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
96-78
96
78
+18
A21/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
95-96
95
96
-1
H28/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
108-99
108
99
+9
H05/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A08/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A11/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
14-30
19-14
17-10
25-20
18-28
17-26
18-20
30-20
17-18
15-23
18-29
22-24
17-29
16-21
19-27
22-21
10-16
23-14
22-15
21-17
32-22
18-18
25-21
18-20
23-30
27-15
27-31
31-24
29-16
15-24
33-35
21-25
17-23
17-10
14-12
22-25
18-18
11-13
18-23
166.4Avg total
82.1Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.588.2170.6-5.737%
Season at home (9)86.488.8175.2-2.356%
Season away (10)78.987.6166.5-8.720%
Last 10 (10)82.184.3166.4-2.240%
Last 5 (5)87.484.4171.8+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)77.987.1165.1-9.222%
vs Similar (7)82.685.9168.4-3.357%
vs Weaker (5)92.885.2178.0+7.680%
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#12
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H23/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
103-76
103
76
+27
A25/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
95-82
95
82
+13
A31/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H14/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
106-105 OT
106
105
+1
H15/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
A20/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
86-97
86
97
-11
A21/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
72-103
72
103
-31
A28/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A05/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
107-104
107
104
+3
H12/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
26-30
33-18
19-18
23-19
36-28
26-13
18-16
15-22
28-16
26-23
26-21
16-22
19-17
22-24
21-22
20-20
26-20
30-27
13-22
21-20
19-30
22-22
32-18
20-20
12-28
24-23
30-26
13-34
22-19
19-25
18-25
27-24
20-25
23-14
13-19
32-30
25-19
28-29
22-26
183.5Avg total
92.1Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)91.784.0175.6+7.780%
Season at home (10)91.984.2176.1+7.780%
Season away (10)91.483.7175.1+7.780%
Last 10 (10)92.191.4183.5+0.770%
Last 5 (5)88.495.2183.6-6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)106.0105.0211.0+1.0100%
vs Similar (6)87.393.7181.0-6.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)92.678.3170.9+14.287%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
Keilor ThunderKnox
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H17/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H24/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H31/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A06/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H14/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A21/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H28/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H05/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A08/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A11/07
NBL1 South
87.4Avg total
43.2Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.985.3-2.630%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.943.884.7-2.929%-
Last 30 away (16)41.744.185.8-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)43.244.287.4-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)46.444.090.4+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.844.984.7-5.122%-
vs Similar (7)41.644.686.1-3.029%-
vs Weaker (5)46.439.686.0+6.860%-
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#12
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H23/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A25/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A31/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H14/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H15/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A20/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A21/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A28/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A05/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H12/07
NBL1 South
90.6Avg total
43.9Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.841.687.4+4.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.840.287.1+6.669%-
Last 30 away (14)44.643.187.8+1.536%-
Last 10 (10)43.946.790.6-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.249.892.0-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.040.086.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (6)41.845.387.2-3.517%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)46.840.787.5+6.161%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keilor Thunder wins
5
Knox wins
DateGameScore
10/05/25Knox v Keilor Thunder75-69
13/07/24Knox v Keilor Thunder104-68
17/06/23Knox v Keilor Thunder103-69
02/04/23Keilor Thunder v Knox73-88
14/08/22Knox v Keilor Thunder85-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/07/25ABallarat69-79
08/07/25ASandringham Sabres69-70
05/07/25HDiamond Valley108-99
28/06/25HRingwood95-96
21/06/25AEltham96-78
14/06/25HBallarat77-66
06/06/25AMelbourne Tigers74-101
31/05/25HCasey Cavaliers80-90
24/05/25HKilsyth78-94
17/05/25HWaverley75-70
Knoxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/07/25HRingwood107-104
05/07/25ANunawading83-82
28/06/25AEltham72-103
21/06/25ANW Tasmania86-97
20/06/25AHobart Chargers94-90
15/06/25HMt Gambier106-105 OT
14/06/25HMelbourne Tigers78-85
31/05/25AKilsyth95-82
25/05/25AWaverley103-76
23/05/25HFrankston97-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL37%
HomeLLWLW56%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%56%20%
Points / game82.586.478.9
Allowed / game88.288.887.6
Point differential-5.7-2.3-8.7
Avg total170.6175.2166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%11%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Knox
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW80%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWWLLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game91.791.991.4
Allowed / game84.084.283.7
Point differential+7.7+7.7+7.7
Avg total175.6176.1175.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%30%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox2016480%91.784.0+7.7
2 Mt Gambier2115671%96.183.1+13.0
3 Sandringham Sabres2013765%93.590.0+3.5
4 Melbourne Tigers2012860%86.580.7+5.8
5 Kilsyth2012860%88.285.3+2.9
6 Ballarat2012860%88.089.5-1.6
7 Hobart Chargers1911858%88.686.3+2.3
8 Eltham1911858%88.186.7+1.4
9 Casey Cavaliers2011955%88.286.2+2.0
10 Ringwood21111052%95.390.2+5.1
11 Frankston2091145%93.190.2+2.9
12 Nunawading2091145%86.587.2-0.8
13 Waverley2091145%93.396.3-3.0
14 Bendigo Braves2181338%82.094.0-12.0
15 Keilor Thunder1971237%82.588.2-5.7
16 Geelong2071335%83.088.8-5.8
17 Dandenong2061430%89.795.2-5.6
18 NW Tasmania1951426%86.390.2-3.9
19 Diamond Valley1951426%84.894.2-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder2022202082
Knox2121242793
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