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Keilor Thunder vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jun 2022
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 66-62
14-14 14-18 19-15 19-15
Position#14
Record1-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#18
Record2-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game84.5
AustraliaNBL1 SouthRound 7
Other2022
Meetings · Keilor Thunder v Melbourne Tigers
15 Apr 2023
KEIL84
MELB72
04 Jun 2022
KEIL66
MELB62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H23/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
83-89
83
89
-6
A29/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A30/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A07/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
88-96
88
96
-8
H15/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H21/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A22/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H28/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A29/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
19-23
19-11
22-8
21-20
25-17
22-28
15-24
13-18
8-14
23-21
18-24
25-30
16-17
16-21
19-16
29-20
14-19
19-28
26-29
22-17
23-26
12-10
20-27
23-28
13-25
23-19
22-18
25-22
22-20
21-19
12-22
20-18
19-23
22-18
13-18
160.0Avg total
78.0Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.082.0160.0-4.011%
Season at home (4)81.580.2161.8+1.225%
Season away (5)75.283.4158.6-8.20%
Last 10 (9)78.082.0160.0-4.011%
Last 5 (5)80.085.2165.2-5.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.082.3166.3+1.733%
vs Similar (5)74.682.2156.8-7.60%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)77.080.0157.0-3.00%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#1
L
96-100 OT
96
100
-4
H11/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#11
L
75-124
75
124
-49
A31/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A22/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H01/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A07/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
L
57-89
57
89
-32
H08/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
84-97
84
97
-13
H15/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A21/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H22/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
56-88
56
88
-32
A28/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
16-28
28-14
18-29
16-32
11-26
19-37
29-29
16-15
23-23
23-23
17-23
16-28
21-20
22-12
16-8
21-18
26-16
21-29
16-16
18-23
14-28
8-23
17-15
17-29
16-23
37-27
14-18
21-30
16-23
25-11
10-22
24-22
21-16
11-25
24-22
11-16
8-25
12-22
25-25
165.8Avg total
75.8Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.484.5157.9-11.125%
Season at home (4)74.084.8158.8-10.825%
Season away (4)72.884.2157.0-11.525%
Last 10 (10)75.890.0165.8-14.220%
Last 5 (5)69.889.0158.8-19.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)77.494.8172.2-17.415%
vs Similar (7)87.989.7177.6-1.943%
vs Weaker (3)86.773.7160.3+13.067%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
Keilor ThunderMelbourne Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H23/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A29/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
L
21-32
21
32
-11
A30/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A07/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H15/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H21/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A22/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H28/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A29/05
NBL1 South
81.7Avg total
39.8Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)39.841.981.7-2.144%-
Last 30 at home (4)43.841.885.5+2.075%-
Last 30 away (5)36.642.078.6-5.420%-
Last 10 (9)39.841.981.7-2.144%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.685.6-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.039.782.7+3.367%-
vs Similar (5)36.843.079.8-6.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)45.043.088.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H11/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#11
L
27-58
27
58
-31
A31/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A22/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H01/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A07/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
L
32-51
32
51
-19
H08/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H15/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A21/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H22/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
19-41
19
41
-22
A28/05
NBL1 South
81.2Avg total
35.6Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.845.584.2-6.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.445.185.5-4.733%-
Last 30 away (15)37.145.983.0-8.733%-
Last 10 (10)35.645.681.2-10.030%-
Last 5 (5)33.247.080.2-13.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.547.484.8-9.920%-
vs Similar (7)41.946.087.9-4.143%-
vs Weaker (3)40.331.371.7+9.0100%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keilor Thunder wins
0
Melbourne Tigers wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/05/22AWaverley74-77
28/05/22HBallarat80-83
22/05/22ANunawading81-90
21/05/22HDandenong77-80
15/05/22HMt Gambier88-96
07/05/22AGeelong76-84
30/04/22ANW Tasmania62-77
29/04/22AHobart Chargers83-89
23/04/22HBendigo Braves81-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/22AMt Gambier56-88
22/05/22HSandringham Sabres80-85
21/05/22ABallarat72-86
15/05/22HHobart Chargers84-97
08/05/22HNunawading57-89
07/05/22ASandringham Sabres84-79
01/05/22HEltham75-68
22/04/22ACasey Cavaliers79-84
31/07/21AKnox75-124
11/07/21HNW Tasmania96-100 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 1 Wins / 8 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %11%25%0%
Points / game78.081.575.2
Allowed / game82.080.283.4
Point differential-4.0+1.2-8.2
Avg total160.0161.8158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game73.474.072.8
Allowed / game84.584.884.2
Point differential-11.1-10.8-11.5
Avg total157.9158.8157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier98189%100.184.8+15.3
2 Frankston86275%94.085.0+9.0
3 Waverley86275%84.580.1+4.4
4 Ballarat107370%84.778.1+6.6
5 Geelong96367%84.377.6+6.8
6 Kilsyth96367%78.176.6+1.6
7 Hobart Chargers85362%82.979.5+3.4
8 Sandringham Sabres106460%78.582.2-3.7
9 NW Tasmania74357%71.774.9-3.1
10 Nunawading95456%79.276.2+3.0
11 Knox105550%83.476.0+7.4
12 Diamond Valley84450%84.484.4+0.0
13 Ringwood94544%76.386.3-10.0
14 Bendigo Braves93633%75.377.0-1.7
15 Dandenong82625%77.082.4-5.4
16 Melbourne Tigers82625%73.484.5-11.1
17 Casey Cavaliers92722%78.488.3-9.9
18 Keilor Thunder91811%78.082.0-4.0
19 Eltham7070%71.785.0-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder1414191966
Melbourne Tigers1418151562
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