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Keilor Thunder vs Diamond Valley Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Jul 2022
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 76-79
18-26 23-18 18-23 17-12
Position#14
Record6-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#10
Record7-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game85.7
AustraliaNBL1 SouthRound 13
Other2022
Meetings · Keilor Thunder v Diamond Valley
05 Jul 2025
KEIL108
DIAM99
05 Jul 2024
KEIL112
DIAM93
24 Jun 2023
KEIL89
DIAM91
23 Jul 2022
KEIL76
DIAM79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Diamond Valley winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#12
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H28/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A29/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H04/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
L
53-88
53
88
-35
A18/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
61-89
61
89
-28
H26/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H02/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
88-68
88
68
+20
A09/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
83-54
83
54
+29
A10/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A16/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H17/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
22-20
21-19
12-22
20-18
19-23
22-18
13-18
14-14
14-18
19-15
19-15
19-23
11-16
11-13
12-36
15-24
17-24
10-18
19-23
18-15
24-19
20-25
25-23
19-15
19-18
24-17
26-18
26-19
19-10
14-11
24-14
16-8
22-13
11-29
23-19
19-18
22-22
6-20
22-19
148.4Avg total
73.3Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.478.2153.5-2.835%
Season at home (8)76.179.1155.2-3.038%
Season away (9)74.777.3152.0-2.733%
Last 10 (10)73.375.1148.4-1.850%
Last 5 (5)79.870.4150.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.282.8161.0-4.733%
vs Similar ◀ (7)73.481.0154.4-7.614%
vs Weaker (4)74.566.2140.8+8.275%
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond ValleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#11
W
92-70
92
70
+22
H29/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H04/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A18/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
73-93
73
93
-20
H19/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
W
89-64
89
64
+25
H24/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
L
81-111
81
111
-30
H02/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A03/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H09/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
71-100
71
100
-29
A15/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
L
61-90
61
90
-29
A16/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
22-22
22-16
23-13
15-19
25-15
26-21
23-11
21-27
26-24
10-20
27-18
19-24
22-27
19-26
13-16
16-17
21-17
29-12
23-18
24-14
15-33
23-31
19-33
21-30
21-22
22-24
20-7
10-18
25-24
23-17
21-27
19-30
19-26
14-18
19-26
18-18
21-30
9-12
13-30
165.5Avg total
80.3Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.585.7167.2-4.241%
Season at home (9)83.083.1166.1-0.144%
Season away (8)79.988.6168.5-8.838%
Last 10 (10)80.385.2165.5-4.940%
Last 5 (5)75.294.0169.2-18.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)82.596.0178.5-13.57%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.081.1164.1+1.967%
vs Weaker (6)89.278.5167.7+10.7100%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
Keilor ThunderDiamond Valley
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H28/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A29/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H04/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A18/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H26/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H02/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A09/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A10/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
38-21
38
21
+17
A16/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/07
NBL1 South
73.9Avg total
38.0Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)38.438.476.8-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (8)39.840.179.9-0.462%-
Last 30 away (9)37.136.974.0+0.244%-
Last 10 (10)38.035.973.9+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.831.472.2+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.740.280.8+0.567%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.041.077.0-5.029%-
vs Weaker (4)39.031.270.2+7.875%-
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond ValleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H29/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H04/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A18/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H19/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H24/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H02/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A03/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A15/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A16/07
NBL1 South
86.1Avg total
40.5Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.546.088.5-3.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.344.085.3-2.750%-
Last 30 away (16)43.647.891.4-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)40.545.686.1-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)38.649.087.6-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.549.890.3-9.327%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.941.784.6+1.256%-
vs Weaker (6)47.043.090.0+4.067%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keilor Thunder wins
0
Diamond Valley wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/07/22HFrankston69-79
16/07/22AEltham72-69
10/07/22AMelbourne Tigers83-54
09/07/22ABallarat88-68
02/07/22HKilsyth87-82
26/06/22HHobart Chargers61-89
18/06/22ARingwood53-88
04/06/22HMelbourne Tigers66-62
29/05/22AWaverley74-77
28/05/22HBallarat80-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/07/22ANW Tasmania61-90
15/07/22AHobart Chargers71-100
09/07/22HMt Gambier79-86
03/07/22AMelbourne Tigers84-83
02/07/22HCasey Cavaliers81-111
24/06/22HNunawading89-64
19/06/22HGeelong73-93
18/06/22AKnox84-89
04/06/22HKilsyth89-66
29/05/22HRingwood92-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL35%
HomeLWLWL38%
AwayLLWWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%38%33%
Points / game75.476.174.7
Allowed / game78.279.177.3
Point differential-2.8-3.0-2.7
Avg total153.5155.2152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%12%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Diamond Valley
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL41%
HomeWLWLL44%
AwayWLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%44%38%
Points / game81.583.079.9
Allowed / game85.783.188.6
Point differential-4.2-0.1-8.8
Avg total167.2166.1168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hobart Chargers1815383%88.878.7+10.2
2 Mt Gambier1612475%95.884.2+11.6
3 Bendigo Braves1711665%80.873.9+6.9
4 Kilsyth1711665%82.280.4+1.9
5 Sandringham Sabres1711665%82.683.4-0.8
6 Frankston1811761%89.984.7+5.2
7 Geelong1710759%85.182.5+2.5
8 Waverley169756%84.282.1+2.2
9 Ringwood169756%78.981.1-2.2
10 Knox189950%82.677.0+5.6
11 Ballarat168850%80.279.6+0.6
12 NW Tasmania178947%74.878.2-3.5
13 Diamond Valley1771041%81.585.7-4.2
14 Keilor Thunder1761135%75.478.2-2.8
15 Nunawading1761135%77.582.4-4.8
16 Casey Cavaliers1751229%82.686.9-4.2
17 Eltham1641225%75.981.9-6.0
18 Dandenong1641225%79.289.2-10.1
19 Melbourne Tigers1531220%71.682.3-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder1823181776
Diamond Valley2618231279
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