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Sandringham Sabres vs Keilor Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 May 2023
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 125-89
30-23 31-19 29-21 35-26
Position#2
Record5-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game89.1
vs
Position#16
Record4-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game90.6
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Sandringham Sabres v Keilor Thunder
08 Jul 2025
SAND70
KEIL69
07 Jul 2024
SAND83
KEIL72
13 May 2023
SAND125
KEIL89
30 Jul 2022
SAND89
KEIL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sandringham Sabres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sandringham SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#2
L
62-88
62
88
-26
A28/08
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
89-119
89
119
-30
H01/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
78-102
78
102
-24
H06/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
L
84-112
84
112
-28
A14/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H16/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
W
92-87
92
87
+5
A21/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
97-82
97
82
+15
H22/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H29/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
103-74
103
74
+29
A06/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A07/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
15-17
10-28
16-21
23-31
28-27
20-39
18-22
22-30
19-28
25-24
12-20
19-31
24-28
15-32
26-21
27-13
23-22
21-20
12-9
23-21
27-31
23-13
19-22
26-12
23-26
29-24
19-20
23-17
22-17
21-21
23-20
23-26
23-14
27-17
30-17
18-21
21-20
23-29
14-17
174.3Avg total
85.3Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.989.1177.0-1.256%
Season at home (5)87.288.4175.6-1.260%
Season away (4)88.890.0178.8-1.250%
Last 10 (10)85.389.0174.3-3.750%
Last 5 (5)91.481.0172.4+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.378.8152.1-5.550%
vs Similar (10)88.789.2177.9-0.570%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.479.0168.4+10.490%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#8
W
98-74
98
74
+24
H06/08
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H13/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A14/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
H02/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
W
95-92
95
92
+3
H14/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H15/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
82-106
82
106
-24
A22/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
93-85
93
85
+8
A29/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
66-102
66
102
-36
A30/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
98-89
98
89
+9
H06/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
24-19
25-15
26-15
18-26
16-15
18-18
23-8
6-21
18-25
23-22
24-17
14-20
29-25
13-30
17-13
33-24
23-26
28-15
11-27
23-15
29-19
16-14
16-24
26-31
22-30
19-16
15-29
22-25
26-21
18-21
27-18
18-25
19-29
17-25
12-23
19-32
25-19
22-16
32-22
169.5Avg total
83.5Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.490.6175.0-6.157%
Season at home (4)87.585.2172.8+2.275%
Season away (3)80.397.7178.0-17.333%
Last 10 (10)83.586.0169.5-2.560%
Last 5 (5)84.690.8175.4-6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)80.886.9167.6-6.143%
vs Similar (11)76.679.6156.3-3.027%
vs Weaker (4)74.566.2140.8+8.275%
This opponent (Sandringham Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
Sandringham SabresKeilor Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sandringham SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A28/08
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H01/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H06/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A14/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H16/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A21/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H22/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H29/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A06/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A07/05
NBL1 South
90.4Avg total
45.0Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.084.0+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.639.486.0+7.379%-
Last 30 away (16)39.742.582.2-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)45.045.490.4-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.086.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.040.079.0-1.030%-
vs Similar (10)44.944.088.9+0.960%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.939.184.0+5.870%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#8
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H06/08
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H13/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A14/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H02/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H14/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H15/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A22/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A29/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A30/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H06/05
NBL1 South
90.5Avg total
43.3Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.241.581.7-1.348%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.342.084.3+0.353%-
Last 30 away (14)37.940.978.8-3.143%-
Last 10 (10)43.347.290.5-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)45.849.295.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)42.644.987.4-2.350%-
vs Similar (11)37.540.978.5-3.436%-
vs Weaker (4)39.031.270.2+7.875%-
This opponent (Sandringham Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sandringham Sabres wins
0
Keilor Thunder wins
DateGameScore
30/07/22Sandringham Sabres v Keilor Thunder89-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/23AKnox76-87
06/05/23ADandenong103-74
29/04/23HEltham89-75
22/04/23HWaverley97-82
21/04/23AGeelong92-87
16/04/23HCasey Cavaliers83-64
14/04/23AKilsyth84-112
06/04/23HFrankston78-102
01/04/23HMt Gambier89-119
28/08/22AMt Gambier62-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/23HKilsyth98-89
30/04/23AEltham66-102
29/04/23ADiamond Valley93-85
22/04/23AMt Gambier82-106
15/04/23HMelbourne Tigers84-72
14/04/23HBallarat95-92
02/04/23HKnox73-88
14/08/22AKnox71-85
13/08/22HCasey Cavaliers75-67
06/08/22HGeelong98-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sandringham Sabres
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL56%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game87.987.288.8
Allowed / game89.188.490.0
Point differential-1.2-1.2-1.2
Avg total177.0175.6178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW57%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game84.487.580.3
Allowed / game90.685.297.7
Point differential-6.1+2.2-17.3
Avg total175.0172.8178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankston86275%96.883.2+13.5
2 Eltham86275%89.977.8+12.1
3 Mt Gambier96367%97.089.0+8.0
4 Knox85362%82.573.8+8.8
5 Nunawading85362%89.684.0+5.6
6 Keilor Thunder74357%84.490.6-6.1
7 Ballarat95456%91.790.6+1.1
8 Hobart Chargers95456%84.784.3+0.3
9 Sandringham Sabres95456%87.989.1-1.2
10 Kilsyth84450%93.891.9+1.9
11 Melbourne Tigers84450%82.581.9+0.6
12 Geelong84450%85.987.4-1.5
13 Diamond Valley84450%85.887.9-2.1
14 Ringwood83538%88.489.9-1.5
15 NW Tasmania83538%83.288.9-5.6
16 Waverley83538%80.085.9-5.9
17 Casey Cavaliers82625%77.886.1-8.4
18 Bendigo Braves82625%85.498.0-12.6
19 Dandenong92722%84.892.6-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sandringham Sabres30312935125
Keilor Thunder2319212689
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