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Keilor Thunder W vs Diamond Valley W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Jul 2022
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 76-46
19-11 13-19 20-5 24-11
Position#11
Record8-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#19
Record1-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.8
Allowed / game83.5
AustraliaNBL1 South WomenRound 13
Women2022
Meetings · Keilor Thunder W v Diamond Valley W
05 Jul 2025
KEIL76
DIAM63
05 Jul 2024
KEIL69
DIAM48
24 Jun 2023
KEIL58
DIAM76
23 Jul 2022
KEIL76
DIAM46
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Diamond Valley W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#9
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H28/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A29/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H04/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A18/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H26/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H02/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A10/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#13
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#15
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H17/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
22-15
13-16
24-18
15-15
29-20
19-18
21-24
22-18
12-14
22-26
16-20
14-28
15-18
13-15
19-13
27-18
17-22
19-16
28-20
12-21
24-28
24-17
25-14
18-24
17-22
25-18
19-25
24-16
28-14
15-14
18-29
22-22
25-22
8-21
12-15
13-15
21-13
22-14
21-21
155.1Avg total
78.6Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.579.6155.1-4.147%
Season at home (8)77.478.5155.9-1.162%
Season away (9)73.980.6154.4-6.733%
Last 10 (10)78.676.5155.1+2.160%
Last 5 (5)78.677.0155.6+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.286.8158.0-15.512%
vs Similar (3)78.779.0157.7-0.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)79.770.3150.0+9.383%
This opponent (Diamond Valley W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond Valley WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood W
#2
L
54-87
54
87
-33
H29/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
L
75-87
75
87
-12
H04/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#4
L
41-70
41
70
-29
A18/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#5
L
66-94
66
94
-28
H19/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
L
66-82
66
82
-16
H24/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#10
L
71-85
71
85
-14
H02/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A03/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
L
74-99
74
99
-25
H09/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
L
66-93
66
93
-27
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#6
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
9-25
10-28
21-7
24-20
15-26
14-26
22-15
6-9
15-20
11-18
9-23
21-31
12-22
18-23
15-18
16-21
14-22
16-24
20-15
18-32
22-12
16-21
15-20
14-13
13-6
12-21
11-20
15-30
21-20
21-31
17-18
23-17
14-24
17-21
12-31
19-30
18-19
19-22
17-16
148.0Avg total
63.6Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)63.883.5147.3-19.66%
Season at home (9)66.484.8151.2-18.311%
Season away (8)60.982.0142.9-21.10%
Last 10 (10)63.684.4148.0-20.80%
Last 5 (5)66.884.8151.6-18.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)63.985.8149.6-21.98%
vs Similar (5)61.474.0135.4-12.620%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -8.1-8.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.4-2.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -8.1-8.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.4-2.4
Keilor Thunder WDiamond Valley W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H28/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A29/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H04/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A18/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H26/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H02/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
52-30
52
30
+22
A10/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#15
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H17/07
NBL1 South Women
79.4Avg total
40.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)39.242.481.5-3.247%-
Last 30 at home (8)38.539.578.0-1.062%-
Last 30 away (9)39.844.984.7-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.339.179.4+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.480.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.148.085.1-10.912%-
vs Similar (3)42.342.785.0-0.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.334.775.0+5.783%-
This opponent (Diamond Valley W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond Valley WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood W
#2
L
23-52
23
52
-29
H29/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H04/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#4
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A18/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#5
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H19/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H24/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H02/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
27-19
27
19
+8
A03/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H09/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
74.9Avg total
32.3Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.343.375.7-11.020%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.947.680.6-14.714%-
Last 30 away (16)31.839.671.4-7.825%-
Last 10 (10)32.342.674.9-10.310%-
Last 5 (5)35.440.676.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)32.445.878.2-13.312%-
vs Similar (5)31.831.263.0+0.660%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keilor Thunder W wins
0
Diamond Valley W wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/07/22HFrankston W77-63
16/07/22AEltham W67-80
10/07/22AMelbourne Tigers W85-73
09/07/22ABallarat W79-89
02/07/22HKilsyth W85-80
26/06/22HHobart Chargers W91-76
18/06/22ARingwood W61-74
04/06/22HMelbourne Tigers W72-78
29/05/22AWaverley W84-77
28/05/22HBallarat W85-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/07/22ALaunceston W73-87
15/07/22AHobart Chargers W66-93
09/07/22HMt. Gambier W74-99
03/07/22AMelbourne Tigers W50-60
02/07/22HCasey Cavaliers W71-85
24/06/22HNunawading W66-82
19/06/22HGeelong W66-94
18/06/22AKnox W41-70
04/06/22HKilsyth W75-87
29/05/22HRingwood W54-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW47%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%62%33%
Points / game75.577.473.9
Allowed / game79.678.580.6
Point differential-4.1-1.1-6.7
Avg total155.1155.9154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Diamond Valley W
NBL1 South Women 2022
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLLLLL11%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %6%11%0%
Points / game63.866.460.9
Allowed / game83.584.882.0
Point differential-19.6-18.3-21.1
Avg total147.3151.2142.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W1715288%87.270.3+16.9
2 Ringwood W1613381%74.160.4+13.6
3 Mt. Gambier W1613381%77.667.4+10.2
4 Geelong W1712571%83.173.6+9.5
5 Launceston W1712571%82.573.4+9.1
6 Nunawading W1711665%78.968.6+10.3
7 Ballarat W1610662%77.271.7+5.5
8 Waverley W1610662%74.075.1-1.1
9 Knox W1811761%72.861.1+11.7
10 Casey Cavaliers W179853%79.676.1+3.5
11 Keilor Thunder W178947%75.579.6-4.1
12 Kilsyth W1771041%68.573.4-4.8
13 Sandringham W1771041%74.679.4-4.8
14 Eltham W1661038%74.477.7-3.3
15 Frankston W1841422%67.474.9-7.5
16 Hobart Chargers W1841422%62.176.0-13.9
17 Melbourne Tigers W1531220%56.773.0-16.3
18 Dandenong Rangers W1631319%69.084.8-15.8
19 Diamond Valley W171166%63.883.5-19.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder W1913202476
Diamond Valley W111951146
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