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Keilor Thunder W vs Ringwood W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 87-80
21-24 26-26 17-14 23-16
Position#4
Record13-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game70.9
vs
Position#10
Record8-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game76.1
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Keilor Thunder W v Ringwood W
28 Jun 2025
KEIL87
RING80
21 May 2023
KEIL65
RING79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ringwood W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
76-50
76
50
+26
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
89-66
89
66
+23
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
95-67
95
67
+28
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
58-85
58
85
-27
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H17/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H31/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A06/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
93-70
93
70
+23
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
89-64
89
64
+25
A21/06
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
21-7
15-19
20-8
30-24
11-16
24-15
24-11
29-16
24-16
26-14
16-21
16-19
16-22
8-21
18-23
17-14
27-19
13-12
12-14
23-24
24-21
16-15
19-22
26-15
14-12
25-20
23-19
27-24
15-21
33-8
16-27
31-23
26-14
13-11
23-22
25-13
21-14
20-19
23-18
153.3Avg total
84.0Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.570.9152.4+10.587%
Season at home (7)84.667.4152.0+17.1100%
Season away (8)78.874.0152.8+4.875%
Last 10 (10)84.069.3153.3+14.790%
Last 5 (5)90.673.2163.8+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.590.5146.0-35.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)71.568.4139.9+3.175%
vs Weaker (20)85.569.4154.9+16.195%
This opponent (Ringwood W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ringwood WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#14
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
81-59
81
59
+22
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
89-58
89
58
+31
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
62-99
62
99
-37
H18/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
83-62
83
62
+21
A23/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A24/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H31/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
72-93
72
93
-21
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
80-106
80
106
-26
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A21/06
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
22-20
13-23
18-19
20-16
17-9
19-21
25-13
18-17
23-14
27-15
21-12
21-17
17-30
15-36
9-16
26-13
19-13
22-15
16-21
26-18
17-18
18-14
17-17
19-21
18-13
18-23
21-25
9-16
28-31
17-25
18-21
14-24
14-28
29-26
23-28
19-25
22-16
25-17
21-20
156.6Avg total
78.4Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.976.1154.0+1.950%
Season at home (7)71.480.9152.3-9.414%
Season away (9)83.072.3155.3+10.778%
Last 10 (10)78.478.2156.6+0.250%
Last 5 (5)78.685.2163.8-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.487.4159.8-15.08%
vs Similar ◀ (7)71.983.4155.3-11.629%
vs Weaker (11)80.267.2147.4+13.064%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
Keilor Thunder WRingwood W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H17/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H31/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A06/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A21/06
NBL1 South Women
79.3Avg total
44.3Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.736.077.7+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.235.378.6+7.988%-
Last 30 away (14)40.036.876.8+3.250%-
Last 10 (10)44.335.079.3+9.380%-
Last 5 (5)46.436.282.6+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.551.586.0-17.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.134.171.2+3.062%-
vs Weaker (20)44.335.279.5+9.180%-
This opponent (Ringwood W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ringwood WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H18/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A23/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A24/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H31/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A21/06
NBL1 South Women
76.7Avg total
39.2Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.839.677.5-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.040.976.9-4.936%-
Last 30 away (16)39.438.678.0+0.944%-
Last 10 (10)39.237.576.7+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.079.2-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.943.978.8-9.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.640.779.3-2.143%-
vs Weaker (11)40.534.374.8+6.355%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Keilor Thunder W wins
2
Ringwood W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/06/25AEltham W89-64
14/06/25HBallarat W93-70
06/06/25AMelbourne Tigers W91-80
31/05/25HCasey Cavaliers W88-66
24/05/25HKilsyth W92-86 OT
17/05/25HWaverley W69-59
10/05/25AKnox W58-85
03/05/25HNunawading W95-67
26/04/25ALaunceston W89-66
25/04/25AHobart Chargers W76-50
Ringwood Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/06/25ACasey Cavaliers W87-78
15/06/25AFrankston W80-106
14/06/25HGeelong W72-93
31/05/25HWaverley W76-82
24/05/25ALaunceston W78-67
23/05/25AHobart Chargers W83-62
18/05/25HDandenong Rangers W62-99
17/05/25ANunawading W89-58
10/05/25ABendigo Braves W81-59
03/05/25HMt. Gambier W76-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %87%100%75%
Points / game81.584.678.8
Allowed / game70.967.474.0
Point differential+10.5+17.1+4.8
Avg total152.4152.0152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%71%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %7%14%0%
Ringwood W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLLLL14%
AwayWWWLW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %50%14%78%
Points / game77.971.483.0
Allowed / game76.180.972.3
Point differential+1.9-9.4+10.7
Avg total154.0152.3155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%0%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W17170100%89.665.0+24.6
2 Keilor Thunder W1513287%81.570.9+10.5
3 Knox W1714382%80.867.2+13.5
4 Dandenong Rangers W1612475%85.671.9+13.7
5 Diamond Valley W1611569%85.176.8+8.2
6 Frankston W1610662%76.470.0+6.4
7 Waverley W1610662%76.971.3+5.6
8 Melbourne Tigers W1610662%80.576.2+4.3
9 Ringwood W168850%77.976.1+1.9
10 Sandringham W168850%78.278.6-0.4
11 Nunawading W167944%67.875.9-8.1
12 Casey Cavaliers W1661038%73.980.5-6.6
13 Mt. Gambier W1761135%68.776.1-7.4
14 Ballarat W1651131%70.282.6-12.4
15 Kilsyth W1851328%69.581.6-12.1
16 Hobart Chargers W1641225%70.381.5-11.2
17 Eltham W1531220%74.784.9-10.3
18 Launceston W1731418%72.481.9-9.5
19 Bendigo Braves W1831517%72.281.8-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder W2126172387
Ringwood W2426141680
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