Kennesaw State vs Winthrop Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 00:00

Projected 90-75

Projected total 164.8

Final 88-79

32-33 56-46

Position#53

Record2-0

FormWWLWW

Points / game93.5

Allowed / game63.0

Kennesaw State 🏆

91%

■ KENN 91%■ WINT 9%

Pythia win probability

Winthrop

Position#338

Record0-2

FormWWLLL

Points / game94.0

Allowed / game98.0

NCAA

Other2026-27

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Kennesaw State will host Winthrop on 10 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model naming Kennesaw State the clear favourite because it is undefeated 2-0, averaging 93.5 points per game while allowing only 63.0, and sits at 42nd in the league, whereas Winthrop is 0-2, scoring 94.0 and conceding 98.0, positioned 320th. Kennesaw State's two-game season shows a 2-0 record, 93.5 points scored and 63.0 points allowed per game, and the same figures for its home games; its last five games were 4-1, highlighted by a 71-69 win over Austin Peay and a 116-57 victory over Midway, with a recent away loss to Gonzaga 64-73. Winthrop's season is 0-2, 94.0 points scored and 98.0 points allowed per game, and its road record is 0-1 with 98.0 points scored and 103.0 allowed; the last five games were 2-3, including losses to North Dakota 90-93, Queens Royals 98-103, and High Point 76-91. The head-to-head history shows no prior meetings. Pythia assigns a 91% probability to Kennesaw State winning and 9% to Winthrop, projecting a 90-75 score for a total of 164.8 points; the home line is -10.0 with a 69% chance of covering, and the over/under line is 167.5 with a 43% probability of the over, while the chance of overtime is 2%. The game will be a decisive showcase of Kennesaw State's early season dominance.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kennesaw State winWon

90.8%fair 1.10

Best odds1.18

Implied79.2%

Edge+11.6pp

Winthrop winLost

9.2%fair 10.88

Best odds4.50

Implied20.8%

Edge-11.6pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 07:05 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kennesaw State USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Liberty

#26

74-65

H27/02

NCAA

Delaware

#326

90-82

H28/02

NCAA

UTEP

#307

71-78

-7

A06/03

NCAA

New Mexico State

#178

76-79

-3

A07/03

NCAA

Western Kentucky

#151

96-87

A13/03

NCAA

Sam Houston St.

#69

79-73

A13/03

NCAA

Louisiana Tech

#131

71-60

+11

A15/03

NCAA

Gonzaga

64-73

-9

A20/03

NCAA

Midway

#469

116-57

116

+59

H03/11

NCAA

Austin Peay

#135

71-69

H07/11

NCAA

32-29

42-36

50-25

40-57

25-35

46-43

33-37

43-42

46-41

50-46

31-37

48-36

35-32

36-28

27-33

37-40

58-23

58-34

29-34

42-35

153.1Avg total

80.8Scored

72.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	93.5	63.0	156.5	+30.5	100%
Season at home (2)	93.5	63.0	156.5	+30.5	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	80.8	72.3	153.1	+8.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	66.4	146.6	+13.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	64.0	73.0	137.0	-9.0	0%
vs Similar (17)	76.2	74.4	150.6	+1.8	59%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	87.8	75.2	163.1	+12.6	67%

This opponent (Winthrop) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Winthrop

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gardner Webb

#370

103-85

103

+18

A13/02

NCAA

USC Upstate

#274

68-64

H19/02

NCAA

High Point

#10

87-89

-2

A21/02

NCAA

Charleston Southern

#229

84-86

-2

A27/02

NCAA

Presbyterian

#263

74-70

H28/02

NCAA

Charleston Southern

#229

86-81

H06/03

NCAA

Presbyterian

#263

73-71

H07/03

NCAA

High Point

#10

76-91

-15

A08/03

NCAA

Queens Royals

#237

98-103

103

-5

A02/11

NCAA

North Dakota

#309

90-93

-3

H07/11

NCAA

55-35

48-50

30-27

38-37

35-42

52-47

36-42

48-44

39-32

35-38

37-40

49-41

32-25

41-46

33-39

43-52

38-55

60-48

45-42

45-51

167.2Avg total

83.9Scored

83.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	94.0	98.0	192.0	-4.0	0%
Season at home (1)	90.0	93.0	183.0	-3.0	0%
Season away (1)	98.0	103.0	201.0	-5.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	83.9	83.3	167.2	+0.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	87.8	172.4	-3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	85.0	85.0	170.0	+0.0	33%
vs Similar (4)	71.5	80.0	151.5	-8.5	50%
vs Weaker (22)	85.4	76.8	162.2	+8.6	73%

This opponent (Kennesaw State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 162.5Actual: Over 162.5

Over 162.5

55.2%

Under 162.5

44.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 167.5 · main lineActual: Under 167.5

Over 167.5

43.0%

@ 1.90-6.3pp

Under 167.5

57.0%

@ 1.85+6.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.90

1xBet

1.85

Under

1xBet

1.85

Marathon Be

1.79

Over/Under 172.5Actual: Under 172.5

Over 172.5

31.4%

Under 172.5

68.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Kennesaw State total 84.5Actual: Kennesaw State over 84.5

Over 84.5

71.3%

Under 84.5

28.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Kennesaw State total 88.5 · main lineActual: Kennesaw State under 88.5

Over 88.5

56.3%

@ 1.85+5.1pp

Under 88.5

43.7%

@ 1.94-5.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.85

1xBet

1.77

Under

1xBet

1.94

Marathon Be

1.85

Kennesaw State total 92.5Actual: Kennesaw State under 92.5

Over 92.5

40.2%

Under 92.5

59.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Winthrop total 75Actual: Winthrop over 75

Over 75

48.3%

Under 75

51.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Winthrop total 79 · main linePush

Over 79

32.5%

@ 1.85-17.5pp

Under 79

67.5%

@ 1.85+17.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.85

Under

Marathon Be

1.85

Winthrop total 83Actual: Winthrop under 83

Over 83

19.6%

Under 83

80.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Kennesaw State -13Actual: Winthrop +13

KENN -13

58.4%

WINT +13

41.6%

Best 5 market prices

KENN

No market prices yet.

WINT

No market prices yet.

Spread Kennesaw State -10 · main lineActual: Winthrop +10

KENN -10

68.8%

@ 1.83+18.1pp

WINT +10

31.2%

@ 1.88-18.1pp

Best 5 market prices

KENN

Marathon Be

1.83

WINT

Marathon Be

1.88

Spread Kennesaw State -7Actual: Kennesaw State -7

KENN -7

78.0%

WINT +7

22.0%

Best 5 market prices

KENN

No market prices yet.

WINT

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

Kennesaw StateWinthrop

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

Kennesaw StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Liberty

#26

32-29

H27/02

NCAA

Delaware

#326

50-25

+25

H28/02

NCAA

UTEP

#307

25-35

-10

A06/03

NCAA

New Mexico State

#178

33-37

-4

A07/03

NCAA

Western Kentucky

#151

46-41

A13/03

NCAA

Sam Houston St.

#69

31-37

-6

A13/03

NCAA

Louisiana Tech

#131

35-32

A15/03

NCAA

Gonzaga

27-33

-6

A20/03

NCAA

Midway

#469

58-23

+35

H03/11

NCAA

Austin Peay

#135

29-34

-5

H07/11

NCAA

69.2Avg total

36.6Scored

32.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80
Last 30 (30)	38.5	35.6	74.1	+3.0	53%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	33.3	76.7	+10.2	73%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	33.6	37.9	71.5	-4.3	33%	27%
Last 10 (10)	36.6	32.6	69.2	+4.0	50%	20%
Last 5 (5)	36.0	31.8	67.8	+4.2	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	27.0	33.0	60.0	-6.0	0%	0%
vs Similar (17)	35.7	37.2	72.9	-1.5	47%	35%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	43.5	33.4	76.9	+10.1	67%	33%

This opponent (Winthrop) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

WinthropLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gardner Webb

#370

55-35

+20

A13/02

NCAA

USC Upstate

#274

30-27

H19/02

NCAA

High Point

#10

35-42

-7

A21/02

NCAA

Charleston Southern

#229

36-42

-6

A27/02

NCAA

Presbyterian

#263

39-32

H28/02

NCAA

Charleston Southern

#229

37-40

-3

H06/03

NCAA

Presbyterian

#263

32-25

H07/03

NCAA

High Point

#10

33-39

-6

A08/03

NCAA

Queens Royals

#237

38-55

-17

A02/11

NCAA

North Dakota

#309

45-42

H07/11

NCAA

75.9Avg total

38.0Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80
Last 30 (30)	39.4	35.4	74.8	+4.0	67%	33%
Last 30 at home (16)	41.0	33.6	74.6	+7.4	75%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	37.5	75.1	+0.1	57%	29%
Last 10 (10)	38.0	37.9	75.9	+0.1	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	37.0	40.2	77.2	-3.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	40.3	36.7	77.0	+3.7	33%	33%
vs Similar (4)	32.8	40.0	72.8	-7.2	50%	0%
vs Weaker (22)	40.0	35.3	75.4	+4.7	73%	41%

This opponent (Kennesaw State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half Spread Kennesaw State -5 · main lineActual: Winthrop +5

KENN -5

no forecast

@ 1.83

WINT +5

no forecast

@ 1.87

1st half Over/Under 80 · main lineActual: Under 80

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

Kennesaw State 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Kennesaw State under 42.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.84

Under

no forecast

@ 1.86

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Kennesaw State (regulation)

KENN

no forecast

@ 1.34

Draw

no forecast

@ 16.25

WINT

no forecast

@ 3.49

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	39.1	81.1	+2.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.6	38.7	81.3	+3.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.3	39.6	80.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	39.7	83.9	+4.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	34.6	78.8	+9.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	37.0	40.0	77.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	40.5	37.2	77.7	+3.4	76%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	44.3	41.8	86.2	+2.5	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.5	41.1	85.6	+3.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.2	38.4	84.6	+7.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.6	44.2	86.8	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	45.4	91.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	47.6	95.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	44.7	48.3	93.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.8	40.0	78.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	44.9	41.1	86.0	+3.8	59%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

🔒 1 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Kennesaw State -8	75.1%	1.77	Marathon Bet 1.77	-	-	-	-	+22.7pp	Won
Kennesaw State -9	72.0%	1.80	Marathon Bet 1.80	-	-	-	-	+20.5pp	Push
Kennesaw State -7.5	75.8%	1.69	Marathon Bet 1.71	1xBet 1.67	-	-	-	+20.5pp	Won
Kennesaw State -8.5	72.9%	1.73	Marathon Bet 1.74	1xBet 1.72	-	-	-	+19.9pp	Won
Kennesaw State (regulation)	89.5%	1.20	1xBet 1.22	Marathon Bet 1.18	-	-	-	+13.3pp	Won
Kennesaw State win	90.8%	1.18	Marathon Bet 1.18	1xBet 1.18	WilliamHill 1.17	-	-	+11.6pp	Won

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kennesaw State wins

Winthrop wins

No previous meetings.

Kennesaw Statelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	H	Austin Peay	71-69
03/11/26	H	Midway	116-57
20/03/26	A	Gonzaga	64-73
15/03/26	A	Louisiana Tech	71-60
13/03/26	A	Sam Houston St.	79-73
13/03/26	A	Western Kentucky	96-87
07/03/26	A	New Mexico State	76-79
06/03/26	A	UTEP	71-78
28/02/26	H	Delaware	90-82
27/02/26	H	Liberty	74-65

Winthroplast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	H	North Dakota	90-93
02/11/26	A	Queens Royals	98-103
08/03/26	A	High Point	76-91
07/03/26	H	Presbyterian	73-71
06/03/26	H	Charleston Southern	86-81
28/02/26	H	Presbyterian	74-70
27/02/26	A	Charleston Southern	84-86
21/02/26	A	High Point	87-89
19/02/26	H	USC Upstate	68-64
13/02/26	A	Gardner Webb	103-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kennesaw State

NCAA 2026-27

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	2	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	93.5	93.5	-
Allowed / game	63.0	63.0	-
Point differential	+30.5	+30.5	-
Avg total	156.5	156.5	-
Over 167.5	50%	50%	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

Winthrop

NCAA 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LL	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	94.0	90.0	98.0
Allowed / game	98.0	93.0	103.0
Point differential	-4.0	-3.0	-5.0
Avg total	192.0	183.0	201.0
Over 167.5	100%	100%	100%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Kennesaw State	2	2	0	100%	93.5	63.0	+30.5
2	Florida International	2	2	0	100%	93.0	66.5	+26.5
3	Missouri State	2	2	0	100%	83.5	61.0	+22.5
4	Western Kentucky	3	2	1	67%	86.3	67.7	+18.7
5	Louisiana Tech	3	2	1	67%	70.3	60.7	+9.7
6	Jacksonville State	2	1	1	50%	101.5	71.0	+30.5
7	Delaware	2	1	1	50%	84.5	58.5	+26.0
8	Liberty	2	1	1	50%	85.0	63.0	+22.0
9	Sam Houston St.	2	1	1	50%	88.0	77.5	+10.5
10	UTEP	2	1	1	50%	77.5	72.0	+5.5
11	Middle Tenn. St.	2	1	1	50%	81.0	81.0	+0.0
12	New Mexico State	2	1	1	50%	70.5	87.5	-17.0

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Big South conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	High Point	3	3	0	100%	72.7	59.0	+13.7
2	Longwood	3	2	1	67%	92.0	74.7	+17.3
3	Charleston Southern	2	1	1	50%	78.5	73.5	+5.0
4	UNC Asheville	3	1	2	33%	84.3	85.7	-1.3
5	Winthrop	2	0	2	0%	94.0	98.0	-4.0
6	USC Upstate	3	0	3	0%	65.3	75.3	-10.0
7	Presbyterian	2	0	2	0%	77.5	89.0	-11.5
8	Radford	3	0	3	0%	59.7	76.7	-17.0
9	Gardner Webb	2	0	2	0%	48.0	92.0	-44.0