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Keravnos vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 96-99
26-24 25-20 24-29 21-26
Position#34
Record1-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game91.7
Keravnos
vs
Tofas 🏆
Position#4
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game80.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4· Costas Papaellinas Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Keravnos v Tofas
30 Oct 2024
KER96
TOF99
03 Nov 2020
KER74
TOF84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keravnos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeravnosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeravnos
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
61-74
61
74
-13
50avg 76
A23/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
68-63
68
63
+5
64avg 76
H27/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
84-77
84
77
+7
84avg 76
A30/05
Division A
Trepca
#22
L
79-82
79
82
-3
75avg 76
A18/09
Champions League
Tofas
#4
L
81-99
81
99
-18
67avg 76
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
107-96
107
96
+11
108avg 76
H13/10
Division A
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
W
95-94 OT
95
94
+1
87avg 76
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#6
W
88-76
88
76
+12
82avg 76
A19/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#29
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 76
A23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#5
W
89-87
89
87
+2
83avg 76
H27/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
16-11
16-24
12-19
18-16
16-15
22-15
12-17
23-17
20-22
17-15
24-23
14-23
30-21
12-19
23-19
15-30
14-19
33-16
19-34
30-23
32-20
25-24
20-29
22-28
19-20
21-25
18-7
18-25
17-22
27-7
26-22
16-18
21-20
17-22
19-22
29-19
25-20
17-25
18-23
165.5Avg total
82.5Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.091.7174.7-8.733%
Season at home (1)95.094.0189.0+1.0100%
Season away (2)77.090.5167.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)82.583.0165.5-0.560%
Last 5 (5)90.487.0177.4+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.780.1155.9-4.457%
vs Similar (7)77.074.4151.4+2.671%
vs Weaker (15)90.171.5161.7+18.693%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
89avg 83
A28/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
80-78
80
78
+2
71avg 83
A01/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
92avg 83
H04/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
99-95
99
95
+4
96avg 83
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Keravnos
#34
W
99-81
99
81
+18
104avg 83
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#8
W
80-76
80
76
+4
72avg 83
A13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Larnaca
#29
W
96-69
96
69
+27
105avg 83
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
93-86
93
86
+7
89avg 83
H20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
W
102-90
102
90
+12
108avg 83
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Yalovaspor
#16
W
77-65
77
65
+12
77avg 83
A26/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
17-17
20-26
26-25
23-29
20-22
21-15
16-12
21-29
26-24
21-22
29-22
30-30
24-20
19-23
26-22
30-15
19-14
16-33
34-19
24-22
19-23
20-14
17-17
27-20
25-16
23-20
21-13
24-21
19-27
18-21
32-17
29-20
29-26
23-19
21-25
22-18
18-17
14-17
23-13
175.0Avg total
91.8Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)99.080.0179.0+19.0100%
Season at home (2)100.585.5186.0+15.0100%
Season away (1)96.069.0165.0+27.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.883.2175.0+8.690%
Last 5 (5)89.677.2166.8+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)82.988.6171.5-5.730%
vs Similar (16)86.883.8170.5+3.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)88.073.2161.2+14.8100%
This opponent (Keravnos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +6.0+6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +6.0+6.0
KeravnosTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A23/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H27/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A30/05
Division A
Trepca
#22
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A18/09
Champions League
Tofas
#4
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
62-43
62
43
+19
H13/10
Division A
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A19/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#29
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#5
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H27/10
Division A
82.1Avg total
41.2Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.237.078.3+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.835.981.7+9.877%-
Last 30 away (17)37.837.975.6-0.141%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.982.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.843.088.8+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.441.075.4-6.614%-
vs Similar (7)38.435.674.0+2.971%-
vs Weaker (15)45.535.480.9+10.173%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A28/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A01/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H04/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Keravnos
#34
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Larnaca
#29
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Yalovaspor
#16
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A26/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
90.0Avg total
47.3Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.342.985.2-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.443.489.9+3.062%-
Last 30 away (14)37.542.479.9-4.936%-
Last 10 (10)47.342.790.0+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)47.242.089.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.345.585.8-5.250%-
vs Similar (16)42.642.685.2-0.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)46.037.883.8+8.275%-
This opponent (Keravnos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.1
50.8%
52.6%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.1
37.6%
34.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.016.6
75.5%
72.6%16.6
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.421.4
58.8%
52.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.5
36.0%
34.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.717.7
78.0%
72.6%17.7
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keravnos
WLWWWLLWWL
Tofas
WWWWWWWLWW
#34
League position
#4
-0.7
Net rating
+5.8
110.2
Offensive rating
117.9
110.9
Defensive rating
112.0
53.0%
Effective FG%
56.8%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
19.6%
Turnover %
14.6%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.6%
3-point %
36.0%
64.2%
Assist %
79.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 117.9Defence110.9 · 112.0Shooting53.0% · 56.8%3-point %37.6% · 36.0%Ball care19.6% · 14.6%Off. rebounds31.4% · 27.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Keravnos   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keravnos wins
3
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
09/10/24Tofas v Keravnos99-81
06/01/21Tofas v Keravnos78-67
03/11/20Keravnos v Tofas74-84
Keravnoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24HAnorthosis89-87
23/10/24AAEK Larnaca73-82
19/10/24AParalimni88-76
16/10/24HBasketball Braunschweig95-94 OT
13/10/24HETHA Engomi107-96
09/10/24ATofas81-99
18/09/24ATrepca79-82
30/05/24AAEK Larnaca84-77
27/05/24HAEK Larnaca68-63
23/05/24AAEK Larnaca61-74
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24AYalovaspor77-65
23/10/24HBasketball Braunschweig102-90
20/10/24HBuyukcekmece93-86
16/10/24AAEK Larnaca96-69
13/10/24AGalatasaray80-76
09/10/24HKeravnos99-81
05/10/24HBesiktas99-95
04/05/24HGalatasaray102-107 OT
01/05/24AÇağdaş Bodrum Spor80-78
28/04/24ABahcesehir Kol.90-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keravnos
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game83.095.077.0
Allowed / game91.794.090.5
Point differential-8.7+1.0-13.5
Avg total174.7189.0167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%100%0%
Tofas
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game99.0100.596.0
Allowed / game80.085.569.0
Point differential+19.0+15.0+27.0
Avg total179.0186.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao660100%88.260.0+28.2
2 Sassari440100%85.863.0+22.8
3 Tofas330100%99.080.0+19.0
4 Cholet440100%93.875.0+18.8
5 BC Kalev/Cramo440100%81.266.8+14.5
6 Ludwigsburg330100%78.765.3+13.3
7 PAOK330100%81.768.7+13.0
8 CSM Oradea330100%79.773.7+6.0
9 Dijon54180%97.069.6+27.4
10 Maroussi54180%90.877.0+13.8
11 Anwil Wloclawek43175%93.266.5+26.8
12 FC Porto43175%78.872.2+6.5
13 Basket Zaragoza32167%92.785.7+7.0
14 Spojnia Stargard32167%76.370.3+6.0
15 Spirou Charleroi64267%79.575.2+4.3
16 Levice32167%80.776.7+4.0
17 BC Prievidza64267%86.886.0+0.8
18 Bursaspor32167%82.782.7+0.0
19 Fribourg Olympic42250%87.079.5+7.5
20 Basketball Braunschweig42250%86.279.8+6.5
21 Le Portel42250%75.269.0+6.2
22 Alba Fehervar63350%90.792.7-2.0
23 Anorthosis52340%79.282.0-2.8
24 Sporting CP62433%69.775.2-5.5
25 Antwerp Giants31233%78.784.3-5.7
26 Limburg31233%77.083.0-6.0
27 Keravnos31233%83.091.7-8.7
28 Norrkoping31233%79.788.7-9.0
29 Caledonia Gladiators31233%65.384.0-18.7
30 Arges Pitesti41325%68.270.2-2.0
31 Parnu41325%70.577.5-7.0
32 Kutaisi41325%79.087.8-8.8
33 AEK Larnaca41325%68.282.5-14.2
34 BC Dnipro82625%66.087.1-21.1
35 CSM Constanta51420%72.487.8-15.4
36 Sabah Baku4040%72.279.0-6.8
37 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
38 Szolnoki Olaj4040%75.086.8-11.8
39 Rilski Sportist4040%73.090.0-17.0
40 Trepca3030%68.789.3-20.7
41 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
42 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
43 Balkan4040%66.290.8-24.5
44 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keravnos2625242196
Tofas2420292699
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