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Tofas vs Keravnos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 99-81
30-15 19-14 16-33 34-19
Position#4
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Tofas 🏆
vs
Position#34
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 1· Tofas Spor Salonu
European cup2024
Meetings · Tofas v Keravnos
09 Oct 2024
TOF99
KER81
06 Jan 2021
TOF78
KER67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keravnos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#8
W
95-89
95
89
+6
98avg 81
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#7
L
77-83
77
83
-6
72avg 81
A03/04
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
73-94
73
94
-21
62avg 81
H07/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#7
W
90-81
90
81
+9
89avg 81
H10/04
Champions League
Tenerife
#7
L
55-78
55
78
-23
47avg 81
A17/04
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
W
111-91
111
91
+20
117avg 81
H21/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
89avg 81
A28/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
80-78
80
78
+2
71avg 81
A01/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
92avg 81
H04/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
99-95
99
95
+4
96avg 81
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
27-25
20-29
24-21
16-21
19-10
20-24
22-28
21-27
19-29
17-17
16-21
21-26
22-12
25-25
22-18
11-26
20-21
10-18
14-13
22-21
32-25
28-27
29-18
27-17
17-17
20-26
26-25
23-29
20-22
21-15
16-12
21-29
26-24
21-22
29-22
30-30
24-20
19-23
26-22
175.3Avg total
87.2Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.288.1175.3-0.960%
Last 5 (5)96.491.2187.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)82.988.6171.5-5.730%
vs Similar (15)85.184.6169.7+0.547%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)86.477.4163.8+9.060%
This opponent (Keravnos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeravnos
Date
Competition
AEL
#5
W
75-61
75
61
+14
41avg 76
A22/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
W
76-68
76
68
+8
71avg 76
A27/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
W
78-72
78
72
+6
77avg 76
H01/05
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 76
A09/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
64-71
64
71
-7
54avg 76
A15/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
92-74
92
74
+18
92avg 76
H19/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
61-74
61
74
-13
50avg 76
A23/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
68-63
68
63
+5
64avg 76
H27/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
84-77
84
77
+7
84avg 76
A30/05
Division A
Trepca
#22
L
79-82
79
82
-3
75avg 76
A18/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
20-13
19-14
17-17
26-12
16-15
11-19
23-22
16-31
22-16
20-7
20-18
21-14
13-23
16-18
28-16
9-21
20-19
19-13
16-18
28-20
24-12
26-26
14-16
17-20
16-11
16-24
12-19
18-16
16-15
22-15
12-17
23-17
20-22
17-15
24-23
14-23
30-21
12-19
23-19
146.8Avg total
75.5Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.571.3146.8+4.270%
Last 5 (5)76.874.0150.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.177.4148.6-6.357%
vs Similar (8)76.275.1151.4+1.162%
vs Weaker (14)88.667.4156.1+21.2100%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
TofasKeravnos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#8
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#7
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A03/04
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H07/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H10/04
Champions League
Tenerife
#7
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A17/04
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H21/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A28/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A01/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H04/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
88.7Avg total
44.2Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.243.084.2-1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.943.388.1+1.667%-
Last 30 away (15)37.642.780.3-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)44.244.588.7-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)48.446.895.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.345.585.8-5.250%-
vs Similar (15)41.343.084.3-1.747%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.837.880.6+5.060%-
This opponent (Keravnos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEL
#5
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A22/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A27/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H01/05
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A09/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A15/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H19/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A23/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H27/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A30/05
Division A
Trepca
#22
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A18/09
Champions League
74.6Avg total
38.8Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.635.275.7+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.734.877.5+7.977%-
Last 30 away (17)38.935.574.4+3.559%-
Last 10 (10)38.835.874.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.235.476.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.037.471.4-3.429%-
vs Similar (8)38.135.573.6+2.675%-
vs Weaker (14)45.033.278.2+11.886%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.718.3
56.0%
52.6%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
34.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.217.4
82.1%
72.6%17.4
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.6
49.7%
52.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.1
31.3%
34.0%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.115.8
74.9%
72.6%15.8
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WLWWWLWLLW
Keravnos
LWWLWLWWWW
#4
League position
#34
-2.7
Net rating
+5.1
114.9
Offensive rating
105.0
117.6
Defensive rating
99.9
54.6%
Effective FG%
48.7%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
14.7%
Turnover %
19.4%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.4%
3-point %
31.3%
76.5%
Assist %
67.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 105.0Defence117.6 · 99.9Shooting54.6% · 48.7%3-point %35.4% · 31.3%Ball care14.7% · 19.4%Off. rebounds24.9% · 33.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Tofas   ■ Keravnos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tofas wins
0
Keravnos wins
DateGameScore
06/01/21Tofas v Keravnos78-67
03/11/20Keravnos v Tofas74-84
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24HBesiktas99-95
04/05/24HGalatasaray102-107 OT
01/05/24AÇağdaş Bodrum Spor80-78
28/04/24ABahcesehir Kol.90-85
21/04/24HKarsiyaka111-91
17/04/24ATenerife55-78
10/04/24HTenerife90-81
07/04/24HBuyukcekmece73-94
03/04/24ATenerife77-83
29/03/24ABursaspor95-89
Keravnoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/09/24ATrepca79-82
30/05/24AAEK Larnaca84-77
27/05/24HAEK Larnaca68-63
23/05/24AAEK Larnaca61-74
19/05/24HAEK Larnaca92-74
15/05/24AAEK Larnaca64-71
09/05/24AAnorthosis78-71
01/05/24HAnorthosis78-72
27/04/24AAnorthosis76-68
22/04/24AAEL75-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Keravnos
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek110100%114.071.0+43.0
2 Dijon220100%100.070.5+29.5
3 Ludwigsburg110100%86.062.0+24.0
4 Maroussi220100%102.078.0+24.0
5 Bilbao220100%84.562.5+22.0
6 Cholet110100%90.075.0+15.0
7 Sassari110100%82.069.0+13.0
8 Levice110100%83.072.0+11.0
9 BC Kalev/Cramo110100%66.063.0+3.0
10 Arges Pitesti110100%67.065.0+2.0
11 CSM Oradea110100%77.075.0+2.0
12 Alba Fehervar32167%96.391.3+5.0
13 Anorthosis32167%80.077.3+2.7
14 CSM Constanta21150%76.571.0+5.5
15 BC Prievidza21150%93.094.5-1.5
16 Sporting CP31233%72.374.3-2.0
17 BC Dnipro31233%71.089.0-18.0
18 Parnu1010%65.067.0-2.0
19 Spojnia Stargard1010%75.077.0-2.0
20 Le Portel1010%63.066.0-3.0
21 Spirou Charleroi2020%70.574.0-3.5
22 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
23 Rilski Sportist1010%88.0100.0-12.0
24 Fribourg Olympic1010%75.090.0-15.0
25 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
26 Caledonia Gladiators1010%62.086.0-24.0
27 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
28 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas3019163499
Keravnos1514331981
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