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Khimki M. vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 19 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 88-89
22-18 23-31 15-24 28-16
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Astana 🏆
Russia
Position#12
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game97.0
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Khimki M. v Astana
19 Oct 2020
KHM88
AST89
20 Oct 2019
KHM73
AST56
07 May 2019
KHM94
AST64
05 May 2019
KHM82
AST59
25 Mar 2019
KHM93
AST80
30 Oct 2017
KHM72
AST71
15 Jan 2017
KHM83
AST66
14 Feb 2016
KHM128
AST87
29 Mar 2015
KHM93
AST64
07 Dec 2013
KHM96
AST75
08 Oct 2012
KHM104
AST75
19 Nov 2011
KHM85
AST66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Khimki M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Khimki M.RussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#10
W
91-88
91
88
+3
A14/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#12
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H09/03
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
67-79
67
79
-12
H20/09
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A23/09
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
W
92-77
92
77
+15
A28/09
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H02/10
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H05/10
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H10/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A16/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
23-13
29-22
15-29
21-16
22-19
24-13
12-26
15-18
20-19
20-14
12-28
16-21
23-30
21-13
25-32
20-23
23-20
25-15
24-19
17-24
22-17
23-18
14-19
28-24
23-22
19-10
22-18
20-17
12-24
16-26
22-17
25-25
16-24
16-21
28-24
18-15
18-20
11-19
13-23
161.8Avg total
79.7Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.081.5165.5+2.550%
Season at home (2)79.576.5156.0+3.050%
Season away (2)88.586.5175.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)79.782.1161.8-2.440%
Last 5 (5)76.681.4158.0-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.682.4154.0-10.80%
vs Similar (2)90.588.0178.5+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)94.080.4174.3+13.696%
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
102-46
102
46
+56
H29/01
National League
Minsk
#13
L
77-96
77
96
-19
A02/02
VTB United League
Kokshetau
#4
W
96-55
96
55
+41
A04/02
National League
Kokshetau
#4
L
0-20
0
20
-20
A05/02
National League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
72-95
72
95
-23
H10/02
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#1
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H14/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#9
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A01/03
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H08/03
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
60-93
60
93
-33
H23/09
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
83-101
83
101
-18
A03/10
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-16
28-6
19-16
23-8
19-21
23-20
13-25
22-30
22-13
27-16
26-11
21-15
–
–
–
–
22-19
8-24
23-29
19-23
24-24
13-23
22-29
29-15
18-22
20-17
22-14
18-11
21-22
18-15
16-22
23-24
15-30
14-20
23-22
8-21
19-22
23-31
23-23
18-25
147.8Avg total
73.4Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.597.0168.5-25.50%
Season at home (1)60.093.0153.0-33.00%
Season away (1)83.0101.0184.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)73.474.4147.8-1.030%
Last 5 (5)77.486.4163.8-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.897.3178.2-16.50%
vs Similar (8)84.883.9168.6+0.962%
vs Weaker (16)88.863.6152.4+25.281%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
Khimki M.Astana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A14/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#12
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H09/03
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H20/09
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A23/09
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A28/09
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H02/10
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H05/10
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H10/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A16/10
Euroleague
82.1Avg total
40.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.140.886.8+5.377%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.339.284.5+6.176%-
Last 30 away (13)47.142.889.8+4.377%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.582.1-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.482.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.640.677.2-4.020%-
vs Similar (2)42.046.088.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)48.540.388.8+8.191%-
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
60-22
60
22
+38
H29/01
National League
Minsk
#13
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A02/02
VTB United League
Kokshetau
#4
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A04/02
National League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H10/02
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H14/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A01/03
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H08/03
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H23/09
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A03/10
VTB United League
80.8Avg total
40.7Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.738.383.0+6.459%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.937.482.3+7.669%-
Last 30 away (13)44.439.583.8+4.946%-
Last 10 (9)40.740.180.8+0.644%-
Last 5 (5)37.045.282.2-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.848.385.2-11.50%-
vs Similar (8)42.941.284.1+1.638%-
vs Weaker (15)48.832.781.5+16.193%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.0
51.5%
52.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.6
33.2%
37.2%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.115.9
75.4%
75.7%15.9
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.0
50.7%
52.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.5
31.0%
37.2%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.015.0
75.0%
75.7%15.0
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Khimki M.
LLLWLWLLWW
Astana
LLLWLLLWLW
#7
League position
#12
-6.1
Net rating
-37.2
103.6
Offensive rating
98.9
109.6
Defensive rating
136.0
50.8%
Effective FG%
49.1%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
65.3%
19.3%
Turnover %
20.3%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.2%
3-point %
31.0%
72.2%
Assist %
75.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 98.9Defence109.6 · 136.0Shooting50.8% · 49.1%3-point %33.2% · 31.0%Ball care19.3% · 20.3%Off. rebounds29.3% · 25.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Khimki M.   ■ Astana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Khimki M. wins
1
Astana wins
DateGameScore
14/02/20Astana v Khimki M.88-91
20/10/19Khimki M. v Astana73-56
10/05/19Astana v Khimki M.81-88
07/05/19Khimki M. v Astana94-64
05/05/19Khimki M. v Astana82-59
25/03/19Khimki M. v Astana93-80
05/11/18Astana v Khimki M.67-76
11/03/18Astana v Khimki M.84-79
30/10/17Khimki M. v Astana72-71
17/04/17Astana v Khimki M.87-90
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/20ABaskonia60-77
14/10/20AReal Madrid85-94
10/10/20HZalgiris Kaunas70-84
05/10/20HBC Kalev/Cramo92-74
02/10/20HPanathinaikos76-78
28/09/20AEnisey92-77
23/09/20ANizhny Novgorod85-96
20/09/20HZenit Petersburg67-79
09/03/20HSaratov79-74
14/02/20AAstana91-88
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/20AUnics Kazan83-101
23/09/20HCSKA Moscow60-93
08/03/20HBC Kalev/Cramo78-83
01/03/20AEnisey78-64
14/02/20HKhimki M.88-91
10/02/20HCSKA Moscow72-95
05/02/20AKokshetau0-20
04/02/20AKokshetau96-55
02/02/20AMinsk77-96
29/01/20HKaspiy Aktau102-46

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Khimki M.
VTB United League 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game84.079.588.5
Allowed / game81.576.586.5
Point differential+2.5+3.0+2.0
Avg total165.5156.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astana
VTB United League 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.560.083.0
Allowed / game97.093.0101.0
Point differential-25.5-33.0-18.0
Avg total168.5153.0184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan110100%101.083.0+18.0
2 Zenit Petersburg440100%89.274.2+15.0
3 Parma Perm220100%95.082.5+12.5
4 CSKA Moscow43175%95.575.8+19.8
5 Lokomotiv Kuban43175%64.058.5+5.5
6 Nizhny Novgorod32167%86.783.7+3.0
7 Khimki M.42250%84.081.5+2.5
8 Minsk21150%79.592.5-13.0
9 Zielona Gora3030%81.088.7-7.7
10 Enisey2020%79.089.0-10.0
11 BC Kalev/Cramo3030%52.367.7-15.3
12 Astana2020%71.597.0-25.5
13 Saratov2020%68.096.5-28.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Khimki M.2223152888
Astana1831241689
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