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Khimki M. vs Lyon-Villeurbanne Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-85 (OT)
20-22 22-9 20-19 13-25 12-10
Position#18
Record3-27
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game90.4
vs
Position#14
Record12-18
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game80.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 32
European cup2020
Meetings · Khimki M. v Lyon-Villeurbanne
31 Mar 2021
KHM87
ASV85
24 Jan 2012
KHM86
ASV80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Khimki M. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lyon-Villeurbanne winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormM.
Date
Competition
Zielona Gora
#6
L
94-99
94
99
-5
87avg 74
H28/02
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#7
W
78-77
78
77
+1
71avg 74
H02/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
81-100
81
100
-19
no box
H05/03
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#1
W
81-78
81
78
+3
64avg 74
A08/03
VTB United League
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
81-92
81
92
-11
76avg 74
A11/03
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
69avg 74
A15/03
VTB United League
Valencia
#8
L
68-77
68
77
-9
no box
H19/03
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#6
W
89-70
89
70
+19
86avg 74
A22/03
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
70-91
70
91
-21
56avg 74
H26/03
Euroleague
Minsk
#13
W
89-65
89
65
+24
no box
H28/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
31-20
15-24
27-29
17-18
28-20
17-24
16-15
25-20
22-21
20-27
14-32
22-19
19-20
14-18
26-21
15-8
23-26
22-28
21-30
15-29
15-22
15-16
28-25
17-27
21-17
11-14
19-19
30-8
27-22
11-18
21-22
11-14
18-25
18-27
23-25
20-16
29-17
19-13
21-19
164.5Avg total
80.4Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.990.4168.3-12.510%
Season at home (16)79.391.2170.5-11.912%
Season away (14)76.489.5165.9-13.17%
Last 10 (10)80.484.1164.5-3.740%
Last 5 (5)77.879.0156.8-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)79.992.0171.9-12.112%
vs Similar (2)91.584.5176.0+7.050%
vs Weaker (4)86.573.5160.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Lyon-Villeurbanne) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lyon-VilleurbanneLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLyon-Villeurbanne
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
75-85
75
85
-10
72avg 74
A02/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
86-90
86
90
-4
79avg 74
H05/03
Euroleague
Dijon
#2
L
76-84
76
84
-8
72avg 74
H09/03
LNB
Alba Berlin
#15
L
89-95
89
95
-6
86avg 74
H11/03
Euroleague
Limoges
#10
W
83-60
83
60
+23
86avg 74
A13/03
LNB
Le Mans
#8
L
96-105 OT
96
105
-9
no box
A16/03
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#21
W
74-73
74
73
+1
no box
H20/03
French Cup
Nanterre
#9
W
96-92 OT
96
92
+4
no box
H23/03
LNB
Real Madrid
#7
L
71-74
71
74
-3
62avg 74
H25/03
Euroleague
Chalons-Reims
#12
W
97-71
97
71
+26
96avg 74
H28/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
22-23
15-27
18-18
18-20
20-20
22-19
26-31
19-21
15-17
22-18
20-28
30-23
22-20
21-27
16-25
29-15
19-18
20-15
15-12
21-13
20-21
19-19
23-30
18-18
15-15
23-17
18-23
22-12
28-24
10-23
23-24
23-20
14-12
14-24
20-18
15-23
31-14
32-18
19-16
167.2Avg total
84.3Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.580.4157.9-2.940%
Season at home (17)81.282.1163.3-0.847%
Season away (13)72.678.2150.8-5.631%
Last 10 (10)84.382.9167.2+1.440%
Last 5 (5)86.883.0169.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.378.9157.2-0.656%
vs Similar (10)78.183.5161.6-5.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.479.0168.4+10.470%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
Khimki M.Lyon-Villeurbanne
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zielona Gora
#6
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H28/02
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H02/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H05/03
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A08/03
VTB United League
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A11/03
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A15/03
VTB United League
Valencia
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H19/03
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#6
W
57-30
57
30
+27
A22/03
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H26/03
Euroleague
Minsk
#13
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H28/03
VTB United League
82.1Avg total
42.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.544.588.0-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.846.291.0-1.438%-
Last 30 away (14)42.142.684.6-0.557%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.582.1+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.480.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)41.646.688.2-5.033%-
vs Similar (2)54.538.092.5+16.5100%-
vs Weaker (4)49.535.084.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Lyon-Villeurbanne) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lyon-VilleurbanneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A02/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H05/03
Euroleague
Dijon
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H09/03
LNB
Alba Berlin
#15
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H11/03
Euroleague
Limoges
#10
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A13/03
LNB
Le Mans
#8
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A16/03
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#21
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H20/03
French Cup
Nanterre
#9
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H23/03
LNB
Real Madrid
#7
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H25/03
Euroleague
Chalons-Reims
#12
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H28/03
LNB
78.7Avg total
42.1Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.480.1+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (20)41.840.081.8+1.845%-
Last 30 away (10)38.438.276.6+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)42.136.678.7+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.434.475.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.340.476.8-4.133%-
vs Similar (10)40.539.580.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.838.383.1+6.560%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.7
52.9%
52.7%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.0
33.6%
38.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.114.4
84.2%
79.3%14.4
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lyon-Villeurbannetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lyon-Villeurbanne: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.021.5
58.1%
52.7%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.78.7
40.1%
38.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.716.3
82.7%
79.3%16.3
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Khimki M.
WLWLLLWLWL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
WLWWLWLLLL
#18
League position
#14
-4.5
Net rating
+7.1
108.1
Offensive rating
117.2
112.6
Defensive rating
110.0
52.0%
Effective FG%
58.9%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
17.3%
Turnover %
19.6%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.6%
3-point %
40.1%
64.5%
Assist %
59.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 117.2Defence112.6 · 110.0Shooting52.0% · 58.9%3-point %33.6% · 40.1%Ball care17.3% · 19.6%Off. rebounds27.3% · 29.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Khimki M.   ■ Lyon-Villeurbanne
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Khimki M. wins
1
Lyon-Villeurbanne wins
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/21HMinsk89-65
26/03/21HZenit Petersburg70-91
22/03/21AZielona Gora89-70
19/03/21HValencia68-77
15/03/21ACSKA Moscow73-92
11/03/21ACrvena zvezda81-92
08/03/21AZenit Petersburg81-78
05/03/21HAlba Berlin81-100
02/03/21HReal Madrid78-77
28/02/21HZielona Gora94-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/21HChalons-Reims97-71
25/03/21HReal Madrid71-74
23/03/21HNanterre96-92 OT
20/03/21HBoulogne-Levallois74-73
16/03/21ALe Mans96-105 OT
13/03/21ALimoges83-60
11/03/21HAlba Berlin89-95
09/03/21HDijon76-84
05/03/21HFenerbahce86-90
02/03/21AZalgiris Kaunas75-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Khimki M.
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL10%
HomeLWLLL12%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %10%12%7%
Points / game77.979.376.4
Allowed / game90.491.289.5
Point differential-12.5-11.9-13.1
Avg total168.3170.5165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Lyon-Villeurbanne
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL40%
HomeWWLLL47%
AwayLWWWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %40%47%31%
Points / game77.581.272.6
Allowed / game80.482.178.2
Point differential-2.9-0.8-5.6
Avg total157.9163.3150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona3223972%80.973.3+7.5
2 CSKA Moscow31211068%83.580.1+3.4
3 Anadolu Efes32211166%83.575.4+8.0
4 Olimpia Milano32201262%80.877.8+3.0
5 Fenerbahce32201262%79.078.5+0.5
6 Bayern32191359%78.377.7+0.7
7 Baskonia32181456%80.376.3+4.0
8 Real Madrid32181456%79.978.3+1.6
9 Zenit Petersburg31171455%76.975.5+1.4
10 Valencia31171455%81.580.9+0.7
11 Zalgiris Kaunas32161650%77.178.0-0.9
12 Olympiacos31141745%78.780.2-1.5
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv30131743%79.179.9-0.8
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne30121840%77.580.4-2.9
15 Alba Berlin32112134%78.383.2-4.9
16 Panathinaikos30102033%79.382.2-2.9
17 Crvena zvezda3292328%74.680.1-5.6
18 Khimki M.3032710%77.990.4-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Khimki M.202220131287
Lyon-Villeurbanne22919251085
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