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Khimki M. vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-77
17-18 28-20 17-24 16-15
Position#18
Record2-23
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game91.0
Khimki M. 🏆
vs
Real Madrid
Position#7
Record16-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game76.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 27
European cup2020
Meetings · Khimki M. v Real Madrid
02 Mar 2021
KHM78
MAD77
14 Mar 2019
KHM75
MAD100
12 Jan 2018
KHM78
MAD95
11 Feb 2016
KHM82
MAD93
16 Oct 2015
KHM84
MAD70
19 Oct 2012
KHM86
MAD85
22 Oct 2009
KHM84
MAD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Khimki M. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#3
L
87-93
87
93
-6
H17/01
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A21/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
93-95
93
95
-2
H26/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
76-107
76
107
-31
H28/01
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#9
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A01/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
90-92
90
92
-2
H08/02
VTB United League
Astana
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A12/02
VTB United League
Baskonia
#10
L
67-89
67
89
-22
H18/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A25/02
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#6
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H28/02
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
25-24
17-20
24-28
20-23
13-23
18-24
27-24
15-26
29-18
31-29
18-22
22-23
22-30
13-30
19-24
22-18
19-14
21-21
10-16
19-28
18-22
23-17
30-25
22-11
25-16
15-31
20-19
14-24
23-23
20-24
10-18
26-29
17-27
13-14
18-14
21-26
31-20
15-24
27-29
171.2Avg total
81.3Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.491.0169.4-12.68%
Season at home (12)81.092.8173.8-11.88%
Season away (13)76.089.3165.3-13.38%
Last 10 (10)81.389.9171.2-8.620%
Last 5 (5)81.488.2169.6-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)80.991.6172.5-10.716%
vs Similar (1)94.099.0193.0-5.00%
vs Weaker (4)84.878.5163.2+6.275%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H31/01
ACB
Murcia
#12
W
98-87
98
87
+11
H02/02
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
64-84
64
84
-20
H05/02
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A07/02
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
85-74
85
74
+11
H11/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#3
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H13/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Valencia
#8
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A19/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H25/02
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
96-81
96
81
+15
H27/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
25-20
22-22
18-23
24-32
23-19
26-9
25-27
15-28
19-9
18-23
12-24
22-12
13-23
19-16
25-14
29-17
20-17
14-21
22-19
19-23
21-23
25-16
20-17
11-20
20-32
19-17
23-19
21-29
14-26
17-16
26-18
21-13
15-18
15-11
19-16
29-13
19-19
22-22
26-27
159.4Avg total
80.9Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.176.9157.0+3.262%
Season at home (13)82.275.5157.7+6.669%
Season away (13)78.178.3156.4-0.254%
Last 10 (10)80.978.5159.4+2.470%
Last 5 (5)80.479.0159.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.080.0156.0-4.033%
vs Similar (11)78.978.6157.5+0.355%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.175.7160.7+9.493%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
Khimki M.Real Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H17/01
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A21/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H26/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H28/01
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#9
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A01/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H08/02
VTB United League
Astana
#12
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A12/02
VTB United League
Baskonia
#10
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H18/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A25/02
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#6
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H28/02
VTB United League
87.0Avg total
42.4Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.446.289.6-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.648.894.4-3.129%-
Last 30 away (16)41.543.985.4-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)42.444.687.0-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.288.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)42.347.890.1-5.520%-
vs Similar (1)52.046.098.0+6.0100%-
vs Weaker (4)48.236.284.5+12.0100%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H31/01
ACB
Murcia
#12
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H02/02
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H05/02
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A07/02
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H11/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H13/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
31-52
31
52
-21
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Valencia
#8
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A19/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H25/02
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H27/02
ACB
80.4Avg total
39.6Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.977.6+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.638.980.5+2.750%-
Last 30 away (12)36.936.373.2+0.667%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.880.4-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.043.281.2-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.045.081.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (11)38.038.976.9-0.955%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.135.977.1+5.267%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.4
50.0%
52.7%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.7
36.3%
38.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.214.8
81.3%
79.3%14.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.3
53.5%
52.7%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.2
37.8%
38.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws15.912.2
76.7%
79.3%12.2
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Khimki M.
LLLWLWLLLL
Real Madrid
WWLLWWWLWW
#18
League position
#7
-11.3
Net rating
+7.9
111.7
Offensive rating
111.8
123.0
Defensive rating
103.9
51.9%
Effective FG%
54.9%
59.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
15.4%
Turnover %
18.5%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.3%
3-point %
37.8%
62.6%
Assist %
55.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 111.8Defence123.0 · 103.9Shooting51.9% · 54.9%3-point %36.3% · 37.8%Ball care15.4% · 18.5%Off. rebounds29.2% · 30.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Khimki M.   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Khimki M. wins
7
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
14/10/20Real Madrid v Khimki M.94-85
14/03/19Khimki M. v Real Madrid75-100
15/11/18Real Madrid v Khimki M.79-74
12/01/18Khimki M. v Real Madrid78-95
02/11/17Real Madrid v Khimki M.80-86
07/04/16Real Madrid v Khimki M.83-70
11/02/16Khimki M. v Real Madrid82-93
18/11/15Real Madrid v Khimki M.82-85
16/10/15Khimki M. v Real Madrid84-70
23/11/12Real Madrid v Khimki M.104-81
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/21HZielona Gora94-99
25/02/21AOlimpia Milano74-84
18/02/21HBaskonia67-89
12/02/21AAstana82-77
08/02/21HLokomotiv Kuban90-92
01/02/21AParma Perm72-69
28/01/21HFenerbahce76-107
26/01/21HBayern93-95
21/01/21APanathinaikos78-94
17/01/21HUnics Kazan87-93
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21HSan Pablo Burgos96-81
25/02/21HZalgiris Kaunas70-58
19/02/21AValencia78-89
14/02/21HBarcelona73-88
13/02/21HTenerife85-79
11/02/21HValencia85-74
07/02/21AEstudiantes79-65
05/02/21HBaskonia64-84
02/02/21HMurcia98-87
31/01/21HGran Canaria81-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Khimki M.
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL8%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %8%8%8%
Points / game78.481.076.0
Allowed / game91.092.889.3
Point differential-12.6-11.8-13.3
Avg total169.4173.8165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeLLWLW69%
AwayWWLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%69%54%
Points / game80.182.278.1
Allowed / game76.975.578.3
Point differential+3.2+6.6-0.2
Avg total157.0157.7156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%46%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)0% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %12%0%23%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2618869%81.073.7+7.3
2 CSKA Moscow2517868%83.679.4+4.2
3 Olimpia Milano2617965%81.777.7+4.0
4 Real Madrid26161062%80.176.9+3.2
5 Bayern26161062%79.277.7+1.4
6 Anadolu Efes25151060%80.876.2+4.6
7 Zenit Petersburg25151060%77.075.4+1.6
8 Fenerbahce26151158%78.879.6-0.7
9 Valencia26141254%82.681.8+0.7
10 Zalgiris Kaunas26141254%77.677.1+0.5
11 Baskonia26131350%80.077.2+2.8
12 Lyon-Villeurbanne26121446%77.179.5-2.5
13 Olympiacos26111542%78.880.7-1.9
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv24101442%78.878.9-0.1
15 Panathinaikos2491538%80.082.2-2.2
16 Alba Berlin2691735%77.282.6-5.3
17 Crvena zvezda2671927%73.478.8-5.4
18 Khimki M.252238%78.491.0-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Khimki M.1728171678
Real Madrid1820241577
← all games of the day
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