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Khimki M. vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-100
25-20 22-21 20-27 14-32
Position#18
Record3-23
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game90.5
vs
Position#15
Record9-18
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game82.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28
European cup2020
Meetings · Khimki M. v Alba Berlin
05 Mar 2021
KHM81
ABE100
30 Nov 2016
KHM88
ABE77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Khimki M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormM.
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#16
L
78-94
78
94
-16
74avg 74
A21/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
93-95
93
95
-2
84avg 74
H26/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
76-107
76
107
-31
no box
H28/01
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#9
W
72-69
72
69
+3
65avg 74
A01/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
H08/02
VTB United League
Astana
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
82avg 74
A12/02
VTB United League
Baskonia
#10
L
67-89
67
89
-22
49avg 74
H18/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
74-84
74
84
-10
66avg 74
A25/02
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#6
L
94-99
94
99
-5
87avg 74
H28/02
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#7
W
78-77
78
77
+1
71avg 74
H02/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
13-23
18-24
27-24
15-26
29-18
31-29
18-22
22-23
22-30
13-30
19-24
22-18
19-14
21-21
10-16
19-28
18-22
23-17
30-25
22-11
25-16
15-31
20-19
14-24
23-23
20-24
10-18
26-29
17-27
13-14
18-14
21-26
31-20
15-24
27-29
17-18
28-20
17-24
16-15
168.7Avg total
80.4Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.490.5168.8-12.112%
Season at home (13)80.891.6172.4-10.815%
Season away (13)76.089.3165.3-13.38%
Last 10 (10)80.488.3168.7-7.930%
Last 5 (5)79.085.2164.2-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)80.891.0171.8-10.219%
vs Similar (1)94.099.0193.0-5.00%
vs Weaker (3)85.776.3162.0+9.3100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#11
W
86-75
86
75
+11
86avg 75
A02/02
BBL
Bayern
#5
L
95-101 OT
95
101
-6
no box
A05/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
83-65
83
65
+18
78avg 75
H07/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
101-77
101
77
+24
100avg 75
A09/02
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
80-68
80
68
+12
76avg 75
H12/02
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
67-76
67
76
-9
56avg 75
A14/02
BBL
Fenerbahce
#9
L
84-89
84
89
-5
82avg 75
A19/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
74-65
74
65
+9
66avg 75
H26/02
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
100-62
100
62
+38
104avg 75
H28/02
BBL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
71-87
71
87
-16
64avg 75
A02/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
15-17
27-16
18-24
26-10
17-23
23-25
21-29
17-6
17-21
26-22
23-16
28-19
24-25
26-24
23-9
21-20
26-18
21-14
12-16
20-20
18-16
15-17
14-23
22-24
20-21
18-22
24-22
11-17
17-17
22-19
24-12
24-8
25-17
26-16
25-21
24-23
24-20
19-25
4-19
160.6Avg total
84.1Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.082.7159.7-5.733%
Season at home (14)75.479.9155.4-4.536%
Season away (13)78.785.8164.5-7.131%
Last 10 (10)84.176.5160.6+7.660%
Last 5 (5)79.275.8155.0+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.084.2160.2-8.222%
vs Similar (8)80.479.4159.8+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.272.4160.5+15.892%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
Khimki M.Alba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#16
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A21/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H26/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H28/01
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#9
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A01/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H08/02
VTB United League
Astana
#12
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A12/02
VTB United League
Baskonia
#10
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H18/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A25/02
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#6
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H28/02
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H02/03
Euroleague
86.2Avg total
42.3Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.546.289.7-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.648.193.7-2.533%-
Last 30 away (15)41.344.385.7-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)42.343.986.2-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.842.887.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)42.447.489.8-5.023%-
vs Similar (1)52.046.098.0+6.0100%-
vs Weaker (3)49.735.785.3+14.0100%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#11
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A02/02
BBL
Bayern
#5
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A05/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H07/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A09/02
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H12/02
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A14/02
BBL
Fenerbahce
#9
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A19/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H26/02
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H28/02
BBL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A02/03
Euroleague
78.2Avg total
42.2Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.079.1+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.636.477.0+4.272%-
Last 30 away (12)41.840.582.2+1.258%-
Last 10 (10)42.236.078.2+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.677.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.740.880.4-1.156%-
vs Similar (8)37.037.174.1-0.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.536.781.2+7.892%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.1
51.5%
52.7%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.5
35.1%
38.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.013.1
81.9%
79.3%13.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.416.8
47.5%
52.7%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.612.0
38.0%
38.1%36.0
🏀 Free throws14.912.7
85.2%
79.3%12.7
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Khimki M.
WLLLWLWLLL
Alba Berlin
LWWLLWWWLW
#18
League position
#15
-10.3
Net rating
+13.0
109.8
Offensive rating
108.4
120.2
Defensive rating
95.4
51.9%
Effective FG%
51.9%
58.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
15.6%
Turnover %
17.2%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.1%
3-point %
38.0%
65.0%
Assist %
58.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 108.4Defence120.2 · 95.4Shooting51.9% · 51.9%3-point %35.1% · 38.0%Ball care15.6% · 17.2%Off. rebounds28.1% · 33.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Khimki M.   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Khimki M. wins
1
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
26/11/20Alba Berlin v Khimki M.100-80
30/11/16Khimki M. v Alba Berlin88-77
26/10/16Alba Berlin v Khimki M.72-102
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/21HReal Madrid78-77
28/02/21HZielona Gora94-99
25/02/21AOlimpia Milano74-84
18/02/21HBaskonia67-89
12/02/21AAstana82-77
08/02/21HLokomotiv Kuban90-92
01/02/21AParma Perm72-69
28/01/21HFenerbahce76-107
26/01/21HBayern93-95
21/01/21APanathinaikos78-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/21AZenit Petersburg71-87
28/02/21HCrailsheim Merlins100-62
26/02/21HPanathinaikos74-65
19/02/21AFenerbahce84-89
14/02/21ABamberg67-76
12/02/21HBayreuth80-68
09/02/21ACrailsheim Merlins101-77
07/02/21HChemnitz83-65
05/02/21ABayern95-101 OT
02/02/21AGottingen86-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Khimki M.
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW12%
HomeLLLLW15%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %12%15%8%
Points / game78.480.876.0
Allowed / game90.591.689.3
Point differential-12.1-10.8-13.3
Avg total168.8172.4165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLLLLW36%
AwayLWLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %33%36%31%
Points / game77.075.478.7
Allowed / game82.779.985.8
Point differential-5.7-4.5-7.1
Avg total159.7155.4164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2719870%81.173.8+7.3
2 CSKA Moscow2718967%83.180.1+3.0
3 Bayern28181064%79.077.4+1.6
4 Anadolu Efes27171063%82.276.2+6.0
5 Olimpia Milano27171063%82.078.5+3.6
6 Real Madrid28171161%79.876.8+3.1
7 Zenit Petersburg27161159%77.275.3+1.9
8 Fenerbahce27161159%79.680.0-0.4
9 Zalgiris Kaunas27151256%77.977.0+0.9
10 Baskonia27141352%80.476.8+3.7
11 Valencia28141450%82.282.5-0.3
12 Lyon-Villeurbanne27121544%77.079.7-2.7
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv26111542%79.178.8+0.2
14 Olympiacos27111641%78.381.1-2.8
15 Panathinaikos2691735%79.582.1-2.5
16 Alba Berlin2791833%77.082.7-5.7
17 Crvena zvezda2772026%73.578.8-5.3
18 Khimki M.2632312%78.490.5-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Khimki M.2522201481
Alba Berlin20212732100
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