Kilsyth vs Bendigo Braves Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Aug 2019

Tip-off: 05:00

Final 104-115

18-33 27-22 18-25 41-35

Position#7

Record12-9

FormWWLWL

Points / game84.9

Allowed / game83.9

Kilsyth

Bendigo Braves 🏆

Position#5

Record12-9

FormWLWWW

Points / game84.7

Allowed / game82.3

NBL 1NBL1 - Quarter-finals

Other2019

Meetings · Kilsyth v Bendigo Braves

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilsyth winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bendigo Braves winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kilsyth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Waverley

#10

101-68

101

+33

A02/06

NBL 1

Knox

#13

90-77

+13

H15/06

NBL 1

Nunawading

99-87

+12

H22/06

NBL 1

Dandenong

84-95

-11

A29/06

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

62-80

-18

A05/07

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

86-81

A06/07

NBL 1

Nunawading

87-82

A13/07

NBL 1

Frankston

58-93

-35

H14/07

NBL 1

Dandenong

94-86

H20/07

NBL 1

Ballarat

66-80

-14

A27/07

NBL 1

18-15

32-11

30-17

21-25

14-21

15-20

27-21

34-15

17-16

33-25

29-17

20-29

20-22

31-28

18-25

15-20

17-14

18-21

13-22

14-23

21-23

21-22

22-16

22-20

18-18

20-16

24-17

25-31

7-30

14-21

20-26

17-16

25-24

22-25

27-17

20-20

21-22

12-23

21-20

12-15

165.6Avg total

82.7Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	84.9	83.9	168.8	+1.0	57%
Season at home (10)	87.9	88.4	176.3	-0.5	60%
Season away (11)	82.1	79.8	161.9	+2.3	55%
Last 10 (10)	82.7	82.9	165.6	-0.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	84.4	162.6	-6.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	73.7	85.7	159.4	-12.0	29%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	89.2	83.4	172.7	+5.8	69%
vs Weaker (7)	87.3	80.0	167.3	+7.3	71%

This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bendigo Braves Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Southern Sabres

#18

100-73

100

+27

H01/06

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

68-74

-6

A02/06

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

93-83

+10

A15/06

NBL 1

Ballarat

84-88

-4

H22/06

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

92-88

A29/06

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

86-84

H06/07

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

82-93

-11

H12/07

NBL 1

Knox

#13

80-78

A13/07

NBL 1

Geelong

84-67

+17

A20/07

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

86-76

+10

A28/07

NBL 1

34-17

20-21

21-16

25-19

21-19

17-16

13-23

23-22

24-11

25-24

21-26

25-28

25-21

19-21

15-18

17-24

16-23

33-23

26-18

22-17

21-30

22-18

21-19

22-20

19-24

19-28

22-21

15-15

19-17

22-23

24-23

22-20

20-15

19-14

23-18

15-21

22-23

29-17

20-15

165.9Avg total

85.5Scored

80.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	84.7	82.3	167.0	+2.4	57%
Season at home (10)	87.6	81.6	169.2	+6.0	60%
Season away (11)	82.0	82.9	164.9	-0.9	55%
Last 10 (10)	85.5	80.4	165.9	+5.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	79.6	163.2	+4.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	81.3	90.3	171.7	-9.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	84.7	79.9	164.6	+4.9	71%
vs Weaker (11)	85.5	81.6	167.2	+3.9	64%

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KilsythBendigo Braves

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	22.2	42.2	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	24.3	44.9	-3.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	20.5	38.3	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	23.4	41.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.9	21.9	38.7	-5.0	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.1	22.9	44.0	-1.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.0	20.7	41.7	+0.3	43%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	21.6	22.6	44.2	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	23.9	22.6	46.5	+1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.5	22.6	42.1	-3.2	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.3	41.9	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	24.7	43.3	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	22.7	24.0	46.7	-1.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.6	21.2	42.8	+0.5	45%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.5	42.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	20.3	41.1	+0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.1	20.7	44.9	+3.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.4	39.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.3	21.3	40.6	-2.0	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	23.1	21.6	44.7	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.6	17.3	40.9	+6.3	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	21.6	20.2	41.8	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	22.0	21.1	43.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.2	19.5	40.6	+1.7	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	24.3	22.7	47.0	+1.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.3	20.1	41.4	+1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	55%	-

KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Waverley

#10

50-26

+24

A02/06

NBL 1

Knox

#13

29-41

-12

H15/06

NBL 1

Nunawading

50-41

H22/06

NBL 1

Dandenong

51-50

A29/06

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

35-35

A05/07

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

42-45

-3

A06/07

NBL 1

Nunawading

38-34

A13/07

NBL 1

Frankston

21-51

-30

H14/07

NBL 1

Dandenong

47-49

-2

H20/07

NBL 1

Ballarat

33-45

-12

A27/07

NBL 1

81.3Avg total

39.6Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	42.7	85.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.4	44.6	86.0	-3.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.6	40.4	84.0	+3.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	41.7	81.3	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	44.8	81.0	-8.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.1	43.1	79.3	-7.0	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	44.2	44.5	88.7	-0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	44.6	38.0	82.6	+6.6	71%	-

This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bendigo BravesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Southern Sabres

#18

54-38

+16

H01/06

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

38-35

A02/06

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

47-33

+14

A15/06

NBL 1

Ballarat

50-49

H22/06

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

33-47

-14

A29/06

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

43-47

-4

H06/07

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

41-44

-3

H12/07

NBL 1

Knox

#13

34-32

A13/07

NBL 1

Geelong

42-35

A20/07

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

37-44

-7

A28/07

NBL 1

82.3Avg total

41.9Scored

40.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	43.1	42.9	86.0	+0.3	48%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	45.9	43.7	89.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	40.6	42.1	82.7	-1.5	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	40.4	82.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	40.4	79.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	43.0	47.3	90.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	44.0	44.1	88.1	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (11)	42.6	40.8	83.5	+1.8	55%	-

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.6	42.5	+1.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	20.5	43.3	+2.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	19.8	42.9	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.3	19.1	39.4	+1.1	71%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	24.0	20.4	44.4	+3.6	75%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.0	22.3	41.3	-3.3	43%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	21.0	20.2	41.3	+0.8	52%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.5	19.6	40.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.5	20.8	42.4	+0.7	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	20.0	42.6	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.0	42.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	21.7	40.3	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	71%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.1	21.0	42.1	+0.1	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.9	40.7	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	21.1	44.3	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	18.6	36.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.3	23.4	40.7	-6.1	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.1	18.5	39.6	+2.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.7	19.7	43.4	+4.0	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	20.5	19.2	39.7	+1.3	62%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	21.2	18.3	39.5	+2.9	70%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	21.3	41.0	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	18.7	17.3	36.0	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+2.0	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	40.5	83.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.1	41.6	87.6	+4.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.0	39.3	78.3	-0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	41.2	84.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	39.6	81.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.6	42.6	80.1	-5.0	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	45.1	38.9	84.0	+6.1	75%	-
vs Weaker (7)	42.7	42.0	84.7	+0.7	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	41.5	39.4	81.0	+2.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	41.7	37.9	79.6	+3.8	70%	-
Last 30 away (11)	41.4	40.8	82.2	+0.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	40.0	83.6	+3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	39.2	83.4	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.3	43.0	81.3	-4.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	40.7	35.7	76.4	+5.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (11)	42.9	40.8	83.7	+2.1	55%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kilsyth wins

Bendigo Braves wins

Date	Game	Score
13/04/19	Kilsyth v Bendigo Braves	100-90

Kilsythlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/07/19	A	Ballarat	66-80
20/07/19	H	Dandenong	94-86
14/07/19	H	Frankston	58-93
13/07/19	A	Nunawading	87-82
06/07/19	A	NW Tasmania	86-81
05/07/19	A	Hobart Huskies	62-80
29/06/19	A	Dandenong	84-95
22/06/19	H	Nunawading	99-87
15/06/19	H	Knox	90-77
02/06/19	A	Waverley	101-68

Bendigo Braveslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/07/19	A	Melbourne Tigers	86-76
20/07/19	A	Geelong	84-67
13/07/19	A	Knox	80-78
12/07/19	H	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	82-93
06/07/19	H	Diamond Valley	86-84
29/06/19	A	Eltham	92-88
22/06/19	H	Ballarat	84-88
15/06/19	A	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	93-83
02/06/19	A	Ringwood	68-74
01/06/19	H	Southern Sabres	100-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kilsyth

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	57%
Home	LWWLW	60%
Away	LLWWL	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	57%	60%	55%
Points / game	84.9	87.9	82.1
Allowed / game	83.9	88.4	79.8
Point differential	+1.0	-0.5	+2.3
Avg total	168.8	176.3	161.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	40%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (1)	60% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Bendigo Braves

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	57%
Home	LWLWL	60%
Away	WWWWW	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	57%	60%	55%
Points / game	84.7	87.6	82.0
Allowed / game	82.3	81.6	82.9
Point differential	+2.4	+6.0	-0.9
Avg total	167.0	169.2	164.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	50%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	33% (3)	100% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ballarat	21	17	4	81%	89.7	75.7	+14.0
2	Frankston	21	15	6	71%	94.8	88.3	+6.5
3	Nunawading	22	15	7	68%	92.5	85.2	+7.3
4	Geelong	22	13	9	59%	80.8	79.8	+1.0
5	Bendigo Braves	21	12	9	57%	84.7	82.3	+2.4
6	Melbourne Tigers	21	12	9	57%	86.3	84.5	+1.8
7	Kilsyth	21	12	9	57%	84.9	83.9	+1.0
8	Dandenong	21	11	10	52%	91.0	87.9	+3.2
9	Hobart Huskies	20	10	10	50%	87.2	88.3	-1.1
10	Waverley	20	10	10	50%	88.3	90.1	-1.8
11	Diamond Valley	20	9	11	45%	86.4	88.2	-1.8
12	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	20	8	12	40%	92.8	95.7	-2.9
13	Knox	20	8	12	40%	81.1	84.2	-3.0
14	NW Tasmania	20	8	12	40%	84.9	88.0	-3.0
15	BA CoE	20	8	12	40%	83.0	86.8	-3.8
16	Ringwood	20	6	14	30%	90.4	95.3	-5.0
17	Eltham	20	6	14	30%	85.5	90.5	-5.0
18	Southern Sabres	20	5	15	25%	87.0	98.8	-11.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kilsyth	18	27	18	41	104
Bendigo Braves	33	22	25	35	115

← all games of the day

Kilsyth vs Bendigo Braves Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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