Bendigo Braves vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Jun 2019

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 84-88

25-28 25-21 19-21 15-18

Position#5

Record7-7

FormLLWLW

Points / game84.6

Allowed / game82.4

Bendigo Braves

Ballarat 🏆

Position#1

Record11-2

FormWWWLW

Points / game91.8

Allowed / game74.5

NBL 1

Other2019

Meetings · Bendigo Braves v Ballarat

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bendigo Braves winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ballarat winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bendigo Braves Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

88-73

+15

H18/04

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

93-76

+17

H27/04

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

89-73

+16

H03/05

NBL 1

Geelong

96-80

+16

H12/05

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

86-89

-3

H18/05

NBL 1

Nunawading

74-89

-15

A25/05

NBL 1

Dandenong

76-94

-18

A26/05

NBL 1

Southern Sabres

#18

100-73

100

+27

H01/06

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

68-74

-6

A02/06

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

93-83

+10

A15/06

NBL 1

21-23

21-19

22-13

24-18

21-29

30-13

18-22

24-12

22-23

20-17

23-16

24-17

31-22

19-22

29-17

17-19

27-28

21-24

15-23

23-14

16-16

19-30

16-21

23-22

16-35

29-21

17-20

14-18

34-17

20-21

21-16

25-19

21-19

17-16

13-23

23-22

24-11

25-24

21-26

166.7Avg total

86.3Scored

80.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	84.6	82.4	167.0	+2.1	50%
Season at home (7)	89.1	78.7	167.9	+10.4	71%
Season away (7)	80.0	86.1	166.1	-6.1	29%
Last 10 (10)	86.3	80.4	166.7	+5.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	82.6	164.8	-0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	80.0	91.5	171.5	-11.5	0%
vs Similar (5)	84.6	83.2	167.8	+1.4	60%
vs Weaker (7)	85.9	79.3	165.1	+6.6	57%

This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ballarat

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Knox

#13

90-68

+22

A27/04

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

126-63

126

+63

A04/05

NBL 1

Kilsyth

87-71

+16

A11/05

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

104-80

104

+24

A12/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

77-80 OT

-3

H18/05

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

94-67

+27

H25/05

NBL 1

Southern Sabres

#18

100-66

100

+34

A26/05

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

101-79

101

+22

H01/06

NBL 1

Frankston

80-87

-7

A02/06

NBL 1

Geelong

66-62

A15/06

NBL 1

18-7

28-16

24-24

20-21

31-17

35-18

34-20

26-8

26-23

18-16

12-15

31-17

27-20

21-20

29-19

27-21

27-16

15-16

17-21

14-20

24-15

28-20

22-10

20-22

28-19

29-15

22-11

21-21

22-17

23-18

25-20

31-24

21-25

20-27

21-18

18-17

18-14

20-21

17-12

11-15

164.8Avg total

92.5Scored

72.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	91.8	74.5	166.3	+17.2	85%
Season at home (4)	91.5	78.0	169.5	+13.5	75%
Season away (9)	91.9	73.0	164.9	+18.9	89%
Last 10 (10)	92.5	72.3	164.8	+20.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	72.2	160.4	+16.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	81.0	87.0	168.0	-6.0	50%
vs Similar (3)	100.3	91.0	191.3	+9.3	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	91.0	78.4	169.5	+12.6	78%

This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Bendigo BravesBallarat

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	22.5	23.6	46.1	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	24.3	23.0	47.3	+1.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (7)	20.7	24.1	44.9	-3.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	23.4	46.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.8	43.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	15.5	23.0	38.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	24.4	25.4	49.8	-1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.1	22.4	45.6	+0.7	43%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	20.4	43.9	+3.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	19.7	43.6	+4.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.1	21.0	44.1	+2.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	17.3	41.5	+6.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.0	40.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	26.0	45.2	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	25.0	23.7	48.7	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	24.0	19.0	43.0	+5.0	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	22.2	19.4	41.6	+2.8	64%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	22.1	19.4	41.6	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (7)	22.3	19.4	41.7	+2.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	24.0	23.5	47.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.3	17.4	39.7	+4.9	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	20.2	43.1	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.8	18.5	41.3	+4.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.1	21.6	44.8	+1.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	18.7	42.4	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	20.2	44.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	24.0	43.8	-4.2	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.0	17.3	40.3	+5.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	23.5	19.9	43.4	+3.7	70%	-

Bendigo BravesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

42-42

H18/04

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

51-42

H27/04

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

42-40

H03/05

NBL 1

Geelong

50-44

H12/05

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

48-52

-4

H18/05

NBL 1

Nunawading

35-46

-11

A25/05

NBL 1

Dandenong

45-56

-11

A26/05

NBL 1

Southern Sabres

#18

54-38

+16

H01/06

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

38-35

A02/06

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

47-33

+14

A15/06

NBL 1

88.0Avg total

45.2Scored

42.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	44.7	43.0	87.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	46.4	42.4	88.9	+4.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (7)	43.0	43.6	86.6	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	42.8	88.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	41.6	85.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	39.5	46.5	86.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	45.8	46.0	91.8	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (7)	45.4	39.9	85.3	+5.6	71%	-

This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Knox

#13

46-23

+23

A27/04

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

66-35

+31

A04/05

NBL 1

Kilsyth

44-39

A11/05

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

48-40

A12/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

42-32

+10

H18/05

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

52-35

+17

H25/05

NBL 1

Southern Sabres

#18

57-34

+23

A26/05

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

45-35

+10

H01/06

NBL 1

Frankston

41-52

-11

A02/06

NBL 1

Geelong

38-35

A15/06

NBL 1

83.9Avg total

47.9Scored

36.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.4	40.6	87.0	+5.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.6	38.2	84.9	+8.4	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	46.2	42.6	88.9	+3.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.9	36.0	83.9	+11.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	38.2	84.8	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.0	50.0	89.0	-11.0	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	48.0	41.0	89.0	+7.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	47.5	38.9	86.4	+8.7	78%	-

This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	19.9	20.1	40.0	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	20.7	18.4	39.1	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (7)	19.1	21.7	40.9	-2.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	18.5	22.0	40.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.4	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	17.9	40.3	+4.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	17.5	40.1	+5.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.3	18.2	40.6	+4.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	17.0	39.3	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	14.2	35.6	+7.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.5	13.5	34.0	+7.0	75%	-
vs Similar (3)	26.0	20.7	46.7	+5.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.3	18.3	40.6	+4.0	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	19.9	19.4	39.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	22.0	17.9	39.9	+4.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (7)	17.9	20.9	38.7	-3.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	22.0	23.0	45.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.6	17.6	35.2	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.6	42.9	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	22.7	45.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	18.6	40.5	+3.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.5	23.5	45.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.3	23.7	47.0	-0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.1	48%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	39.9	39.4	79.3	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	42.7	36.3	79.0	+6.4	86%	-
Last 30 away (7)	37.0	42.6	79.6	-5.6	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	37.6	78.7	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	41.0	79.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	40.5	45.0	85.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.8	37.2	76.0	+1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (7)	40.4	39.4	79.9	+1.0	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	39.5	83.2	+4.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.1	40.2	85.4	+4.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.6	38.8	81.4	+3.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	35.6	79.8	+8.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	34.0	75.6	+7.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	42.0	37.0	79.0	+5.0	75%	-
vs Similar (3)	49.3	44.3	93.7	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	43.3	39.3	82.6	+4.1	65%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bendigo Braves wins

Ballarat wins

Date	Game	Score
06/04/19	Ballarat v Bendigo Braves	94-86

Bendigo Braveslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/06/19	A	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	93-83
02/06/19	A	Ringwood	68-74
01/06/19	H	Southern Sabres	100-73
26/05/19	A	Dandenong	76-94
25/05/19	A	Nunawading	74-89
18/05/19	H	Waverley	86-89
12/05/19	H	Geelong	96-80
03/05/19	H	Hobart Huskies	89-73
27/04/19	H	NW Tasmania	93-76
18/04/19	H	Frankston	88-73

Ballaratlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/06/19	A	Geelong	66-62
02/06/19	A	Frankston	80-87
01/06/19	H	Ringwood	101-79
26/05/19	A	Southern Sabres	100-66
25/05/19	H	NW Tasmania	94-67
18/05/19	H	BA CoE	77-80 OT
12/05/19	A	Eltham	104-80
11/05/19	A	Kilsyth	87-71
04/05/19	A	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	126-63
27/04/19	A	Knox	90-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bendigo Braves

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	50%
Home	WWWLW	71%
Away	LLLLW	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	50%	71%	29%
Points / game	84.6	89.1	80.0
Allowed / game	82.4	78.7	86.1
Point differential	+2.1	+10.4	-6.1
Avg total	167.0	167.9	166.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	71%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ballarat

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	85%
Home	WLWW	75%
Away	WWWLW	89%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	4	9
Win %	85%	75%	89%
Points / game	91.8	91.5	91.9
Allowed / game	74.5	78.0	73.0
Point differential	+17.2	+13.5	+18.9
Avg total	166.3	169.5	164.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	54%	50%	56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	8%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ballarat	13	11	2	85%	91.8	74.5	+17.2
2	Nunawading	13	10	3	77%	90.8	80.8	+10.0
3	Melbourne Tigers	14	9	5	64%	86.7	82.6	+4.1
4	Geelong	16	10	6	62%	81.4	78.7	+2.8
5	Kilsyth	13	8	5	62%	88.2	82.9	+5.2
6	Frankston	15	9	6	60%	90.4	88.1	+2.3
7	Waverley	12	7	5	58%	87.4	89.3	-1.9
8	Bendigo Braves	14	7	7	50%	84.6	82.4	+2.1
9	Dandenong	15	7	8	47%	89.5	87.4	+2.1
10	BA CoE	16	7	9	44%	81.3	84.5	-3.2
11	NW Tasmania	14	6	8	43%	85.5	87.7	-2.2
12	Diamond Valley	14	6	8	43%	84.7	87.4	-2.7
13	Hobart Huskies	14	6	8	43%	86.1	89.9	-3.8
14	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	14	6	8	43%	91.1	95.3	-4.2
15	Knox	14	5	9	36%	79.9	82.9	-3.0
16	Eltham	14	5	9	36%	85.1	89.2	-4.1
17	Ringwood	13	4	9	31%	88.6	93.7	-5.1
18	Southern Sabres	14	3	11	21%	87.4	101.6	-14.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bendigo Braves	25	25	19	15	84
Ballarat	28	21	21	18	88

← all games of the day

Bendigo Braves vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature