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Melbourne Tigers vs Bendigo Braves Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jul 2019
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 76-86
21-15 23-22 17-29 15-20
Position#6
Record12-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#5
Record11-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game82.6
AustraliaNBL 1
Other2019
Meetings · Melbourne Tigers v Bendigo Braves
29 Jun 2025
MELB85
BEND66
28 Jun 2024
MELB73
BEND91
28 Jul 2019
MELB76
BEND86
31 Mar 2019
MELB69
BEND73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bendigo Braves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#13
W
98-85
98
85
+13
H26/05
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
W
104-91
104
91
+13
H02/06
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
L
80-81
80
81
-1
A16/06
NBL 1
BA CoE
#15
W
96-61
96
61
+35
H22/06
NBL 1
NW Tasmania
#14
L
82-90 OT
82
90
-8
A28/06
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
L
81-102
81
102
-21
A29/06
NBL 1
Frankston
#3
L
98-99
98
99
-1
A06/07
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
W
94-93
94
93
+1
H14/07
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A20/07
NBL 1
Eltham
#17
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H21/07
NBL 1
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
27-19
26-25
19-17
28-30
23-19
27-20
26-22
17-20
23-22
23-20
17-19
25-11
17-18
29-15
25-17
19-12
18-21
15-19
23-23
16-26
16-22
19-26
30-28
20-24
26-28
25-29
27-18
31-14
14-24
27-26
22-29
27-14
25-24
16-17
18-23
25-16
17-16
16-13
24-25
175.1Avg total
90.1Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.884.5171.3+2.460%
Season at home (11)91.680.5172.1+11.291%
Season away (9)81.089.3170.3-8.322%
Last 10 (10)90.185.0175.1+5.160%
Last 5 (5)88.288.4176.6-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.587.4165.8-8.936%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.785.7167.5-4.045%
vs Weaker (8)94.481.5175.9+12.988%
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo BravesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#8
L
76-94
76
94
-18
A26/05
NBL 1
Southern Sabres
#18
W
100-73
100
73
+27
H01/06
NBL 1
Ringwood
#16
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A02/06
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A15/06
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H22/06
NBL 1
Eltham
#17
W
92-88
92
88
+4
A29/06
NBL 1
Diamond Valley
#11
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H06/07
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
L
82-93
82
93
-11
H12/07
NBL 1
Knox
#13
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A13/07
NBL 1
Geelong
#4
W
84-67
84
67
+17
A20/07
NBL 1
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-35
29-21
17-20
14-18
34-17
20-21
21-16
25-19
21-19
17-16
17-16
13-23
23-22
24-11
25-24
21-26
25-28
25-21
19-21
15-18
17-24
16-23
33-23
26-18
22-17
21-30
22-18
21-19
22-20
19-24
19-28
22-21
15-15
19-17
22-23
24-23
22-20
20-15
19-14
23-18
166.7Avg total
84.5Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)84.682.6167.2+2.055%
Season at home (10)87.681.6169.2+6.060%
Season away (10)81.683.6165.2-2.050%
Last 10 (10)84.582.2166.7+2.360%
Last 5 (5)84.882.0166.8+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.390.3171.7-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.580.5165.0+4.067%
vs Weaker (11)85.581.6167.2+3.964%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
Melbourne TigersBendigo Braves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#13
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H26/05
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H02/06
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A16/06
NBL 1
BA CoE
#15
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H22/06
NBL 1
NW Tasmania
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A28/06
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A29/06
NBL 1
Frankston
#3
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A06/07
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H14/07
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A20/07
NBL 1
Eltham
#17
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H21/07
NBL 1
84.4Avg total
44.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.742.082.7-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.240.282.5+2.059%-
Last 30 away (13)38.844.383.1-5.523%-
Last 10 (10)44.040.484.4+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.685.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.142.180.2-4.018%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.844.182.9-5.327%-
vs Weaker (8)47.039.086.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo BravesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#8
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A26/05
NBL 1
Southern Sabres
#18
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H01/06
NBL 1
Ringwood
#16
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/06
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A15/06
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H22/06
NBL 1
Eltham
#17
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A29/06
NBL 1
Diamond Valley
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H06/07
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H12/07
NBL 1
Knox
#13
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A13/07
NBL 1
Geelong
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A20/07
NBL 1
84.3Avg total
42.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)43.542.886.2+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (10)45.943.789.6+2.250%-
Last 30 away (10)41.041.982.9-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.684.3+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.079.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.047.390.3-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.244.289.3+1.050%-
vs Weaker (11)42.640.883.5+1.855%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Melbourne Tigers wins
1
Bendigo Braves wins
DateGameScore
31/03/19Melbourne Tigers v Bendigo Braves69-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/07/19HEltham82-70
20/07/19ABallarat86-78
14/07/19HHobart Huskies94-93
06/07/19AFrankston98-99
29/06/19AHobart Huskies81-102
28/06/19ANW Tasmania82-90 OT
22/06/19HBA CoE96-61
16/06/19ANunawading80-81
02/06/19HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits104-91
26/05/19HKnox98-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/07/19AGeelong84-67
13/07/19AKnox80-78
12/07/19HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits82-93
06/07/19HDiamond Valley86-84
29/06/19AEltham92-88
22/06/19HBallarat84-88
15/06/19AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits93-83
02/06/19ARingwood68-74
01/06/19HSouthern Sabres100-73
26/05/19ADandenong76-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers
NBL 1 2019
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %60%91%22%
Points / game86.891.681.0
Allowed / game84.580.589.3
Point differential+2.4+11.2-8.3
Avg total171.3172.1170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%64%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %10%9%11%
Bendigo Braves
NBL 1 2019
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW55%
HomeLWLWL60%
AwayLWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game84.687.681.6
Allowed / game82.681.683.6
Point differential+2.0+6.0-2.0
Avg total167.2169.2165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)33% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ballarat2117481%89.775.7+14.0
2 Frankston2115671%94.888.3+6.5
3 Nunawading2114767%93.085.6+7.3
4 Geelong2113862%81.079.7+1.3
5 Melbourne Tigers2012860%86.884.5+2.4
6 Kilsyth2112957%84.983.9+1.0
7 Bendigo Braves2011955%84.682.6+2.0
8 Dandenong21111052%91.087.9+3.2
9 Hobart Huskies20101050%87.288.3-1.1
10 Waverley20101050%88.390.1-1.8
11 Diamond Valley2091145%86.488.2-1.8
12 Albury-Wodonga Bandits2081240%92.895.7-2.9
13 Knox2081240%81.184.2-3.0
14 NW Tasmania2081240%84.988.0-3.0
15 BA CoE2081240%83.086.8-3.8
16 Ringwood2061430%90.495.3-5.0
17 Eltham2061430%85.590.5-5.0
18 Southern Sabres2051525%87.098.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne Tigers2123171576
Bendigo Braves1522292086
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