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Kilsyth vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 77-44
14-11 23-11 21-10 19-12
Position#16
Record3-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game89.3
Kilsyth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#13
Record7-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game82.0
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Kilsyth v Melbourne Tigers
02 Aug 2025
KILS83
MELB84
22 Jun 2024
KILS77
MELB44
25 Jun 2022
KILS82
MELB78
28 Apr 2019
KILS92
MELB72
22 Jul 2017
KILS84
MELB67
23 Apr 2016
KILS73
MELB63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilsyth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KilsythAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#8
L
74-94
74
94
-20
H27/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A04/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H05/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
87-69
87
69
+18
A11/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
68-80
68
80
-12
H12/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A18/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H19/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A25/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
84-99
84
99
-15
A01/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
81-90
81
90
-9
H15/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
29-17
14-27
17-26
27-27
16-24
16-22
31-27
28-14
17-17
20-23
18-15
26-20
24-12
18-12
19-25
16-22
19-20
19-17
14-21
23-17
22-24
23-25
14-21
17-13
21-22
20-20
22-26
23-12
22-19
7-25
13-20
15-22
21-31
20-23
28-23
18-23
24-27
22-21
17-19
163.9Avg total
79.4Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.889.3168.1-10.520%
Season at home (8)81.289.5170.8-8.225%
Season away (7)76.089.1165.1-13.114%
Last 10 (10)79.484.5163.9-5.120%
Last 5 (5)78.486.6165.0-8.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)80.690.4171.1-9.824%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.286.1169.3-2.933%
vs Weaker (4)79.886.2166.0-6.525%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#2
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H27/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A04/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
63-81
63
81
-18
A10/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A11/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H18/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A25/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
69-82
69
82
-13
H01/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H06/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A15/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H16/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
24-13
17-24
24-22
22-20
19-15
15-25
15-25
15-17
18-20
22-25
8-19
28-19
21-17
16-10
19-28
14-24
22-20
20-23
24-11
14-20
25-18
26-15
19-25
24-15
12-22
14-25
19-20
21-28
20-16
19-22
24-13
20-19
21-18
19-18
6-17
17-31
22-20
23-20
15-15
156.3Avg total
76.7Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.282.0159.2-4.844%
Season at home (9)76.083.3159.3-7.333%
Season away (7)78.780.3159.0-1.657%
Last 10 (10)76.779.6156.3-2.950%
Last 5 (5)76.079.4155.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)77.887.2164.9-9.435%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.382.2164.5+0.140%
vs Weaker (3)85.780.0165.7+5.7100%
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -2.2-2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -2.2-2.2
KilsythMelbourne Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H27/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A04/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H05/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A11/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H12/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A18/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H19/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A25/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A01/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H15/06
NBL1 South
82.9Avg total
42.2Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.645.288.8-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.143.486.5-0.438%-
Last 30 away (14)44.147.291.4-3.143%-
Last 10 (10)42.240.782.9+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.083.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)42.246.288.4-3.935%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.044.988.9-0.944%-
vs Weaker (4)48.241.890.0+6.550%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#2
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H27/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A04/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A10/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A11/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H18/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A25/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H01/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H06/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A15/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H16/06
NBL1 South
79.7Avg total
40.3Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.883.2-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.843.983.7-4.124%-
Last 30 away (13)41.341.382.6+0.062%-
Last 10 (10)40.339.479.7+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.480.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.744.583.2-5.829%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.141.285.3+2.960%-
vs Weaker (3)38.338.076.3+0.333%-
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Kilsyth wins
0
Melbourne Tigers wins
Kilsythlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/24HMt Gambier81-90
01/06/24AKnox84-99
25/05/24AKeilor Thunder65-76
19/05/24HNW Tasmania80-81
18/05/24AWaverley82-87
12/05/24HBallarat68-80
11/05/24ACasey Cavaliers87-69
05/05/24HGeelong83-69
04/05/24ADandenong90-100
27/04/24HNunawading74-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/06/24HFrankston77-86
15/06/24AGeelong66-72
06/06/24HCasey Cavaliers84-79
01/06/24HKeilor Thunder69-82
25/05/24ANunawading84-78
18/05/24HBallarat80-78
11/05/24ANW Tasmania84-74
10/05/24AHobart Chargers63-81
04/05/24ASandringham Sabres71-85
27/04/24HEltham89-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kilsyth
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %20%25%14%
Points / game78.881.276.0
Allowed / game89.389.589.1
Point differential-10.5-8.2-13.1
Avg total168.1170.8165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeWWLWL33%
AwayLLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %44%33%57%
Points / game77.276.078.7
Allowed / game82.083.380.3
Point differential-4.8-7.3-1.6
Avg total159.2159.3159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier1713476%88.980.4+8.6
2 Sandringham Sabres1612475%93.779.9+13.8
3 Ballarat1511473%92.584.4+8.1
4 Dandenong1611569%86.982.6+4.3
5 Keilor Thunder1711665%89.290.5-1.3
6 Waverley1610662%93.687.9+5.8
7 Knox169756%94.584.1+10.4
8 Eltham158753%89.182.3+6.9
9 Frankston158753%91.385.6+5.7
10 Nunawading158753%87.385.1+2.1
11 Hobart Chargers179853%80.681.7-1.1
12 Melbourne Tigers167944%77.282.0-4.8
13 Geelong167944%79.585.2-5.8
14 NW Tasmania156940%82.190.7-8.5
15 Ringwood1761135%84.788.8-4.1
16 Bendigo Braves1761135%79.487.7-8.4
17 Diamond Valley1541127%86.095.7-9.7
18 Kilsyth1531220%78.889.3-10.5
19 Casey Cavaliers1621412%78.189.6-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kilsyth1423211977
Melbourne Tigers1111101244
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