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Kilsyth vs Mt Gambier Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 99-100
25-29 17-21 32-33 25-17
Position#7
Record8-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Position#2
Record9-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game83.2
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Kilsyth v Mt Gambier
14 Jun 2025
KILS99
MT G100
15 Jun 2024
KILS81
MT G90
03 Jul 2021
KILS77
MT G87
05 Aug 2017
KILS73
MT G92
13 Jun 2015
KILS75
MT G89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilsyth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mt Gambier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KilsythAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#18
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A12/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H17/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
90-89
90
89
+1
A26/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
61-82
61
82
-21
H03/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
104-75
104
75
+29
H10/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
104-88
104
88
+16
A17/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
94-78
94
78
+16
A24/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
73-107
73
107
-34
H25/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
82-95
82
95
-13
H31/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
97-81
97
81
+16
H06/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
22-16
21-21
22-21
23-18
20-21
21-23
22-18
27-19
23-23
21-29
19-18
16-28
8-25
16-16
21-13
34-15
23-24
26-19
21-17
26-22
27-19
22-23
29-24
20-25
28-18
26-17
20-18
17-25
20-24
16-27
20-31
22-15
16-28
23-26
21-26
19-19
27-19
30-21
21-22
173.5Avg total
87.5Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.784.9170.6+0.957%
Season at home (7)82.183.9166.0-1.757%
Season away (7)89.385.9175.1+3.457%
Last 10 (10)87.586.0173.5+1.560%
Last 5 (5)90.089.8179.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.188.5166.6-10.515%
vs Similar (13)81.277.4158.6+3.869%
vs Weaker (4)94.883.0177.8+11.875%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
89-64
89
64
+25
H11/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H12/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
105-73
105
73
+32
H25/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
88-118
88
118
-30
A03/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
100-115
100
115
-15
A04/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
93-91
93
91
+2
A10/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H18/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
116-69
116
69
+47
A24/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
100-70
100
70
+30
A25/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
96-98
96
98
-2
H30/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-11
26-25
21-19
25-9
25-20
26-19
21-21
17-20
17-16
30-16
27-23
31-18
20-34
30-27
9-26
29-31
25-34
27-27
26-25
22-29
23-23
28-22
30-21
12-25
37-25
16-31
17-18
24-14
42-11
31-18
20-19
23-21
27-19
31-12
19-24
23-15
35-24
16-27
27-20
18-27
183.6Avg total
97.0Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)96.883.2179.9+13.669%
Season at home (6)92.280.7172.8+11.567%
Season away (7)100.785.3186.0+15.471%
Last 10 (10)97.086.6183.6+10.470%
Last 5 (5)99.883.2183.0+16.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)84.283.8168.0+0.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)94.080.1174.1+14.076%
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
KilsythMt Gambier
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#18
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A12/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H17/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A26/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
24-53
24
53
-29
H03/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H10/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A17/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A24/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H25/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H31/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H06/06
NBL1 South
86.7Avg total
43.7Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.283.2+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.340.079.3-0.757%-
Last 30 away (16)44.342.286.6+2.156%-
Last 10 (10)43.743.086.7+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.887.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.543.583.9-3.031%-
vs Similar (13)41.938.980.8+3.077%-
vs Weaker (4)47.041.288.2+5.875%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H11/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H12/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H25/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A03/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A04/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A10/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H18/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
73-29
73
29
+44
A24/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
58-31
58
31
+27
A25/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H30/05
NBL1 South
97.0Avg total
52.9Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.640.088.6+8.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.341.686.9+3.747%-
Last 30 away (15)51.938.390.3+13.687%-
Last 10 (10)52.944.197.0+8.860%-
Last 5 (5)57.242.499.6+14.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)40.638.679.2+2.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)50.240.290.5+10.072%-
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kilsyth wins
10
Mt Gambier wins
DateGameScore
15/06/24Kilsyth v Mt Gambier81-90
02/06/23Mt Gambier v Kilsyth102-80
19/08/22Mt Gambier v Kilsyth94-84
18/06/22Mt Gambier v Kilsyth97-79
03/07/21Kilsyth v Mt Gambier77-87
05/08/17Kilsyth v Mt Gambier73-92
26/05/17Mt Gambier v Kilsyth82-66
29/04/16Mt Gambier v Kilsyth83-58
13/06/15Kilsyth v Mt Gambier75-89
22/05/15Mt Gambier v Kilsyth85-61
Kilsythlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/06/25HBendigo Braves97-81
31/05/25HKnox82-95
25/05/25HFrankston73-107
24/05/25AKeilor Thunder94-78
17/05/25ADiamond Valley104-88
10/05/25HEltham104-75
03/05/25HCasey Cavaliers61-82
26/04/25ASandringham Sabres90-89
17/04/25HRingwood86-80
12/04/25ANW Tasmania84-85
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/05/25HDandenong96-98
25/05/25ABendigo Braves100-70
24/05/25ABallarat116-69
18/05/25HGeelong94-88
10/05/25ACasey Cavaliers93-91
04/05/25AFrankston100-115
03/05/25ARingwood88-118
25/04/25HWaverley105-73
12/04/25HEltham89-80
11/04/25HSandringham Sabres89-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kilsyth
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW57%
HomeLWLLW57%
AwayLLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%57%57%
Points / game85.782.189.3
Allowed / game84.983.985.9
Point differential+0.9-1.7+3.4
Avg total170.6166.0175.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%67%71%
Points / game96.892.2100.7
Allowed / game83.280.785.3
Point differential+13.6+11.5+15.4
Avg total179.9172.8186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%33%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1312192%92.877.9+14.9
2 Mt Gambier139469%96.883.2+13.6
3 Frankston138562%91.885.5+6.3
4 Casey Cavaliers138562%88.283.4+4.8
5 Melbourne Tigers127558%87.279.2+8.1
6 Hobart Chargers127558%85.681.7+3.9
7 Eltham127558%86.085.4+0.6
8 Ballarat127558%88.295.0-6.8
9 Kilsyth148657%85.784.9+0.9
10 Nunawading137654%86.187.8-1.7
11 Bendigo Braves157847%87.394.7-7.5
12 Waverley146843%91.195.2-4.1
13 Geelong125742%81.686.1-4.5
14 Sandringham Sabres125742%87.491.9-4.5
15 Ringwood135838%94.290.5+3.7
16 Diamond Valley134931%85.793.1-7.4
17 Keilor Thunder134931%81.091.3-10.3
18 NW Tasmania123925%85.987.6-1.7
19 Dandenong1331023%87.494.8-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kilsyth2517322599
Mt Gambier29213317100
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