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KK Zagreb vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 81-65
17-24 22-17 29-9 13-15
Position#3
Record16-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#6
Record15-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game74.6
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 26· SSD Bosko Bozic Pepsi
Other2023-24
Meetings · KK Zagreb v Kastela
20 Dec 2025
KK Z70
KAST65
15 Jan 2025
KK Z71
KAST69
06 Apr 2024
KK Z81
KAST65
25 Mar 2023
KK Z61
KAST73
12 Mar 2023
KK Z73
KAST77
19 Dec 2021
KK Z76
KAST83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KK Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
L
74-81
74
81
-7
72avg 74
A27/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
69-85
69
85
-16
60avg 74
H04/02
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
84-69
84
69
+15
80avg 74
A11/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
70-60
70
60
+10
54avg 74
H18/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
67avg 74
A25/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
70-68
70
68
+2
58avg 74
A02/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
64-74
64
74
-10
50avg 74
H09/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
no box
A16/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
82-69
82
69
+13
74avg 74
H24/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
88-60
88
60
+28
92avg 74
A27/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
16-23
15-26
16-15
25-19
14-20
12-24
18-22
17-23
17-10
29-18
21-18
10-22
18-17
20-11
22-10
17-29
9-15
21-13
27-12
13-22
17-13
17-21
23-12
17-21
15-17
12-19
20-17
26-22
12-13
17-20
20-20
20-20
22-18
19-13
21-18
24-18
27-22
19-13
18-7
147.9Avg total
75.6Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.672.0151.6+7.664%
Season at home (12)78.871.2150.1+7.667%
Season away (13)80.372.8153.1+7.562%
Last 10 (10)75.672.3147.9+3.360%
Last 5 (5)77.071.8148.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.880.0149.8-10.217%
vs Similar ◀ (6)76.276.3152.5-0.233%
vs Weaker (18)81.669.7151.3+11.983%
This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
L
60-65
60
65
-5
51avg 75
A28/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
98-71
98
71
+27
93avg 75
A04/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
84-66
84
66
+18
81avg 75
H10/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
71-72
71
72
-1
60avg 75
H17/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
82avg 75
A28/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
61-67
61
67
-6
52avg 75
H03/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
83-79 OT
83
79
+4
no box
A09/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
70-84
70
84
-14
61avg 75
H16/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
84-72
84
72
+12
76avg 75
A23/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
85-79
85
79
+6
88avg 75
H27/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
14-15
16-22
14-12
24-24
27-19
26-15
21-13
32-16
14-10
13-22
25-18
17-24
16-16
20-20
18-12
24-16
12-24
19-20
26-20
18-15
13-17
13-21
17-14
26-18
18-21
18-22
11-12
15-30
17-15
20-21
18-18
29-17
18-16
19-17
18-22
28-19
16-19
17-24
24-17
151.2Avg total
77.7Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.874.6154.4+5.260%
Season at home (13)77.574.8152.4+2.754%
Season away (12)82.274.3156.6+7.967%
Last 10 (10)77.773.5151.2+4.260%
Last 5 (5)76.676.2152.8+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.379.7147.0-12.30%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.176.1152.2+0.033%
vs Weaker (15)84.673.7158.3+10.993%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +3.4+3.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +3.4+3.4
KK ZagrebKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A27/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H04/02
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A11/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H18/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A25/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A02/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H09/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A16/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H24/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A27/03
Prva Liga
74.4Avg total
36.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.536.776.2+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.537.276.7+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)39.536.275.7+3.360%-
Last 10 (10)36.338.174.4-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.275.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.738.274.8-1.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.737.776.3+1.050%-
vs Weaker (18)40.735.976.6+4.872%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A28/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A04/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H10/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H17/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A28/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H03/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A09/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H16/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A23/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H27/03
Prva Liga
76.1Avg total
39.4Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.737.678.4+3.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.338.077.3+1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)42.237.379.5+4.947%-
Last 10 (10)39.436.776.1+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.477.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.841.274.0-8.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.136.075.1+3.133%-
vs Weaker (15)44.937.282.1+7.773%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.2
52.9%
52.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.7
32.1%
32.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.712.5
70.6%
71.2%12.5
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.3
49.5%
52.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.3
35.4%
32.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws12.99.5
73.6%
71.2%9.5
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KK Zagreb
WWLLWWWWLL
Kastela
WWLWLWLWWL
#3
League position
#6
+10.8
Net rating
+8.5
102.4
Offensive rating
103.9
91.6
Defensive rating
95.4
50.9%
Effective FG%
50.9%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
17.9%
Turnover %
16.6%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.19
32.1%
3-point %
35.4%
62.4%
Assist %
67.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 103.9Defence91.6 · 95.4Shooting50.9% · 50.9%3-point %32.1% · 35.4%Ball care17.9% · 16.6%Off. rebounds24.6% · 27.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ KK Zagreb   ■ Kastela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
KK Zagreb wins
7
Kastela wins
DateGameScore
13/01/24Kastela v KK Zagreb71-66
26/04/23Kastela v KK Zagreb91-68
25/03/23KK Zagreb v Kastela61-73
12/03/23KK Zagreb v Kastela73-77
10/12/22Kastela v KK Zagreb67-54
19/12/21KK Zagreb v Kastela76-83
02/10/21Kastela v KK Zagreb66-55
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24AMladost88-60
24/03/24HHermes82-69
16/03/24AOsijek81-88 OT
09/03/24HCrikvenica64-74
02/03/24AJazine70-68
25/02/24ASamobor74-69
18/02/24HMarsonia70-60
11/02/24APodstrana84-69
04/02/24HKvarner69-85
27/01/24AOmis74-81
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24HMarsonia85-79
23/03/24APodstrana84-72
16/03/24HKvarner70-84
09/03/24AOmis83-79 OT
03/03/24HGorica61-67
28/02/24AStoja81-80
17/02/24HSamobor71-72
10/02/24HMladost84-66
04/02/24AHermes98-71
28/01/24AOsijek60-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW64%
HomeLLWLW67%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %64%67%62%
Points / game79.678.880.3
Allowed / game72.071.272.8
Point differential+7.6+7.6+7.5
Avg total151.6150.1153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%42%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %12%17%8%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWLLLW54%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %60%54%67%
Points / game79.877.582.2
Allowed / game74.674.874.3
Point differential+5.2+2.7+7.9
Avg total154.4152.4156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%23%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner2523292%90.172.7+17.4
2 Osijek2522388%88.174.9+13.2
3 Gorica2517868%80.874.8+6.0
4 Samobor2517868%85.683.2+2.4
5 KK Zagreb2516964%79.672.0+7.6
6 Kastela25151060%79.874.6+5.2
7 Jazine26131350%86.985.5+1.4
8 Hermes25111444%89.690.2-0.6
9 Omis25101540%77.581.6-4.2
10 Marsonia25101540%80.985.8-4.9
11 Mladost2681831%78.284.8-6.6
12 Crikvenica2561924%73.284.7-11.6
13 Stoja2542116%79.290.1-10.9
14 Podstrana2542116%71.485.6-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KK Zagreb1722291381
Kastela241791565
← all games of the day
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