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KK Zagreb vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 71-69
27-17 13-22 16-16 15-14
Position#8
Record6-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#3
Record8-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game70.5
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 11· SSD Bosko Bozic Pepsi
Other2024-25
Meetings · KK Zagreb v Kastela
20 Dec 2025
KK Z70
KAST65
15 Jan 2025
KK Z71
KAST69
06 Apr 2024
KK Z81
KAST65
25 Mar 2023
KK Z61
KAST73
12 Mar 2023
KK Z73
KAST77
19 Dec 2021
KK Z76
KAST83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KK Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
L
40-62
40
62
-22
30avg 71
A19/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
84avg 71
H27/10
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
82-73
82
73
+9
85avg 71
A04/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
86avg 71
H09/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
75-91
75
91
-16
69avg 71
A16/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
83-64
83
64
+19
81avg 71
H27/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
76-77
76
77
-1
73avg 71
A01/12
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
93-73
93
73
+20
90avg 71
H07/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
79-75
79
75
+4
75avg 71
A15/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
79-66
79
66
+13
70avg 71
H12/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-21
14-14
7-11
9-16
27-19
23-25
21-29
16-19
21-12
22-28
19-11
20-22
20-20
11-20
23-21
23-16
19-25
16-16
15-37
25-13
23-9
16-21
23-14
21-20
17-11
20-20
18-33
21-13
22-17
21-15
30-19
20-22
18-11
21-18
21-24
19-22
18-20
21-14
21-20
19-12
156.6Avg total
79.1Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.974.8151.7+2.155%
Season at home (6)82.374.2156.5+8.267%
Season away (5)70.475.6146.0-5.240%
Last 10 (10)79.177.5156.6+1.650%
Last 5 (5)82.071.0153.0+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)78.583.0161.5-4.525%
vs Similar (10)72.573.7146.2-1.230%
vs Weaker (16)81.572.1153.6+9.481%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
L
76-82
76
82
-6
68avg 79
A27/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
75-65
75
65
+10
76avg 79
H02/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
88-64
88
64
+24
88avg 79
A10/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
83-63
83
63
+20
91avg 79
H16/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
99-80
99
80
+19
102avg 79
A23/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
90avg 79
H27/11
Croatian Cup
Samobor
#1
W
102-72
102
72
+30
104avg 79
H01/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
127-64
127
64
+63
121avg 79
H07/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
105-69
105
69
+36
114avg 79
H14/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
71avg 79
H11/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
5-17
26-23
26-18
19-24
18-17
18-20
20-15
19-13
18-11
21-9
24-23
25-21
18-8
17-18
20-17
28-20
28-30
20-9
31-21
20-20
26-21
20-17
20-18
22-17
20-20
23-21
26-18
33-13
38-19
29-12
29-11
31-22
28-14
21-17
32-15
24-23
23-21
14-17
21-19
20-23
163.3Avg total
92.1Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)87.870.5158.3+17.473%
Season at home (7)91.168.1159.3+23.086%
Season away (4)82.074.5156.5+7.550%
Last 10 (10)92.171.2163.3+20.980%
Last 5 (5)100.071.6171.6+28.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.074.0137.0-11.00%
vs Similar (7)73.072.9145.9+0.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.271.5158.7+15.689%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +7.4+7.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +4.5+4.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +7.4+7.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +4.5+4.5
KK ZagrebKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A19/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H27/10
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A04/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H09/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A16/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H27/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A01/12
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H07/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A15/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H12/01
Prva Liga
73.6Avg total
38.0Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.036.174.1+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.136.473.5+0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)38.935.774.7+3.267%-
Last 10 (10)38.035.673.6+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.431.270.6+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)40.838.579.2+2.250%-
vs Similar (10)33.735.369.0-1.640%-
vs Weaker (16)40.035.975.9+4.175%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A27/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H02/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
39-20
39
20
+19
A10/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H16/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A23/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H27/11
Croatian Cup
Samobor
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H01/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
67-31
67
31
+36
H07/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H14/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H11/01
Prva Liga
77.2Avg total
43.1Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.135.275.4+4.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.034.874.8+5.253%-
Last 30 away (13)40.335.876.2+4.562%-
Last 10 (10)43.134.177.2+9.070%-
Last 5 (5)48.435.884.2+12.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.339.771.0-8.30%-
vs Similar (7)34.337.171.4-2.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.433.777.1+9.768%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.9
55.9%
52.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.9
29.3%
33.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.412.6
61.8%
70.4%12.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 91.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.5
58.9%
52.0%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.511.2
43.9%
33.7%33.6
🏀 Free throws16.513.2
80.0%
70.4%13.2
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KK Zagreb
WWWLWLLWLL
Kastela
LWWWWWWWWL
#8
League position
#3
+0.8
Net rating
+28.1
103.1
Offensive rating
120.5
102.3
Defensive rating
92.4
50.9%
Effective FG%
61.7%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
20.2%
Turnover %
18.1%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.3%
3-point %
43.9%
60.1%
Assist %
65.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 120.5Defence102.3 · 92.4Shooting50.9% · 61.7%3-point %29.3% · 43.9%Ball care20.2% · 18.1%Off. rebounds34.0% · 27.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ KK Zagreb   ■ Kastela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
KK Zagreb wins
7
Kastela wins
DateGameScore
06/04/24KK Zagreb v Kastela81-65
13/01/24Kastela v KK Zagreb71-66
26/04/23Kastela v KK Zagreb91-68
25/03/23KK Zagreb v Kastela61-73
12/03/23KK Zagreb v Kastela73-77
10/12/22Kastela v KK Zagreb67-54
19/12/21KK Zagreb v Kastela76-83
02/10/21Kastela v KK Zagreb66-55
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HMladost79-66
15/12/24AHermes79-75
07/12/24HDakovo93-73
01/12/24AMarsonia76-77
27/11/24HJazine83-64
16/11/24ASkrljevo75-91
09/11/24HGorica97-102 OT
04/11/24ABosco82-73
27/10/24HSamobor87-92
19/10/24AOmis40-62
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HGorica78-80
14/12/24HBosco105-69
07/12/24HHermes127-64
01/12/24HSamobor102-72
27/11/24HOsijek88-73
23/11/24ADakovo99-80
16/11/24HOmis83-63
10/11/24AMarsonia88-64
02/11/24HSonik Puntamika75-65
27/10/24AJazine76-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW55%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game76.982.370.4
Allowed / game74.874.275.6
Point differential+2.1+8.2-5.2
Avg total151.7156.5146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %73%86%50%
Points / game87.891.182.0
Allowed / game70.568.174.5
Point differential+17.4+23.0+7.5
Avg total158.3159.3156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor1110191%87.779.9+7.8
2 Skrljevo119282%90.976.1+14.8
3 Mladost129375%82.276.8+5.4
4 Kastela118373%87.870.5+17.4
5 Jazine118373%95.384.5+10.7
6 Marsonia117464%84.577.6+6.8
7 Gorica127558%77.280.7-3.4
8 KK Zagreb116555%76.974.8+2.1
9 Omis114736%74.175.5-1.5
10 Sonik Puntamika113827%71.173.0-1.9
11 Dakovo123925%77.386.4-9.1
12 Crikvenica123925%67.380.1-12.8
13 Hermes1221017%77.293.6-16.4
14 Bosco121118%72.888.2-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KK Zagreb2713161571
Kastela1722161469
← all games of the day
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