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KK Zagreb vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 70-65
20-10 12-23 20-17 18-15
Position#7
Record7-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#2
Record8-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game68.7
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 11· SSD Bosko Bozic Pepsi
Other2025-26
Meetings · KK Zagreb v Kastela
20 Dec 2025
KK Z70
KAST65
15 Jan 2025
KK Z71
KAST69
06 Apr 2024
KK Z81
KAST65
25 Mar 2023
KK Z61
KAST73
12 Mar 2023
KK Z73
KAST77
19 Dec 2021
KK Z76
KAST83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KK Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Jazine
#6
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 74
H12/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
68-67
68
67
+1
64avg 74
A18/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
72-67 OT
72
67
+5
65avg 74
H25/10
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
65avg 74
A31/10
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
61-54
61
54
+7
58avg 74
H08/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
L
61-88
61
88
-27
43avg 74
A15/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
66-58
66
58
+8
63avg 74
H22/11
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
97-93
97
93
+4
96avg 74
A30/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
106-92
106
92
+14
110avg 74
A07/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
85-66
85
66
+19
80avg 74
A13/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
19-20
21-26
18-17
18-20
15-17
13-15
22-15
17-15
12-10
16-13
17-24
18-20
24-18
12-28
16-23
16-12
20-17
10-14
15-11
13-14
13-33
27-16
8-25
22-17
13-17
8-18
23-6
28-26
17-18
27-21
25-28
25-23
29-26
26-23
26-20
24-11
24-23
15-16
22-16
153.0Avg total
76.8Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.876.2153.0+0.670%
Season at home (4)70.266.8137.0+3.575%
Season away (6)81.282.5163.7-1.367%
Last 10 (10)76.876.2153.0+0.670%
Last 5 (5)83.079.4162.4+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)78.082.0160.0-4.040%
vs Similar (10)75.971.9147.8+4.060%
vs Weaker (10)85.077.9162.9+7.180%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Gorica
#5
W
89-79
89
79
+10
90avg 80
A11/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
77-72
77
72
+5
77avg 80
H18/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
75-45
75
45
+30
75avg 80
A26/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
96-65
96
65
+31
98avg 80
H02/11
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
95-70
95
70
+25
92avg 80
A09/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
73-65
73
65
+8
58avg 80
H15/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
111-61
111
61
+50
116avg 80
A22/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
61avg 80
H29/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
92-72
92
72
+20
86avg 80
A06/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
69-78
69
78
-9
55avg 80
H13/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
12-16
30-19
24-20
27-19
19-20
14-21
17-12
14-19
13-9
27-7
21-10
26-17
28-16
24-17
18-15
26-18
22-17
17-19
30-16
18-19
23-15
8-16
24-15
26-12
27-12
26-8
32-29
19-22
28-20
15-16
11-22
21-16
26-20
26-20
19-16
17-22
17-17
22-20
13-19
153.7Avg total
85.0Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.068.7153.7+16.380%
Season at home (5)77.672.0149.6+5.660%
Season away (5)92.465.4157.8+27.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.068.7153.7+16.380%
Last 5 (5)83.671.2154.8+12.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.077.0126.0-28.00%
vs Similar (3)78.080.7158.7-2.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.073.6158.6+11.369%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.5+3.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.5+3.5
KK ZagrebKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H12/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A18/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H25/10
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A31/10
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H08/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A15/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H22/11
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A30/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A07/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A13/12
Prva Liga
77.3Avg total
39.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.777.6+2.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.735.877.5+5.986%-
Last 30 away (16)38.339.477.7-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.138.277.3+0.970%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.683.2+0.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.240.878.0-3.640%-
vs Similar (10)38.334.873.1+3.570%-
vs Weaker (10)44.237.581.7+6.790%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorica
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A11/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H18/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A26/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H02/11
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A09/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H15/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
53-24
53
24
+29
A22/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A06/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H13/12
Prva Liga
78.2Avg total
43.2Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.938.380.2+3.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.738.382.0+5.464%-
Last 30 away (16)40.338.278.6+2.144%-
Last 10 (10)43.235.078.2+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.435.079.4+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)20.039.059.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (3)37.046.383.3-9.30%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.337.380.6+6.062%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.423.6
57.0%
53.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.2
28.4%
32.7%18.6
🏀 Free throws16.410.9
66.5%
71.6%10.9
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.817.8
56.0%
53.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.9
36.5%
32.7%35.7
🏀 Free throws16.613.0
78.3%
71.6%13.0
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KK Zagreb
WWWWLWLWWL
Kastela
LWLWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#2
+0.7
Net rating
+21.9
100.4
Offensive rating
113.9
99.8
Defensive rating
92.0
52.1%
Effective FG%
55.4%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
23.4%
Turnover %
18.0%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
28.4%
3-point %
36.5%
58.7%
Assist %
66.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 113.9Defence99.8 · 92.0Shooting52.1% · 55.4%3-point %28.4% · 36.5%Ball care23.4% · 18.0%Off. rebounds33.1% · 31.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ KK Zagreb   ■ Kastela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
KK Zagreb wins
8
Kastela wins
DateGameScore
06/04/25Kastela v KK Zagreb91-89
15/01/25KK Zagreb v Kastela71-69
06/04/24KK Zagreb v Kastela81-65
13/01/24Kastela v KK Zagreb71-66
26/04/23Kastela v KK Zagreb91-68
25/03/23KK Zagreb v Kastela61-73
12/03/23KK Zagreb v Kastela73-77
10/12/22Kastela v KK Zagreb67-54
19/12/21KK Zagreb v Kastela76-83
02/10/21Kastela v KK Zagreb66-55
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25ACrikvenica85-66
07/12/25AOsijek106-92
30/11/25AAmfora97-93
22/11/25HSonik Puntamika66-58
15/11/25AGorica61-88
08/11/25HNovi Zagreb61-54
31/10/25ASkrljevo70-89
25/10/25HMladost72-67 OT
18/10/25AOmis68-67
12/10/25HJazine82-88
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25HSkrljevo69-78
06/12/25ACrikvenica92-72
29/11/25HMladost73-80
22/11/25AOsijek111-61
15/11/25HOmis73-65
09/11/25AAmfora95-70
02/11/25HJazine96-65
26/10/25ASonik Puntamika75-45
18/10/25HMarsonia77-72
11/10/25AGorica89-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %70%75%67%
Points / game76.870.281.2
Allowed / game76.266.882.5
Point differential+0.6+3.5-1.3
Avg total153.0137.0163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %10%25%0%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL80%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%60%100%
Points / game85.077.692.4
Allowed / game68.772.065.4
Point differential+16.3+5.6+27.0
Avg total153.7149.6157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%20%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Skrljevo108280%93.075.8+17.2
2 Kastela108280%85.068.7+16.3
3 Mladost108280%80.870.8+10.0
4 KK Zagreb107370%76.876.2+0.6
5 Gorica106460%82.776.2+6.5
6 Dakovo106460%83.578.2+5.3
7 Omis105550%80.477.4+3.0
8 Jazine105550%74.679.1-4.5
9 Novi Zagreb104640%73.471.4+2.0
10 Crikvenica104640%76.077.0-1.0
11 Sonik Puntamika103730%69.974.9-5.0
12 Marsonia103730%71.076.5-5.5
13 Amfora103730%78.289.0-10.8
14 Osijek100100%65.099.1-34.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KK Zagreb2012201870
Kastela1023171565
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