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Knox W vs Melbourne Tigers W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 68-64
31-18 9-21 12-15 16-10
Position#2
Record10-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game69.8
Knox W 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#8
Record7-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game77.6
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Knox W v Melbourne Tigers W
14 Jun 2025
KNOX68
MELB64
30 Jul 2022
KNOX94
MELB42
31 Jul 2021
KNOX72
MELB78
14 Apr 2019
KNOX104
MELB72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Knox W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Knox WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham W
#9
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A17/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
86-61
86
61
+25
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
100-74
100
74
+26
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
W
85-58
85
58
+27
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
71-89
71
89
-18
H16/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H23/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A25/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
14-19
21-21
21-20
19-21
13-13
26-14
24-23
18-14
19-17
28-18
21-12
40-14
17-10
22-21
21-29
19-16
22-16
21-8
23-18
18-20
16-27
18-28
19-14
18-23
15-22
15-19
22-18
22-24
23-23
25-10
8-10
18-22
10-17
23-18
21-10
18-3
20-22
18-19
12-17
149.7Avg total
78.8Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.869.8150.6+10.977%
Season at home (7)83.369.3152.6+14.086%
Season away (6)77.870.5148.3+7.367%
Last 10 (10)78.870.9149.7+7.970%
Last 5 (5)71.873.2145.0-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.089.0160.0-18.00%
vs Similar (2)80.074.5154.5+5.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)83.470.4153.9+13.081%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne Tigers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A08/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
L
79-95
79
95
-16
H24/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
82-49
82
49
+33
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H11/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A24/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
56-79
56
79
-23
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
80-91
80
91
-11
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
18-20
18-33
18-18
22-18
20-27
22-18
18-17
23-18
16-24
19-24
21-29
25-18
23-25
9-21
29-17
29-21
13-6
21-7
19-15
16-14
12-18
18-11
22-19
28-19
23-18
18-23
14-12
32-18
17-27
22-16
14-16
15-11
10-26
16-18
15-24
24-27
21-15
8-33
27-16
155.8Avg total
78.2Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.877.6156.4+1.258%
Season at home (6)78.880.5159.3-1.750%
Season away (6)78.874.7153.5+4.267%
Last 10 (10)78.277.6155.8+0.660%
Last 5 (5)74.476.2150.6-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)71.381.2152.5-9.927%
vs Similar (4)76.882.0158.8-5.225%
vs Weaker (11)81.979.5161.5+2.464%
This opponent (Knox W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
Knox WMelbourne Tigers W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Knox WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham W
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A17/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
57-24
57
24
+33
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H16/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H23/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A25/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
74.1Avg total
37.9Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.137.579.7+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.538.681.1+3.863%-
Last 30 away (11)41.535.677.2+5.964%-
Last 10 (10)37.936.274.1+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.676.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.047.081.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (2)35.536.071.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)42.937.380.2+5.667%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne Tigers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A08/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H24/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H11/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A24/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
80.3Avg total
41.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.879.8-1.953%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.043.081.0-5.046%-
Last 30 away (17)39.739.278.9+0.559%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.980.3+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.678.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.942.578.3-6.640%-
vs Similar (4)39.537.577.0+2.075%-
vs Weaker (11)43.039.882.8+3.264%-
This opponent (Knox W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Knox W wins
2
Melbourne Tigers W wins
Knox Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/05/25AKilsyth W68-61
25/05/25AWaverley W72-67
23/05/25HFrankston W78-67
17/05/25ADandenong Rangers W70-82
16/05/25HGeelong W71-89
10/05/25HKeilor Thunder W85-58
03/05/25HHobart Chargers W100-74
26/04/25ABendigo Braves W86-61
25/04/25HCasey Cavaliers W82-71
17/04/25ASandringham W76-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/06/25HKeilor Thunder W80-91
31/05/25AGeelong W56-79
24/05/25ACasey Cavaliers W85-77
17/05/25ABendigo Braves W83-72
11/05/25HFrankston W68-62
10/05/25ABallarat W82-49
04/05/25AEltham W86-81
24/04/25HNunawading W79-95
13/04/25HDandenong Rangers W82-80
08/04/25ADiamond Valley W81-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Knox W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW77%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %77%86%67%
Points / game80.883.377.8
Allowed / game69.869.370.5
Point differential+10.9+14.0+7.3
Avg total150.6152.6148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%86%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne Tigers W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL58%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%50%67%
Points / game78.878.878.8
Allowed / game77.680.574.7
Point differential+1.2-1.7+4.2
Avg total156.4159.3153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W12120100%90.866.6+24.2
2 Keilor Thunder W1311285%80.071.5+8.5
3 Knox W1310377%80.869.8+10.9
4 Dandenong Rangers W1410471%84.171.7+12.4
5 Diamond Valley W139469%85.778.3+7.4
6 Waverley W149564%76.369.9+6.4
7 Frankston W138562%74.368.3+6.0
8 Melbourne Tigers W127558%78.877.6+1.2
9 Ringwood W137654%77.572.3+5.2
10 Sandringham W126650%79.977.8+2.1
11 Nunawading W136746%68.174.0-5.9
12 Mt. Gambier W146843%71.475.1-3.6
13 Casey Cavaliers W145936%72.580.4-7.9
14 Ballarat W124833%70.282.8-12.7
15 Hobart Chargers W1441029%70.979.4-8.6
16 Kilsyth W1541127%68.980.7-11.9
17 Launceston W1431121%72.381.0-8.7
18 Bendigo Braves W1531220%71.181.5-10.4
19 Eltham W1221017%75.885.9-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Knox W319121668
Melbourne Tigers W1821151064
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