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Kobe vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 94-88 (OT)
20-22 16-21 21-28 26-12 11-5
Position#7
Record6-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game75.9
Kobe 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#3
Record5-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game73.6
JapanB2.League· World Memorial Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kobe v Koshigaya Alphas
29 Oct 2023
KOBE49
KOSH81
28 Oct 2023
KOBE94
KOSH88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kobe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KobeJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKobe
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#12
W
92-90
92
90
+2
no box
A06/05
B League
Yokohama
#16
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A11/05
B League
Yokohama
#16
L
18-20
18
20
-2
no box
A12/05
B League
Shizuoka
#9
W
92-89
92
89
+3
91avg 81
A05/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
87-82
87
82
+5
82avg 81
A06/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
77-66
77
66
+11
72avg 81
A14/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
96-58
96
58
+38
93avg 81
A15/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
101-82
101
82
+19
102avg 81
A21/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
81-77
81
77
+4
66avg 81
A22/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
70-77
70
77
-7
61avg 81
H25/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-34
21-13
25-24
27-19
19-17
20-19
24-21
23-26
11-8
7-12
–
–
17-17
25-20
22-28
28-24
18-15
19-17
20-27
30-23
17-13
20-11
22-27
18-15
25-17
19-10
24-19
28-12
23-23
25-23
27-14
26-22
17-18
21-20
24-14
19-25
15-15
14-21
23-22
18-19
152.4Avg total
80.0Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.375.9162.1+10.486%
Season at home (1)70.077.0147.0-7.00%
Season away (6)89.075.7164.7+13.3100%
Last 10 (10)80.072.4152.4+7.680%
Last 5 (5)85.072.0157.0+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)68.982.7151.6-13.821%
vs Similar (7)77.780.4158.1-2.757%
vs Weaker (4)88.870.8159.5+18.0100%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
75-65
75
65
+10
70avg 82
A07/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
80-46
80
46
+34
79avg 82
A08/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
100-95
100
95
+5
96avg 82
H14/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
77-81
77
81
-4
80avg 82
H15/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
80-87
80
87
-7
64avg 82
A21/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
89-71
89
71
+18
82avg 82
A22/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
99-70
99
70
+29
100avg 82
H25/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
20-10
15-9
17-21
18-8
17-12
24-12
21-14
33-19
28-28
16-18
23-30
25-15
13-22
22-22
17-22
16-20
16-18
26-18
22-31
22-21
24-17
18-19
25-14
31-18
18-20
18-13
32-19
159.3Avg total
85.7Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.773.6159.3+12.171%
Season at home (3)92.082.0174.0+10.067%
Season away (4)81.067.2148.2+13.875%
Last 10 (7)85.773.6159.3+12.171%
Last 5 (5)89.080.8169.8+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.579.0163.5+5.550%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (5)86.271.4157.6+14.880%
This opponent (Kobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
KobeKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#12
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A06/05
B League
Yokohama
#16
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A11/05
B League
Yokohama
#16
L
18-20
18
20
-2
A12/05
B League
Shizuoka
#9
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A05/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A06/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A14/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A15/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A21/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A22/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H25/10
B2.League
71.5Avg total
37.2Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.938.972.7-5.030%-
Last 30 at home (8)33.636.670.2-3.025%-
Last 30 away (22)34.039.773.6-5.732%-
Last 10 (10)37.234.371.5+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)39.234.273.4+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)32.041.073.0-9.016%-
vs Similar (7)34.436.070.4-1.643%-
vs Weaker (4)41.833.875.5+8.075%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A07/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
35-20
35
20
+15
A08/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H14/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H15/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A21/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A22/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H25/10
B2.League
79.6Avg total
43.4Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)43.436.179.6+7.386%-
Last 30 at home (3)49.340.790.0+8.7100%-
Last 30 away (4)39.032.871.8+6.275%-
Last 10 (7)43.436.179.6+7.386%-
Last 5 (5)45.239.684.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.038.077.0+1.050%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (5)45.235.480.6+9.8100%-
This opponent (Kobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kobetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kobe: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.1 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.422.6
52.0%
52.4%45.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.7
32.9%
33.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws23.016.6
72.0%
71.0%16.6
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.3
52.0%
52.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.9
38.5%
33.6%29.6
🏀 Free throws23.614.4
61.2%
71.0%14.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kobe
LWWWWWWLWW
Koshigaya Alphas
WWLLWWW
#7
League position
#3
+12.3
Net rating
+15.6
112.7
Offensive rating
113.7
100.4
Defensive rating
98.1
51.1%
Effective FG%
54.3%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.4%
39.5%
Off. rebound %
37.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.9%
3-point %
38.5%
64.6%
Assist %
63.5%
80%
Form (last 10/7)
71%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 113.7Defence100.4 · 98.1Shooting51.1% · 54.3%3-point %32.9% · 38.5%Ball care17.9% · 18.4%Off. rebounds39.5% · 37.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/7)80% · 71%
■ Kobe   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kobe wins
0
Koshigaya Alphas wins
No previous meetings.
Kobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23HFukuoka70-77
22/10/23AYamagata Wyverns81-77
21/10/23AYamagata Wyverns101-82
15/10/23ANara96-58
14/10/23ANara77-66
06/10/23AShizuoka87-82
05/10/23AShizuoka92-89
12/05/18AYokohama18-20
11/05/18AYokohama86-83
06/05/18ANeoPhoenix92-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23HNiigata99-70
22/10/23AAltiri Chiba89-71
21/10/23AAltiri Chiba80-87
15/10/23HAomori77-81
14/10/23HAomori100-95
08/10/23ANiigata80-46
07/10/23ANiigata75-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kobe
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeL0%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games716
Win %86%0%100%
Points / game86.370.089.0
Allowed / game75.977.075.7
Point differential+10.4-7.0+13.3
Avg total162.1147.0164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Koshigaya Alphas
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW71%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game85.792.081.0
Allowed / game73.682.067.2
Point differential+12.1+10.0+13.8
Avg total159.3174.0148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%33%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fukuoka98189%78.871.2+7.6
2 Altiri Chiba87188%85.577.1+8.4
3 Kobe76186%86.375.9+10.4
4 Koshigaya Alphas75271%85.773.6+12.1
5 Aomori85362%86.285.9+0.4
6 Shizuoka74357%81.176.7+4.4
7 Kumamoto74357%82.380.6+1.7
8 Yamagata Wyverns74357%83.184.7-1.6
9 Shiga84450%84.977.2+7.6
10 Ehime Orange Vikings83538%73.477.0-3.6
11 Fukushima72529%83.788.3-4.6
12 Iwate71614%67.978.7-10.9
13 Nara9090%69.683.0-13.4
14 Niigata7070%66.184.9-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Kobe201621261194
Koshigaya Alphas22212812588
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