Koshigaya Alphas vs Niigata Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Oct 2023

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 99-70

31-18 18-20 18-13 32-19

Position#3

Record4-2

FormWWLLW

Points / game83.5

Allowed / game74.2

Koshigaya Alphas 🏆

Niigata

Position#14

Record0-6

FormLLLLL

Points / game65.5

Allowed / game82.5

B2.League· Koshigaya City Gymnasium

Other2023-24

Meetings · Koshigaya Alphas v Niigata

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Niigata winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlphas

Date

Competition

Niigata

#14

75-65

+10

70avg 79

A07/10

B2.League

Niigata

#14

80-46

+34

79avg 79

A08/10

B2.League

Aomori

100-95

100

96avg 79

H14/10

B2.League

Aomori

77-81

-4

80avg 79

H15/10

B2.League

Altiri Chiba

80-87

-7

64avg 79

A21/10

B2.League

Altiri Chiba

89-71

+18

82avg 79

A22/10

B2.League

23-25

20-10

15-9

17-21

18-8

17-12

24-12

21-14

33-19

28-28

16-18

23-30

25-15

13-22

22-22

17-22

16-20

16-18

26-18

22-31

22-21

24-17

18-19

25-14

157.7Avg total

83.5Scored

74.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	83.5	74.2	157.7	+9.3	67%
Season at home (2)	88.5	88.0	176.5	+0.5	50%
Season away (4)	81.0	67.2	148.2	+13.8	75%
Last 10 (6)	83.5	74.2	157.7	+9.3	67%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	76.0	161.2	+9.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	84.5	79.0	163.5	+5.5	50%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	83.0	71.8	154.8	+11.2	75%

This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Niigata

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNiigata

Date

Competition

NeoPhoenix

#17

98-80

+18

no box

A29/04

B League

NeoPhoenix

#17

87-69

+18

no box

A30/04

B League

Shinshu

#10

62-71

-9

no box

H06/05

B League

Shinshu

#10

72-94

-22

no box

H07/05

B League

Koshigaya Alphas

65-75

-10

52avg 56

H07/10

B2.League

Koshigaya Alphas

46-80

-34

33avg 56

H08/10

B2.League

Shizuoka

75-91

-16

74avg 56

A14/10

B2.League

Shizuoka

70-72

-2

59avg 56

A15/10

B2.League

Fukuoka

70-90

-20

60avg 56

A21/10

B2.League

Fukuoka

67-87

-20

59avg 56

A22/10

B2.League

19-22

24-17

29-25

26-16

18-18

23-11

22-24

24-16

12-22

12-19

22-16

16-14

14-22

21-18

21-21

16-33

25-23

10-20

9-15

21-17

8-18

12-17

12-24

14-21

29-26

12-27

20-17

14-21

16-16

11-18

16-19

27-19

14-19

21-25

25-22

10-24

28-21

12-21

10-22

17-23

152.1Avg total

71.2Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	65.5	82.5	148.0	-17.0	0%
Season at home (2)	55.5	77.5	133.0	-22.0	0%
Season away (4)	70.5	85.0	155.5	-14.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	71.2	80.9	152.1	-9.7	20%
Last 5 (5)	65.6	84.0	149.6	-18.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	76.3	84.3	160.6	-8.1	22%
vs Similar (3)	79.7	80.3	160.0	-0.7	67%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Koshigaya AlphasNiigata

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (6)	22.8	18.0	40.8	+4.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	29.0	17.0	46.0	+12.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (4)	19.8	18.5	38.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (6)	22.8	18.0	40.8	+4.8	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	16.6	39.4	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	20.5	39.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	24.8	16.8	41.5	+8.0	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.2	40.4	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	21.9	40.8	-3.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	20.5	40.1	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.7	39.0	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	19.1	21.8	40.9	-2.6	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.3	15.7	36.0	+4.7	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (6)	19.7	17.8	37.5	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	20.5	25.0	45.5	-4.5	0%	-
Last 30 away (4)	19.2	14.2	33.5	+5.0	75%	-
Last 10 (6)	19.7	17.8	37.5	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	19.5	18.0	37.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.0	36.9	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	18.5	36.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	19.4	37.1	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	19.3	35.1	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.6	21.6	35.2	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	17.9	19.3	37.3	-1.4	41%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.0	15.7	33.7	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Niigata

#14

43-35

A07/10

B2.League

Niigata

#14

35-20

+15

A08/10

B2.League

Aomori

61-47

+14

H14/10

B2.League

Aomori

38-37

H15/10

B2.League

Altiri Chiba

32-38

-6

A21/10

B2.League

Altiri Chiba

46-38

A22/10

B2.League

78.3Avg total

42.5Scored

35.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (6)	42.5	35.8	78.3	+6.7	83%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	49.5	42.0	91.5	+7.5	100%	-
Last 30 away (4)	39.0	32.8	71.8	+6.2	75%	-
Last 10 (6)	42.5	35.8	78.3	+6.7	83%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	36.0	78.4	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.0	38.0	77.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	44.2	34.8	79.0	+9.5	100%	-

This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NeoPhoenix

#17

43-39

A29/04

B League

NeoPhoenix

#17

41-29

+12

A30/04

B League

Shinshu

#10

24-41

-17

H06/05

B League

Shinshu

#10

35-40

-5

H07/05

B League

Koshigaya Alphas

35-43

-8

H07/10

B2.League

Koshigaya Alphas

20-35

-15

H08/10

B2.League

Shizuoka

41-53

-12

A14/10

B2.League

Shizuoka

27-34

-7

A15/10

B2.League

Fukuoka

35-44

-9

A21/10

B2.League

Fukuoka

40-42

-2

A22/10

B2.League

74.1Avg total

34.1Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	40.1	77.3	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.0	40.4	77.4	-3.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	39.9	77.2	-2.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.1	40.0	74.1	-5.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	41.6	74.2	-9.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	37.1	41.1	78.2	-4.0	30%	-
vs Similar (3)	38.3	31.3	69.7	+7.0	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (6)	20.2	16.3	36.5	+3.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (4)	20.8	14.5	35.2	+6.2	75%	-
Last 10 (6)	20.2	16.3	36.5	+3.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	19.2	15.2	34.5	+4.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.5	40.8	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	20.8	40.6	-0.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	22.1	40.9	-3.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.5	39.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.8	37.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	19.4	21.8	41.3	-2.4	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.0	18.3	36.3	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (6)	20.8	22.0	42.8	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	20.0	26.0	46.0	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (4)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (6)	20.8	22.0	42.8	-1.2	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.2	43.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	22.5	46.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	19.5	21.8	41.2	-2.2	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	22.3	41.9	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	22.8	43.1	-2.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.4	38.9	-1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	21.6	38.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	19.7	21.4	41.1	-1.7	41%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.7	30.0	48.7	-11.3	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (6)	41.0	38.3	79.3	+2.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	39.0	46.0	85.0	-7.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (4)	42.0	34.5	76.5	+7.5	75%	-
Last 10 (6)	41.0	38.3	79.3	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	40.0	82.8	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	45.5	41.0	86.5	+4.5	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	38.8	37.0	75.8	+1.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	43.7	82.7	-4.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.2	43.6	83.8	-3.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.8	43.9	81.7	-6.1	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	40.9	78.0	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	42.4	75.4	-9.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	39.2	43.2	82.4	-4.0	30%	-
vs Similar (3)	36.7	48.3	85.0	-11.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 82.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game

52%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	20.5	51.2%	52.4%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.2	8.7	35.9%	33.6%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	25.2	15.2	60.3%	71.0%	15.2

They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Niigatatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niigata: 64.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers26.7 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.5 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game

52%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.5	13.3	42.3%	52.4%	26.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.8	34.0%	33.6%	26.5
🏀 Free throws	16.2	11.3	70.1%	71.0%	11.3

They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	17.3	45.0%	52.4%	34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	8.0	32.7%	33.6%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	20.7	15.2	73.4%	71.0%	15.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.0	22.5	53.6%	52.4%	45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	8.5	34.9%	33.6%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	17.3	11.3	65.4%	71.0%	11.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	17.3	45.0%	52.4%	34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	8.0	32.7%	33.6%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	20.7	15.2	73.4%	71.0%	15.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.0	22.5	53.6%	52.4%	45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	8.5	34.9%	33.6%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	17.3	11.3	65.4%	71.0%	11.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Koshigaya Alphas

WLLWWW

Niigata

LLLLLLLLWW

League position

#14

+11.2

Net rating

-23.7

110.3

Offensive rating

88.1

99.1

Defensive rating

111.8

52.2%

Effective FG%

46.2%

46.6%

Opp. effective FG%

53.1%

19.4%

Turnover %

20.8%

38.0%

Off. rebound %

18.5%

0.39

Free-throw rate

0.28

35.9%

3-point %

34.0%

62.3%

Assist %

53.4%

67%

Form (last 6/10)

20%

Profile

■ Koshigaya Alphas ■ Niigata

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Koshigaya Alphas wins

Niigata wins

Date	Game	Score
08/10/23	Niigata v Koshigaya Alphas	46-80
07/10/23	Niigata v Koshigaya Alphas	65-75

Koshigaya Alphaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/10/23	A	Altiri Chiba	89-71
21/10/23	A	Altiri Chiba	80-87
15/10/23	H	Aomori	77-81
14/10/23	H	Aomori	100-95
08/10/23	A	Niigata	80-46
07/10/23	A	Niigata	75-65

Niigatalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/10/23	A	Fukuoka	67-87
21/10/23	A	Fukuoka	70-90
15/10/23	A	Shizuoka	70-72
14/10/23	A	Shizuoka	75-91
08/10/23	H	Koshigaya Alphas	46-80
07/10/23	H	Koshigaya Alphas	65-75
07/05/23	H	Shinshu	72-94
06/05/23	H	Shinshu	62-71
30/04/23	A	NeoPhoenix	87-69
29/04/23	A	NeoPhoenix	98-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koshigaya Alphas

B2.League 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Losses (last 6)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	67%
Home	WL	50%
Away	WWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	2	4
Win %	67%	50%	75%
Points / game	83.5	88.5	81.0
Allowed / game	74.2	88.0	67.2
Point differential	+9.3	+0.5	+13.8
Avg total	157.7	176.5	148.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	0%	75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Niigata

B2.League 2023-24

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LL	0%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	2	4
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	65.5	55.5	70.5
Allowed / game	82.5	77.5	85.0
Point differential	-17.0	-22.0	-14.5
Avg total	148.0	133.0	155.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Kobe	6	6	0	100%	89.0	75.7	+13.3
2	Fukuoka	6	5	1	83%	80.7	71.8	+8.8
3	Altiri Chiba	6	5	1	83%	83.3	76.7	+6.7
4	Aomori	6	5	1	83%	86.2	82.7	+3.5
5	Koshigaya Alphas	6	4	2	67%	83.5	74.2	+9.3
6	Shiga	6	3	3	50%	85.2	80.0	+5.2
7	Kumamoto	6	3	3	50%	85.3	83.7	+1.7
8	Shizuoka	6	3	3	50%	78.2	77.5	+0.7
9	Yamagata Wyverns	6	3	3	50%	78.3	80.5	-2.2
10	Fukushima	6	2	4	33%	84.3	86.7	-2.3
11	Ehime Orange Vikings	6	2	4	33%	72.7	75.7	-3.0
12	Iwate	6	1	5	17%	70.5	76.7	-6.2
13	Niigata	6	0	6	0%	65.5	82.5	-17.0
14	Nara	6	0	6	0%	70.7	89.2	-18.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Koshigaya Alphas	31	18	18	32	99
Niigata	18	20	13	19	70

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Koshigaya Alphas vs Niigata Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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