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Kobe vs Niigata Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 83-69
23-17 24-15 16-15 20-22
Position#7
Record21-27
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game78.5
Kobe 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#14
Record6-42
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game86.9
JapanB2.League· World Memorial Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kobe v Niigata
17 Mar 2024
KOBE83
NIIG69
16 Mar 2024
KOBE86
NIIG74
10 Dec 2017
KOBE100
NIIG85
09 Dec 2017
KOBE86
NIIG108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kobe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Niigata winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KobeJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKobe
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
70avg 71
H11/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
89-98
89
98
-9
82avg 71
A17/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
84-85
84
85
-1
78avg 71
A18/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
56-68
56
68
-12
48avg 71
H23/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
71-70 OT
71
70
+1
no box
H24/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
73-77
73
77
-4
61avg 71
H02/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
74-82
74
82
-8
60avg 71
H03/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
83-93
83
93
-10
70avg 71
A09/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
90-84
90
84
+6
78avg 71
A10/03
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
86-74
86
74
+12
86avg 71
H16/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
15-28
31-16
19-20
15-17
27-21
23-34
24-26
23-25
16-21
17-24
28-15
11-17
14-26
10-14
21-11
17-12
12-16
21-19
12-15
22-14
16-24
20-14
15-25
20-22
28-25
9-12
17-23
27-29
20-12
15-23
21-29
18-20
21-23
19-17
32-24
22-17
18-21
22-8
24-28
160.4Avg total
78.7Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)79.178.5157.6+0.644%
Season at home (24)76.980.0156.8-3.133%
Season away (24)81.377.1158.5+4.254%
Last 10 (10)78.781.7160.4-3.030%
Last 5 (5)81.282.0163.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)87.893.0180.8-5.233%
vs Similar (11)74.381.0155.3-6.70%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)79.572.8152.3+6.869%
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiigataJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNiigata
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
71-122
71
122
-51
40avg 62
A11/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
97-94
97
94
+3
88avg 62
A17/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
75-95
75
95
-20
58avg 62
A18/02
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
68-85
68
85
-17
59avg 62
H26/02
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
84-93
84
93
-9
75avg 62
H27/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
75-105
75
105
-30
59avg 62
H02/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
95-101
95
101
-6
87avg 62
H03/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
85-91
85
91
-6
80avg 62
A08/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
82-98
82
98
-16
73avg 62
A09/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
74-86
74
86
-12
58avg 62
A16/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-41
25-27
13-28
12-26
30-26
19-25
24-21
24-22
20-28
25-15
18-27
12-25
21-27
12-21
20-17
15-20
22-18
23-32
22-20
17-23
12-28
23-23
24-24
16-30
20-27
20-24
21-30
34-20
18-25
23-17
23-19
21-30
29-22
22-23
22-25
9-28
17-22
21-18
8-22
28-24
177.6Avg total
80.6Scored
97.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)73.686.9160.6-13.312%
Season at home (23)74.185.7159.8-11.613%
Season away (25)73.288.1161.3-14.912%
Last 10 (10)80.697.0177.6-16.410%
Last 5 (5)82.296.2178.4-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)77.688.9166.5-11.317%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -6.0-6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -6.0-6.0
KobeNiigata
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H11/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A17/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A18/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H23/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H24/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H02/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H03/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A09/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A10/03
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H16/03
B2.League
79.0Avg total
37.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.579.9-1.053%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.641.980.5-3.344%-
Last 30 away (12)40.738.379.0+2.367%-
Last 10 (10)37.841.279.0-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.483.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.845.290.0-0.350%-
vs Similar (11)38.640.979.5-2.345%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)37.637.975.5-0.362%-
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
46-68
46
68
-22
A11/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A17/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A18/02
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H26/02
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H27/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H02/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H03/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A08/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A09/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/03
B2.League
91.2Avg total
42.3Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.744.684.4-4.927%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.144.282.3-6.119%-
Last 30 away (14)41.645.186.7-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)42.348.991.2-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)41.045.886.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)39.744.684.4-4.927%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kobetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kobe: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.622.5
52.8%
52.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.1
31.7%
33.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.112.1
60.2%
71.0%12.1
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Niigatatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niigata: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.6
52.9%
52.4%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.7
32.8%
33.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.613.1
78.9%
71.0%13.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kobe
WWLLLWLLLL
Niigata
LLLLLLLLWL
#7
League position
#14
-4.9
Net rating
-22.8
103.4
Offensive rating
106.4
108.3
Defensive rating
129.2
51.0%
Effective FG%
51.6%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
59.7%
20.7%
Turnover %
13.5%
36.9%
Off. rebound %
19.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.7%
3-point %
32.8%
57.8%
Assist %
49.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 106.4Defence108.3 · 129.2Shooting51.0% · 51.6%3-point %31.7% · 32.8%Ball care20.7% · 13.5%Off. rebounds36.9% · 19.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Kobe   ■ Niigata
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kobe wins
1
Niigata wins
DateGameScore
16/03/24Kobe v Niigata86-74
04/02/24Niigata v Kobe68-81
03/02/24Niigata v Kobe55-95
10/12/17Kobe v Niigata100-85
09/12/17Kobe v Niigata86-108
Kobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24HNiigata86-74
10/03/24AAltiri Chiba90-84
09/03/24AAltiri Chiba83-93
03/03/24HFukuoka74-82
02/03/24HFukuoka73-77
24/02/24HNara71-70 OT
23/02/24HNara56-68
18/02/24AKumamoto84-85
17/02/24AKumamoto89-98
11/02/24HAomori81-86
Niigatalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24AKobe74-86
09/03/24AEhime Orange Vikings82-98
08/03/24AEhime Orange Vikings85-91
03/03/24HAltiri Chiba95-101
02/03/24HAltiri Chiba75-105
27/02/24HAomori84-93
26/02/24HAomori68-85
18/02/24ANara75-95
17/02/24ANara97-94
11/02/24AKoshigaya Alphas71-122

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kobe
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW44%
HomeLWLLW33%
AwayWLLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482424
Win %44%33%54%
Points / game79.176.981.3
Allowed / game78.580.077.1
Point differential+0.6-3.1+4.2
Avg total157.6156.8158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%21%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (15)17% (6)44% (9)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Niigata
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLLLLL13%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482325
Win %12%13%12%
Points / game73.674.173.2
Allowed / game86.985.788.1
Point differential-13.3-11.6-14.9
Avg total160.6159.8161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba4844492%91.577.0+14.5
2 Shiga47341372%87.780.4+7.2
3 Fukuoka49331667%78.074.5+3.5
4 Kumamoto48311765%85.383.4+1.9
5 Koshigaya Alphas49282157%83.174.5+8.6
6 Aomori48262254%85.887.0-1.2
7 Yamagata Wyverns48232548%81.785.7-4.0
8 Kobe48212744%79.178.5+0.6
9 Shizuoka49212843%80.281.2-1.0
10 Fukushima49202941%81.184.7-3.6
11 Nara48192940%73.877.4-3.6
12 Ehime Orange Vikings48163233%78.885.0-6.2
13 Iwate47153232%71.575.1-3.6
14 Niigata4864212%73.686.9-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kobe2324162083
Niigata1715152269
← all games of the day
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