PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nara vs Niigata Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 95-75
28-20 15-25 27-18 25-12
Position#11
Record14-26
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game78.4
Nara 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#14
Record6-34
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game85.5
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nara v Niigata
18 Feb 2024
NARA95
NIIG75
17 Feb 2024
NARA94
NIIG97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Niigata winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
W
75-66
75
66
+9
70avg 65
A20/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
71-75
71
75
-4
62avg 65
A21/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
67-76
67
76
-9
62avg 65
H27/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
76-78
76
78
-2
68avg 65
H28/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
74-83
74
83
-9
70avg 65
H31/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
79-91
79
91
-12
70avg 65
A03/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
78-80
78
80
-2
74avg 65
A04/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
66-72
66
72
-6
56avg 65
A09/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
63-76
63
76
-13
54avg 65
A10/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
94-97
94
97
-3
89avg 65
H17/02
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-10
17-12
19-20
20-24
20-26
12-26
20-10
19-13
9-25
21-18
17-19
20-14
20-23
20-17
27-15
9-23
19-18
19-22
18-24
18-19
20-14
18-26
15-25
26-26
22-17
15-21
23-15
18-27
12-13
21-15
19-29
14-15
20-16
7-29
19-18
17-13
26-30
25-19
21-24
22-24
153.7Avg total
74.3Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)73.478.4151.8-5.035%
Season at home (19)74.480.5154.9-6.242%
Season away (21)72.576.5149.0-4.029%
Last 10 (10)74.379.4153.7-5.110%
Last 5 (5)76.083.2159.2-7.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.879.6153.3-5.833%
vs Similar (18)73.276.0149.2-2.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)84.078.7162.7+5.367%
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiigataJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNiigata
Date
Competition
Shiga
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
67avg 61
H20/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
92-81
92
81
+11
79avg 61
H21/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
72-84
72
84
-12
61avg 61
H27/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
92-104 OT
92
104
-12
no box
H28/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
69avg 61
A31/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
55-95
55
95
-40
36avg 61
H03/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
68-81
68
81
-13
56avg 61
H04/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
70-116
70
116
-46
45avg 61
A10/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
71-122
71
122
-51
40avg 61
A11/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
97-94
97
94
+3
88avg 61
A17/02
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
16-23
23-14
21-22
20-26
22-19
25-14
25-22
20-23
16-16
16-18
20-27
20-22
25-16
24-20
18-29
21-22
18-22
19-26
25-18
12-26
16-20
13-28
14-21
16-20
21-25
14-15
17-21
16-28
17-32
17-32
20-24
21-41
25-27
13-28
12-26
30-26
19-25
24-21
24-22
173.4Avg total
78.0Scored
95.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)72.485.5157.9-13.015%
Season at home (19)72.883.5156.3-10.716%
Season away (21)72.187.2159.3-15.114%
Last 10 (10)78.095.4173.4-17.420%
Last 5 (5)72.2101.6173.8-29.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)73.485.4158.8-12.017%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -6.8-6.8Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -3.6-3.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -6.8-6.8Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -3.6-3.6
NaraNiigata
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
W
36-22
36
22
+14
A20/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A21/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H27/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H28/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H31/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A03/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A04/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A09/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A10/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H17/02
B2.League
75.9Avg total
36.2Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.138.975.0-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.838.975.7-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)35.438.974.4-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)36.239.775.9-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.077.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.639.774.2-5.122%-
vs Similar (18)35.238.974.2-3.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)45.736.782.3+9.0100%-
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#2
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H20/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H21/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H27/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H28/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A31/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H03/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H04/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
33-60
33
60
-27
A10/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
46-68
46
68
-22
A11/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A17/02
B2.League
88.0Avg total
39.1Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.143.981.0-6.920%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.543.080.5-5.520%-
Last 30 away (15)36.744.981.5-8.220%-
Last 10 (10)39.148.988.0-9.810%-
Last 5 (5)38.654.092.6-15.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)37.143.981.0-6.920%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.6
52.0%
52.4%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.0
28.7%
33.6%18.0
🏀 Free throws14.911.9
79.9%
71.0%11.9
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Niigatatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niigata: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.617.4
47.5%
52.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.7
31.4%
33.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.213.4
73.6%
71.0%13.4
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
LLLLLLLLLW
Niigata
WLLLLLLLWL
#11
League position
#14
-7.8
Net rating
-20.5
103.2
Offensive rating
100.8
111.0
Defensive rating
121.3
49.0%
Effective FG%
47.4%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
17.4%
Turnover %
17.2%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.7%
3-point %
31.4%
60.9%
Assist %
51.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 100.8Defence111.0 · 121.3Shooting49.0% · 47.4%3-point %28.7% · 31.4%Ball care17.4% · 17.2%Off. rebounds28.4% · 27.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Nara   ■ Niigata
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nara wins
1
Niigata wins
DateGameScore
17/02/24Nara v Niigata94-97
21/11/23Niigata v Nara77-82 OT
20/11/23Niigata v Nara62-76
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HNiigata94-97
10/02/24AEhime Orange Vikings63-76
09/02/24AEhime Orange Vikings66-72
04/02/24AYamagata Wyverns78-80
03/02/24AYamagata Wyverns79-91
31/01/24HFukuoka74-83
28/01/24HAltiri Chiba76-78
27/01/24HAltiri Chiba67-76
21/01/24AShizuoka71-75
20/01/24AShizuoka75-66
Niigatalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24ANara97-94
11/02/24AKoshigaya Alphas71-122
10/02/24AKoshigaya Alphas70-116
04/02/24HKobe68-81
03/02/24HKobe55-95
31/01/24AFukushima83-88
28/01/24HEhime Orange Vikings92-104 OT
27/01/24HEhime Orange Vikings72-84
21/01/24HShiga92-81
20/01/24HShiga80-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeWLLLL42%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %35%42%29%
Points / game73.474.472.5
Allowed / game78.480.576.5
Point differential-5.0-6.2-4.0
Avg total151.8154.9149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%5%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Niigata
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW15%
HomeWLLLL16%
AwayWLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %15%16%14%
Points / game72.472.872.1
Allowed / game85.583.587.2
Point differential-13.1-10.7-15.1
Avg total157.9156.3159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba4037392%90.175.3+14.8
2 Shiga40281270%88.081.8+6.2
3 Fukuoka41281368%78.274.2+4.0
4 Kumamoto40271368%85.181.8+3.4
5 Koshigaya Alphas41251661%84.474.1+10.3
6 Aomori40211952%85.387.1-1.8
7 Yamagata Wyverns40202050%81.885.6-3.8
8 Kobe40182245%79.578.4+1.1
9 Shizuoka41172441%79.981.7-1.8
10 Fukushima41162539%80.884.9-4.0
11 Nara40142635%73.478.4-5.0
12 Ehime Orange Vikings41142734%78.984.9-6.0
13 Iwate41122929%70.274.5-4.3
14 Niigata4063415%72.485.5-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara2815272595
Niigata2025181275
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.