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Kumamoto vs Kobe Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 98-89
17-15 21-27 34-23 26-24
Position#5
Record26-13
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#7
Record18-21
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game77.9
JapanB2.League· Kumamoto Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kumamoto v Kobe
20 Oct 2024
KUMA64
KOBE78
19 Oct 2024
KUMA81
KOBE88
18 Feb 2024
KUMA85
KOBE84
17 Feb 2024
KUMA98
KOBE89
07 Dec 2014
KUMA65
KOBE85
06 Dec 2014
KUMA81
KOBE79
01 Dec 2013
KUMA88
KOBE74
30 Nov 2013
KUMA83
KOBE86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kobe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Nara
#11
W
74-59
74
59
+15
69avg 77
H07/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
77-70
77
70
+7
73avg 77
A20/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
89-69
89
69
+20
78avg 77
A21/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
102-89
102
89
+13
96avg 77
H27/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
100-83
100
83
+17
94avg 77
H28/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
104-101
104
101
+3
101avg 77
A31/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
72-80
72
80
-8
64avg 77
A03/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
100-83
100
83
+17
102avg 77
A04/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
54-75
54
75
-21
39avg 77
A09/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 77
A10/02
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
21-16
15-16
14-11
29-18
14-11
15-16
19-25
20-21
24-15
21-13
24-20
22-24
24-17
30-25
26-23
35-17
22-17
16-23
27-26
25-28
17-21
30-29
32-23
16-23
16-18
20-18
20-21
30-18
16-24
32-21
22-20
20-18
12-20
13-21
9-16
19-27
20-15
19-22
20-21
164.4Avg total
85.0Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)84.881.6166.3+3.267%
Season at home (19)88.780.2168.9+8.589%
Season away (20)81.082.8163.9-1.845%
Last 10 (10)85.079.4164.4+5.670%
Last 5 (5)81.684.8166.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.993.9177.7-10.043%
vs Similar ◀ (21)86.579.3165.8+7.271%
vs Weaker (2)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Kobe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KobeJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKobe
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
L
67-71
67
71
-4
62avg 71
A06/01
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
70-77
70
77
-7
63avg 71
H20/01
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
69-89
69
89
-20
57avg 71
H21/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
51-62
51
62
-11
51avg 71
H27/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
85-70
85
70
+15
85avg 71
H28/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
94-68
94
68
+26
96avg 71
A31/01
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
95-55
95
55
+40
100avg 71
A03/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
81-68
81
68
+13
81avg 71
A04/02
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
74-84
74
84
-10
68avg 71
H10/02
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
70avg 71
H11/02
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
20-13
8-22
18-18
18-29
11-14
16-15
25-19
21-20
15-24
13-21
20-24
21-20
13-15
10-9
7-18
20-11
19-25
24-18
22-16
28-20
17-18
22-11
27-19
26-12
20-16
28-13
21-14
20-16
25-21
15-14
21-17
22-16
21-19
18-24
13-25
16-22
15-28
31-16
19-20
149.7Avg total
76.7Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)79.377.9157.2+1.346%
Season at home (19)78.281.5159.6-3.332%
Season away (20)80.374.5154.8+5.860%
Last 10 (10)76.773.0149.7+3.740%
Last 5 (5)85.072.2157.2+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.484.1163.5-4.825%
vs Similar ◀ (9)72.779.3152.0-6.70%
vs Weaker (13)81.273.2154.4+7.969%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
KumamotoKobe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nara
#11
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H07/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A20/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A21/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H27/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H28/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A31/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A03/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A04/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A09/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A10/02
B2.League
81.0Avg total
42.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.283.3+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.638.185.7+9.486%-
Last 30 away (16)39.142.181.1-3.044%-
Last 10 (10)42.638.481.0+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.242.480.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.648.988.4-9.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)44.337.782.0+6.671%-
vs Weaker (2)42.036.578.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Kobe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A06/01
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H20/01
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H21/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H27/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H28/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A31/01
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A03/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A04/02
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H10/02
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H11/02
B2.League
76.6Avg total
38.9Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.541.479.9-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.642.781.3-4.138%-
Last 30 away (14)38.340.078.3-1.743%-
Last 10 (10)38.937.776.6+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.037.679.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.045.586.5-4.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.042.078.0-6.033%-
vs Weaker (13)38.638.577.2+0.154%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.4
54.7%
52.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.0
34.7%
33.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.114.4
68.2%
71.0%14.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kobetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kobe: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.9
53.7%
52.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.2
35.0%
33.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.612.7
61.7%
71.0%12.7
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kumamoto
LLWLWWWWWW
Kobe
LLWWWWLLLL
#5
League position
#7
+7.4
Net rating
+5.8
114.9
Offensive rating
102.7
107.6
Defensive rating
96.9
53.7%
Effective FG%
53.3%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
15.6%
Turnover %
22.6%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.7%
3-point %
35.0%
63.5%
Assist %
69.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 102.7Defence107.6 · 96.9Shooting53.7% · 53.3%3-point %34.7% · 35.0%Ball care15.6% · 22.6%Off. rebounds33.1% · 33.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Kumamoto   ■ Kobe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Kumamoto wins
5
Kobe wins
DateGameScore
21/01/24Kobe v Kumamoto69-89
20/01/24Kobe v Kumamoto70-77
23/12/14Kobe v Kumamoto80-66
07/12/14Kumamoto v Kobe65-85
06/12/14Kumamoto v Kobe81-79
23/11/14Kobe v Kumamoto76-73
22/11/14Kobe v Kumamoto78-63
06/04/14Kobe v Kumamoto82-65
05/04/14Kobe v Kumamoto81-83
01/12/13Kumamoto v Kobe88-74
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24AFukuoka78-85
09/02/24AFukuoka54-75
04/02/24AShizuoka100-83
03/02/24AShizuoka72-80
31/01/24AShiga104-101
28/01/24HYamagata Wyverns100-83
27/01/24HYamagata Wyverns102-89
21/01/24AKobe89-69
20/01/24AKobe77-70
07/01/24HNara74-59
Kobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24HAomori81-86
10/02/24HAomori74-84
04/02/24ANiigata81-68
03/02/24ANiigata95-55
31/01/24AEhime Orange Vikings94-68
28/01/24HIwate85-70
27/01/24HIwate51-62
21/01/24HKumamoto69-89
20/01/24HKumamoto70-77
06/01/24AFukuoka67-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL67%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWLWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %67%89%45%
Points / game84.888.781.0
Allowed / game81.680.282.8
Point differential+3.2+8.5-1.8
Avg total166.3168.9163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%42%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Kobe
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL46%
HomeLLWLL32%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %46%32%60%
Points / game79.378.280.3
Allowed / game77.981.574.5
Point differential+1.3-3.3+5.8
Avg total157.2159.6154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%21%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)0% (4)50% (8)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3936392%89.774.8+14.9
2 Shiga39271269%87.982.0+5.9
3 Fukuoka41281368%78.274.2+4.0
4 Kumamoto39261367%84.881.6+3.2
5 Koshigaya Alphas41251661%84.474.1+10.3
6 Aomori39211854%85.186.6-1.6
7 Yamagata Wyverns39201951%82.085.5-3.5
8 Kobe39182146%79.377.9+1.3
9 Shizuoka40172342%79.681.3-1.7
10 Fukushima40152538%80.484.7-4.3
11 Nara39142536%72.877.9-5.1
12 Ehime Orange Vikings40132732%79.285.5-6.2
13 Iwate40122830%70.574.7-4.2
14 Niigata3953413%71.885.3-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kumamoto1721342698
Kobe1527232489
← all games of the day
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