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Koshigaya Alphas vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 89-79
19-19 27-19 28-14 15-27
Position#19
Record19-38
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Position#25
Record14-43
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game84.2
JapanB League· Koshigaya City Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Koshigaya Alphas v Brave Thunders
26 Apr 2026
KOSH89
BRAV79
25 Apr 2026
KOSH90
BRAV84
05 Nov 2025
KOSH76
BRAV65
08 Dec 2024
KOSH100
BRAV74
07 Dec 2024
KOSH101
BRAV77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brave Thunders winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#17
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H04/04
B League
Osaka
#17
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H05/04
B League
Chiba
#6
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A08/04
B League
Akita
#26
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A11/04
B League
Akita
#26
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
A12/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
87-70
87
70
+17
A15/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H18/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H19/04
B League
Sendai
#11
L
78-102
78
102
-24
A22/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H25/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
15-26
23-18
23-20
22-18
17-13
20-18
25-28
17-24
21-29
17-11
23-28
22-31
26-22
17-19
20-22
18-16
9-21
25-15
25-25
26-15
26-15
16-22
19-18
23-20
16-11
8-19
19-23
16-23
14-23
18-12
21-21
19-22
20-28
20-23
19-29
27-25
22-22
16-21
25-16
164.2Avg total
80.0Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)75.182.3157.4-7.233%
Season at home (29)74.480.2154.6-5.838%
Season away (28)75.984.4160.2-8.529%
Last 10 (10)80.084.2164.2-4.230%
Last 5 (5)78.081.6159.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)74.187.0161.1-12.915%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.079.2162.2+3.875%
vs Weaker (2)85.090.5175.5-5.50%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
L
71-85
71
85
-14
H04/04
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H05/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A08/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
77-97
77
97
-20
A11/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A12/04
B League
Chiba
#6
L
63-84
63
84
-21
H15/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
76-98
76
98
-22
A18/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
93-103
93
103
-10
A19/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H22/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A25/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
14-25
22-26
17-18
13-27
22-17
24-14
23-17
20-33
13-13
20-16
20-25
25-26
24-24
8-23
20-24
16-25
22-24
12-29
14-9
21-19
11-25
13-16
18-24
19-26
21-25
15-20
21-27
18-30
28-24
19-28
28-21
14-20
17-16
16-22
24-22
25-27
22-22
21-16
16-25
164.0Avg total
75.4Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)75.784.2159.8-8.525%
Season at home (30)73.682.0155.6-8.423%
Season away (27)78.086.6164.5-8.626%
Last 10 (10)75.488.6164.0-13.210%
Last 5 (5)77.491.0168.4-13.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)74.285.6159.9-11.414%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.077.2157.2+2.867%
vs Weaker (2)87.593.0180.5-5.550%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
Koshigaya AlphasBrave Thunders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#17
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H04/04
B League
Osaka
#17
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H05/04
B League
Chiba
#6
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A08/04
B League
Akita
#26
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A11/04
B League
Akita
#26
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A12/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
52-30
52
30
+22
A15/04
B League
Alvark
#8
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H18/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H19/04
B League
Sendai
#11
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A22/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H25/04
B League
81.7Avg total
39.3Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.441.980.3-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.941.179.0-3.143%-
Last 30 away (16)38.842.781.5-3.925%-
Last 10 (10)39.342.481.7-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.882.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.142.879.9-5.630%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.839.080.8+2.850%-
vs Weaker (2)37.545.082.5-7.50%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H04/04
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H05/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A08/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A11/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A12/04
B League
Chiba
#6
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H15/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A18/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A19/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H22/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A25/04
B League
84.7Avg total
38.3Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.142.079.1-4.820%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.538.773.2-4.127%-
Last 30 away (15)39.745.385.0-5.513%-
Last 10 (10)38.346.484.7-8.10%-
Last 5 (5)39.246.886.0-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)36.943.280.1-6.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.336.074.3+2.350%-
vs Weaker (2)36.046.082.0-10.00%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.2
52.4%
53.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.6
36.4%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.314.8
72.9%
73.1%14.8
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.0
50.1%
53.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.88.5
28.5%
33.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.411.7
67.2%
73.1%11.7
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Koshigaya Alphas
WLLLWLLLWL
Brave Thunders
LLLLLLLLWL
#19
League position
#25
-4.3
Net rating
-15.7
95.4
Offensive rating
89.3
99.7
Defensive rating
105.0
53.4%
Effective FG%
46.9%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
16.5%
Turnover %
12.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.4%
3-point %
28.5%
71.6%
Assist %
74.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence95.4 · 89.3Defence99.7 · 105.0Shooting53.4% · 46.9%3-point %36.4% · 28.5%Ball care16.5% · 12.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Koshigaya Alphas   ■ Brave Thunders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Koshigaya Alphas wins
1
Brave Thunders wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26HBrave Thunders90-84
22/04/26ASendai78-102
19/04/26HAlvark69-79
18/04/26HAlvark66-73
15/04/26AIbaraki Robots87-70
12/04/26AAkita85-87 OT
11/04/26AAkita85-94
08/04/26AChiba78-92
05/04/26HOsaka84-77
04/04/26HOsaka78-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26AKoshigaya Alphas84-90
22/04/26HRyukyu71-80
19/04/26AOsaka93-103
18/04/26AOsaka76-98
15/04/26HChiba63-84
12/04/26AGunma64-87
11/04/26AGunma77-97
08/04/26ASun Rockers Shibuya73-87
05/04/26HYokohama82-75
04/04/26HYokohama71-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572928
Win %33%38%29%
Points / game75.174.475.9
Allowed / game82.380.284.4
Point differential-7.2-5.8-8.5
Avg total157.4154.6160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%10%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)50% (4)38% (8)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Brave Thunders
B League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWLWLL23%
AwayLLLLL26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games573027
Win %25%23%26%
Points / game75.773.678.0
Allowed / game84.282.086.6
Point differential-8.5-8.4-8.6
Avg total159.8155.6164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%13%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki57451279%91.579.6+11.9
2 Utsunomiya Brex58441476%85.879.8+6.0
3 SeaHorses Mikawa57411672%84.177.6+6.5
4 Diamond Dolphins58411771%83.274.5+8.8
5 Ryukyu57401770%81.874.7+7.1
6 Gunma58401869%83.172.6+10.5
7 Chiba58401869%83.976.6+7.3
8 Alvark57391868%80.676.8+3.9
9 Hokkaido58362262%87.986.2+1.7
10 Sendai58352360%82.779.7+3.1
11 NeoPhoenix57342360%85.983.6+2.3
12 Hiroshima D.58312753%85.983.6+2.3
13 Saga57302753%82.081.8+0.2
14 Shimane58273147%79.580.9-1.4
15 Yokohama58263245%79.481.8-2.3
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya58243441%76.580.3-3.8
17 Osaka58233540%81.282.9-1.8
18 Shiga57223539%80.585.2-4.7
19 Koshigaya Alphas57193833%75.182.3-7.2
20 Altiri Chiba58193933%78.883.8-5.0
21 Kyoto58193933%74.281.1-7.0
22 Nagoya Fighting Eagles57174030%79.984.6-4.6
23 Ibaraki Robots58174129%75.881.4-5.7
24 Toyama58164228%81.288.5-7.3
25 Brave Thunders57144325%75.784.2-8.5
26 Akita58104817%73.385.5-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Koshigaya Alphas1927281589
Brave Thunders1919142779
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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