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Akita vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 94-85
31-22 22-26 19-17 22-20
Position#26
Record8-42
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game85.4
Akita 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#19
Record17-33
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game82.0
JapanB League· CNA Arena Akita
Other2025-26
Meetings · Akita v Koshigaya Alphas
12 Apr 2026
AKIT87
KOSH85
11 Apr 2026
AKIT94
KOSH85
23 Oct 2024
AKIT78
KOSH69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Akita
4.9out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 72.7
68.6▼ 4.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 83.7
84.6▲ 0.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 51%
47%▼ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.8
18.6▼ 0.2
🔥 Form · Koshigaya Alphas
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 73.3
80.4▲ 7.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.9
87.6▲ 5.7
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 54%
57%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.3
21.6▲ 3.3
AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H08/03
B League
Chiba
#6
L
59-97
59
97
-38
A11/03
B League
Sendai
#11
L
70-93
70
93
-23
A14/03
B League
Sendai
#11
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A15/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H28/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
63-86
63
86
-23
H29/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A01/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A04/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A05/04
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
74-92
74
92
-18
A08/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-35
21-11
7-21
21-18
17-21
17-27
12-26
13-23
8-20
24-32
11-23
27-18
18-19
27-20
16-27
15-21
17-21
23-19
22-22
29-18
20-16
23-18
8-29
12-23
20-27
12-12
20-13
14-22
18-29
14-20
17-18
19-18
11-25
19-21
18-16
24-24
17-24
24-25
22-28
11-15
157.8Avg total
71.3Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)73.385.4158.6-12.116%
Season at home (25)74.985.3160.2-10.424%
Season away (25)71.685.4157.1-13.88%
Last 10 (10)71.386.5157.8-15.210%
Last 5 (5)68.684.6153.2-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)75.886.3162.1-10.517%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
65-99
65
99
-34
A08/03
B League
Toyama
#24
W
92-85
92
85
+7
H11/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
72-101
72
101
-29
H14/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
80-109
80
109
-29
H15/03
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A28/03
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
A29/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
69-89
69
89
-20
A01/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H04/04
B League
Osaka
#17
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H05/04
B League
Chiba
#6
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A08/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
16-22
17-34
14-20
23-14
17-30
31-24
21-17
17-28
21-23
12-29
22-21
22-33
22-27
21-25
15-24
20-26
14-10
17-21
19-21
20-18
15-21
18-22
19-11
14-13
14-20
21-33
20-23
17-20
15-26
23-18
23-20
22-18
17-13
20-18
25-28
17-24
21-29
17-11
23-28
169.1Avg total
78.1Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)74.482.0156.4-7.634%
Season at home (26)74.380.4154.7-6.138%
Season away (24)74.583.8158.3-9.229%
Last 10 (10)78.191.0169.1-12.920%
Last 5 (5)80.487.6168.0-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)73.587.3160.8-13.919%
vs Similar (9)80.979.4160.3+1.456%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -7.0-7.0Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
AkitaKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#22
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H08/03
B League
Chiba
#6
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A11/03
B League
Sendai
#11
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A14/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A15/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H28/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H29/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A01/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A04/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A05/04
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A08/04
B League
81.7Avg total
37.5Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.844.484.2-4.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.941.983.9+0.050%-
Last 30 away (14)37.447.384.6-9.914%-
Last 10 (10)37.544.281.7-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)35.643.479.0-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)39.844.484.2-4.633%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A08/03
B League
Toyama
#24
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H11/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H14/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H15/03
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A28/03
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A29/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A01/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H04/04
B League
Osaka
#17
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H05/04
B League
Chiba
#6
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A08/04
B League
80.0Avg total
36.2Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.942.180.0-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.941.379.2-3.436%-
Last 30 away (16)37.842.880.6-5.025%-
Last 10 (10)36.243.880.0-7.610%-
Last 5 (5)34.440.474.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)36.643.580.0-6.924%-
vs Similar (9)40.938.979.8+2.044%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.3
49.7%
53.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.07.9
27.2%
33.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws15.911.0
69.2%
73.1%11.0
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.4
52.1%
53.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.6
36.8%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.212.1
66.5%
73.1%12.1
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akita
LLLLLWLLLL
Koshigaya Alphas
LWLLLLLLWL
#26
League position
#19
-17.2
Net rating
-14.4
82.5
Offensive rating
89.7
99.7
Defensive rating
104.2
45.8%
Effective FG%
53.4%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
15.3%
Turnover %
18.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.30
27.2%
3-point %
36.8%
69.1%
Assist %
73.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence82.5 · 89.7Defence99.7 · 104.2Shooting45.8% · 53.4%3-point %27.2% · 36.8%Ball care15.3% · 18.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Akita   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Akita wins
2
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateGameScore
06/04/25Koshigaya Alphas v Akita73-55
05/04/25Koshigaya Alphas v Akita68-80
12/03/25Koshigaya Alphas v Akita93-80 OT
23/10/24Akita v Koshigaya Alphas78-69
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26AYokohama74-92
05/04/26AAlvark72-86
04/04/26AAlvark68-85
01/04/26ADiamond Dolphins66-74
29/03/26HKyoto63-86
28/03/26HKyoto91-80
15/03/26ASendai76-87
14/03/26ASendai70-93
11/03/26AChiba59-97
08/03/26HAltiri Chiba74-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26AChiba78-92
05/04/26HOsaka84-77
04/04/26HOsaka78-84
01/04/26ABrave Thunders69-89
29/03/26AYokohama93-96 OT
28/03/26AYokohama70-78
15/03/26HDiamond Dolphins80-109
14/03/26HDiamond Dolphins72-101
11/03/26HToyama92-85
08/03/26AHiroshima D.65-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akita
B League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL16%
HomeLLLWL24%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502525
Win %16%24%8%
Points / game73.374.971.6
Allowed / game85.485.385.4
Point differential-12.1-10.4-13.8
Avg total158.6160.2157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%16%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %6%8%4%
Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL34%
HomeWLLLW38%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502624
Win %34%38%29%
Points / game74.474.374.5
Allowed / game82.080.483.8
Point differential-7.6-6.1-9.2
Avg total156.4154.7158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki50401080%91.579.2+12.2
2 Diamond Dolphins50381276%84.072.9+11.1
3 Utsunomiya Brex50371374%86.280.6+5.5
4 Ryukyu50351570%81.574.8+6.7
5 SeaHorses Mikawa50351570%83.877.6+6.2
6 Gunma50341668%82.473.0+9.3
7 Chiba50341668%83.076.5+6.5
8 Alvark50331766%80.777.8+2.9
9 Hokkaido50311962%87.985.8+2.1
10 NeoPhoenix50302060%85.482.6+2.8
11 Sendai50302060%81.679.3+2.2
12 Hiroshima D.50282256%87.083.8+3.1
13 Saga50262452%81.882.1-0.3
14 Shimane50232746%80.180.9-0.8
15 Yokohama50212942%79.282.1-2.8
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya50212942%77.380.7-3.4
17 Shiga50203040%80.584.3-3.8
18 Osaka50193138%79.982.6-2.7
19 Kyoto50173334%72.980.4-7.5
20 Koshigaya Alphas50173334%74.482.0-7.6
21 Nagoya Fighting Eagles50163432%80.183.4-3.2
22 Altiri Chiba50163432%79.084.4-5.4
23 Ibaraki Robots50153530%75.980.8-5.0
24 Brave Thunders50143628%75.783.2-7.5
25 Toyama50123824%80.889.4-8.6
26 Akita5084216%73.385.4-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Akita3122192294
Koshigaya Alphas2226172085
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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